This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
A poor Royal Ascot for me, hence why I am dodging the final day. A couple of unlucky cases, but no excuses, as it's simply not clicked this week. Thankfully, we're in good profit for the month still and I like the look of two runners at Newmarket:
This is probably between the two horses at the top of the market, and rightly so, as they are the in form horses who are still unexposed and coming into this race on the back of a win. Of the two, I'm going to side with SPANISH KISS.
I watched Spanish Kiss absolutely hack up last time at York, and he was extremely impressive. Before the race they were saying that this lad has potential to be a nice horse, but he refuses to settle. Last time out he settled beautifully and he stormed home. You can probably say he was sat in the correct position, right next to the leader, so he could've kicked on whenever Daniel Muscutt pressed the button, but I just think he is a progressive horse. The form of that race from York has worked out extremely well with 3 wins and 1 place coming from 8 runs next time out.
Another reason to believe Spanish Kiss is the answer, because there is a lack of pace in this race, which means it could turn into a bit of a sprint, and I think he is speedier than Crossing The Bar. Sir Michael Stoute's horse looked a dour stayer when he won at Carlisle, so I can't imagine he'd want a steadily run race.
A stiff 7f with slow ground could be perfect for GRAYSTONE who has only been raised 2lb for his recent win at Yarmouth, and I think that could be very lenient.
He stayed on very strongly that day, on good-to-soft ground, beating the favourite, Akkeringa into third. That horse has since won, and has proven that he was well handicapped as I thought he was, when I tipped him up in that race against Graystone when he got beat.
Graystone's form as a 2yo is quite strange, as if you looked at the bare figures, you'd say he had no chance before winning lto. But, if you look into it, he had contested some very hot races, and didn't disgrace himself, even though he was given a starting handicap mark of 66.
He has to prove that he'll handle ground softer that good-to-soft, but he's by Dark Angel and his progeny tend to handle any going. With him going up 2lbs for his recent win, I think he is extremely well handicapped, and even though Final Watch looks like he could win again, he is carrying 13lbs more than Graystone, which could be telling factor.