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Newmarket 4.10
MONTATHAM (4.10) didn't totally impress with his attitude towards the end of last season but a gelding operation could see him in a different light at Newmarket.
William Haggas despatched the grey to Yorkshire to bag a couple of novice events early in his campaign but Montatham failed to add to that tally when sent handicapping. He stayed on steadily into second spot at Musselburgh without threatening Blown By Wind but in the belief that there is more to come this season, Montatham can resume winning ways.
Newmarket 4.45
Haggas is always to be feared at his home track and NAHAARR (4.45) is taken to reverse last season's form with chief market rival Qaysar. Nahaarr mopped up his first four starts before running a bit flat on his final start at HQ in August. Well rested since, he can kick off the new campaign in style.
Newmarket 3.35 (2000 Guineas)
PINATUBO (3.35) carried all before him last year and sets the bar high in the Qipco 2000 Guineas.
Charlie Appleby has been making all the right noises when discussing Pinatubo’s preparation and the Godolphin colt can extend his unbeaten sequence to seven. Pinatubo was held up in the Dewhurst Stakes here over seven furlongs before sweeping through to catch today’s chief market rival Arizona, the margin being two lengths at the line. He should have no trouble staying this extra furlong.
Aidan O’Brien saddles four and there has been good support for Arizona, reportedly on the back of a scintillating home gallop. Jockey bookings point to him being the Ballydoyle No 1 but Ryan Moore has got it wrong several times in the past and it would be reckless to dismiss the prospects of Frankie Dettori’s mount Witchita, even though the colt is well held by Pinatubo on previous form.
The other horse to garner significant favour in the betting is Kameko, winner of the Vertem Futurity Stakes at Newcastle. Oisin Murphy has been singing his praises and Kameko impressed in a recent racecourse gallop at Kempton.
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Newmarket 2.25
TEREBELLUM (2.25) gets the nod over Magic Lilly in the Group 2 Dahlia Fillies’ Stakes.
My selection, trained by John Gosden and ridden by Frankie Dettori, is sure to prove popular. After winning at Deauville she wasn’t disgraced in finishing fifth in the Group 1 Prix de L’Opera at Longchamp on Arc weekend. Terebellum would prefer some cut underfoot. Charlie Appleby’s Magic Lily was last seen chasing home Barney Roy in Meydan and looks sure to be in the mix.
Newmarket 3.00
Gosden has high hopes that WALDKONIG (3.00) will acquit himself well in the Investec Derby and this Listed contest should be the perfect stepping stone to Epsom.
His colt created a huge impression when waltzing home by nine lengths at Wolverhampton in early December and this second public appearance will prove valuable experience. Stablemate Mishriff ploughed through the Nottingham mud to score at Nottingham last November before taking the runner-up prize in the inaugural Saudi Arabia Derby Cup on dirt.
Al Assy ran third at HQ in October and the second home that day, Galsworthy, won easily at Kempton earlier this week. He is reported to be working sharply on the home gallops and with that formline working out well, Al Assy is a solid ew alternative.
Newcastle 2.05
Gosden and stable jockey Rab Havlin boast a terrific strike-rate at Newcastle and lightly-raced DAARIK (2.05) is capable of landing the seven-furlong handicap. A previous course winner over six furlongs, Daarik was edged out by Fox Power in a Listed contest over a mile here last November and this intermediate trip is ideal.
2000 guineas
Pinatubo looks bombproof. He wont have a problem staying the 1m and looks a class above this field on all known form.
Theres always a doubt though that he hasnt trained on from 2-3 and at odds on I cant back him.
Of the others
Arizona and Wichita are both by No Nay Never and I dont think they’re milers
Royal Dornoch’s form is just too patchy. He won the Lodge over C&D beating Kameko and is by Gleneagles (previous winner) but was Kameko’s run a true one?
Mum’s Tipple is by Footstepsintherain (winner 2005) who hasnt had a placed horse in any classic in 11 seasons of being a sire.
Kameko by Kittens Joy also sired Roaring Lion who improved hugely from 2-3 has a chance of making the frame but his Lodge run has put me off.
At 100/1 Juan Elcano looks huge value. He was only beaten 1L by Threat at donny and is by Frankel so will stay better than most in the field imo.
I’ve taken the 12/1 5 places with pp
BOL
??
class, helpful info regarding breeding
Correction….3 places not 5
Idle Time won nicely in the US at 9/2 last night so I’m putting most of it on Pinatubo and in a double and treble with 2 from America. Be a spectator for the rest I’d say.
