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Ripp Orf doesn't appear to be the same horse he once was, and it wouldn't surprise me to see him retired, as he owes nothing to his owners. Stone Of Destiny and Passionova ran decent enough races, with both missing the places by narrow margins. The race at Ascot was run at a crawl, and that didn't suit Passionova at all, I won't be giving up on her just yet.
This selection won't be everyone's cup of tea, which I totally understand, as a lot of punters just stick to UK and Ireland racing, but I do think SISFAHAN has a nice chance in the Group 1 over at Baden-Baden.
When studying this race I thought the Godolphin horse is worth taking on, despite the fact that Godolphin has won the last three renewals of this race. I tipped up Passion And Glory at Glorious Goodwood in the Group 3, where he managed to hang on by the skin of his teeth, beating Euchen Glen by a neck. Before that race, I said in my piece that he could be a Group horse in the making, and he has proven that by winning a Group 3, but I'm not totally sold on the form, and I think he received a world class ride to win that race, which makes me think that he can be opposed. It's often hard to weigh up the form of foreign horses, but my gut instinct is that some of the German horses are better than what he has beaten.
Torquator Tasso was an interesting runner in this race, and probably will go close, but he always seems to be running on in the dying stages of the race, and does have an awkward head carriage. He was the favourite for this race last year, but was beat by Barney Roy & Communique. He was impressive in a Group 2 at Hamburg the time before his last race, but arguably didn't beat much. His most recent run summed up his career, often travels well throughout his races but gets into top gear too late, and was beat by English raider, Alpinista.
My final thoughts landed on Sisfahan who is still lightly raced, and is already a Group 1 winner, winning the German Derby at the start of July. I doubt any of you have watched this, or will watch it, but the winning margin of 1.25 lengths is much lower than it should've been. He was held up in a 20 runner race, was one of the widest when turning for home, but absolutely powered away when hitting top gear, and it was an impressive performance. The runner up has finished 2nd in a Group 3 in France, with the winner of that race recently followed up by winning a Group 2. Being a 3yo he gets the weight for age allowance, which means he is 7lbs lighter than the 4yo male horses. The German Derby had a good winner back in 2020, In Swoop won that race and went on to finish 2nd in last year's Arc, so I wouldn't underestimate the form of the German Derby.
Another horse who I previously tipped up was Millebosc, who completely bombed out in the Group 2 at Deauville last month, so if he wins I will be spewing.
To see Peter Fahey send over a runner for the final race at York seems a little strange, so they must really fancy their chances in this race.
SHAMAD is sent on a 600+ mile round trip from Monasterevin, Co. Kildare, Ireland to York which is around a 14 hour drive return. Peter Fahey isn't one to send runners to England, so when he does, it should be noted. In the last five years he has sent one runner to York (this horse, in this race), and that has resulted in a win, so it goes to show he doesn't mess around when sending his horses on a long trip.
The jockey booking of Joanna Mason is another positive, as she is one of the leading apprentices in England, and is a very good jockey booking for an apprentice race.
He is currently rated 72, which puts him on a dangerous mark, when you consider the fact he won this exact race in 2019 off a mark of 72, and then followed up with a win off 75 in his very next race. This has obviously been the plan for him, and his recent runs have definitely been used as a prep run for this.
At the time of writing he is ridiciously big odds, but when punters cotton on to the fact he is a previous winner, I think he will be well supported.
12:00 Ayr - Race: 1
12:15 Cork - Race: 1
12:35 Ayr - Race: 2