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Nakadam was unfortunately a faller yesterday, and I think he was in the midst of running a big race. They had a full circuit to travel, but some of the horses were already under the cosh, and he was travelling strongly, and is a horse who stays well, so would've been there at the finish in my opinion. He'll more than likely be back at Hexham next month for another 4m contest, and I will be keeping my eyes pealed for that.
You won't get great odds for BETTY BALOO but I do think she will be a tough horse to beat in a race which doesn't appear to be the strongest. The selection was a decent bumper horse for Tim Easterby, winning two of three races in that sphere, producing an RPR of 110 of all three occasions, which is a decent indicator that she could be above average. Her first start over hurdles resulted in a fourth placed finish, but she was probably booked for a win until she dived at the last flight and nearly unseated Jamie Hamilton, so she is expected to do better this time.
Brian Hughes takes the ride for today, taking over from Jamie Hamilton, which is seen to be a positive for obvious reasons. He has a better strike rate when riding for Tim Easterby, and is a previous champion jockey, who rides this track extremely well, which is proven by his 22% SR at this course in the last five years.
This step up in trip is an unknown, but based on breeding, she should be expected to improve for this longer trip. Two of her siblings have won races over 2m 4f – 3m, so she should be able to follow in their footsteps. Also, she will probably be a lot fitter than when she ran on hurdling debut, as that was the first run for 159 days, and that might've been one of the reasons why she made a mistake at the lat hurdle.
DINSDALE is one of the more interesting runners on Thursday, and if he's anywhere like he was when he previously was tried over obstacles, then he would have a very good chance of winning this. However, he's not been seen over hurdles or fences since 2018, which is a slight concern, but the fact that Michael Scudamore has decided that this track is the place where he'll return is very eye-catching to say the least.
Michael sends this runner on a 540 mile round trip from his base in Herefordshire to the North East of England for a horse who hasn't been seen over obstacles in 1158 days, so he must clearly believe that he has found a decent opportunity for his return. When Michael sends one to this track it is worth noting as he has an all time record of 9 wins from 34 runners, with a further 11 being placed, which equals a 26% SR. Luca Morgan goes up to Newcastle for the one ride, and he has only ever been used by Michael Scudamore two times in his career so far, which has resulted in 1 win.
Dinsdale was known as a free going sort, who likes to get on with things, so the fact that this race lacks pace, could mean that he could get his own way in front or will be positioned prominently. Hit fitness shouldn't be an issue, as he has recently had a run out on the flat 22 days ago. I get the feeling this one could be overlooked in the market, and could spring a surprise.
Market Rasen 1:52
4yo chasers at this time of year get a decent amount of weight for age allowance, and I fully expect HARDY DU SEUIL to take advantage of this.
Jamie Snowden's novice chaser has made a decent start to life over fences, winning on his second start last time out at Carlisle. Even though the race he won was a two runner race, the manner in which he cruised through the race, gave the impression that this horse could be well ahead of the handicapper and could rack up a decent amount of wins, before potentially moving on to some Class 1 races or some big pot handicaps.
The selection seemed to bounce off the good ground last time at Carlisle, so today's conditions will be perfectly fine for him. The same can't really be said about the others, who might prefer a softer surface, and for the others who do handle it, they will need to prove themselves to be a good enough jumper to win this, which could be tricky, especially when they are giving away weight to a horse who already has experience over the larger obstacles.