Pinatubo..3.35. 4/5(*****)
Cezanne..San Anita-R6(for treble that pays 3.84/1)
Authentic..San Anita-R8 4/6(one from my tracker I backed last time,cracking colt that won well beating tonights 2nd favorite by near 3l.
Double with Pinatubo pays 2/1(****)
Fire Firenze…Belmont R8. 7/2(***)
GL all
Well! I said I wasn’t touching UK racing till it was well up and running and the last few days are exactly why. Cheers Alan for Darrik but bar that it’s been another day of good to watch but betting is hard.
Belmont tip will hopefully land but like a man who is too confident I think Authentic and Cazanne for a 1.8/1 double is still a great shout.
Might get better at other bookies.
Happpy valley tomorrow too.?
Morning all well done winners winners
Blue de Vega 1.15n 18-1
Wild hope 1.30n 6-1
Queens gift 1.50n 12-1
Wichita 3.35n 10-1
Pinnata 4.10n 10-1
Youneverletmedown 4.30n 10-1
Landing night 5.05n 17-2
Ew singles & ew super hienz☘️Gl all
2000 Guinness.
Mums tipple.
16-1 Ew extra 6 places.
Other bets interest stakes
1.15 Makanah 7/1 ew
1.50 Queens Gift 12/1 ew
2 singles & a double
And we’re off well done marra ?
Good start dc well done
?
Observation Englishman pulled yesterday
Lingfield favorite track Morris up 11-1 am in?
was on him when winning at 8s last time, morris for bradley in these silks decent, add the withdrawal and price and i think it looks good for an EW bet, cheers
Hello All !!
Its Guineas time .
Win
Newc. / R. 8 — Quanah
Newm / R. 3 — Magic Lily
Each Way
Newc. / R. 4 — Royal Line
Newm. / R. 8 — Smokey Bear
G Luck & a Nice day
Quanah , best bet today : – )
clearly was on the best horse so not going to hype him up too much, but I think it is now clear that David Egan is the new main man, since last year been mustard.
15:15N ACQUITTED 7/4 has already beaen MISHRIFF, ben curtis on board for palmer, looks massive just 1 to beat.
ALFRED BOUCHER 16:10
more heart than head this, so adjust stakes accordingly, i tipped him last season when he was WD from a really nice opportunity, this looks a lot trickier, top of his rating and in a higher class field, trainer not in form as such but 10/1 4 places, I will chance him as he personally owes nothing.
as i thought, potentially too much of an ask in this race/circumstance but we will take the place. onwards.
persuasion 3.35 ew
when you’re a big as fav as IDENTIFIED is in the 15:50, it may be the exception to the rule but DANNY TUDHOPE is generally a LOSING machine in these silver silks.
i mentioned MLW Bell recently, he has 100/1 4th, and massive figures placings recently, no hayley turner on, but C LEE is mustard on debutants for K Burke so will chance him at 6s.
a shame, MR RYDER very awkward early on, still placed and beats the odds on, losing machine tudhope in silver.
Fastest guineas on record.
Military March is the one I’m taking out of the race for the Derby.
Kameko will probably go fav now but for me hes a 10f horse
445
no tip but MARQUAND is the jockey you want to see in these silks for Haggas, much more reliable than Doyle. backed into 11/8 the horse has only lost once, however that was over CD against the 2nd fav QAySAR 4/1, NAHAARR is 1lb better off and no longer has a claimer in the stirrups. qaysar is also burdened with ryan moore. think i’ll have an bet on 11yo sir maximilian, won lto over 7, his first try, at 22/1s dont mind losing a throwaway stake for interest. NAHAARRR is my 3rd leg of a big 5 fold, so will probably smash into 2nd.
555n
put up INDIANAPOLIS 11/1 during the Shergar Cup last year, he won at a nice price and has won since, now rated 100 it’ll be trickier but he shouldn’t mind the late rain and again at a nice price, he can carry some risk free EW money for me.
17.30 Lingfield 5 – Dragon Sun @ 4/5 Place Betting – 3 Places
18.15 Newcastle 6 – Jackamundo @ 11/8 Place Betting – 3 Places
19.15 Lingfield – Paying 4 places instead of 3 10 – Javelin @ 11/10 Place Betting – 4 Places
treble
amazing red 5.55 ew
I saw many bad rides from R. Moore in the past , but today was the biggest joke of the day on Qaysar , how must you feel , when you have big bet on it OMG .
it’s been two seasons since he was worth backing, dont think anything who follows racing gives him the time of day anymore, but yeah to be 5l last to come through to challenge, what is he thinking?
Late shout for musici magor