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The main action from Sunday unfolds at The Curragh with a couple of Group races and some competitive handicaps. I've opted out of that and played a couple of runners at Windsor.

Windsor 2:15

Runner Jacket

Trainer: Harry & Roger Charlton

Jockey: William Buick

Form

Novice races can be tricky to figure out, but based on the horses who have run, it looks like a weak race and LEAF MOTIF can make a winning debut.

The future champion jockey, William Buick, takes the ride which is a confident booking for a horse who is making its debut. William rode a winner for the Charlton's yesterday, winning on a fairly short-priced favourite.

Leaf Motif has a nice enough pedigree and is bred for this kind of trip. She is a full-sister to Partitia who was a decent horse for Sir Michael Stoute in 2016 & 2017, getting to as high as 89 in the handicap, winning two races throughout her nine-raced career. She is also a half-sister to Angel Palm who managed to get to a rating of 99 for Ger Lyons, and she's not been seen since so has probably gone off to become a broodmare.

This filly doesn't need to be anything out of the ordinary to win this, and the only concern is the level of maturity she is at and how green she'll be for her first run. The Varian horse has had a few attempts to win a race but hasn't managed to do so, she'll find this much easier than what she's been up against but she is susceptible to a better horse, as she doesn't look a world-beater.

An opening price of 2/1 looks more than fair.

Windsor 4:55

Runner Jacket Trainer: Sir Michael Stoute

Jockey: William Buick

Form: 53-4

Sir Michael Stoute's 3yo filly of Ulysses might be let in light off a handicap debut mark of 75. KIRILENKO has run well in her three previous novice or maiden races and will now find it easier entering handicapping company.

She has bumped into a couple of nice fillies along the way including Zanbaq, who finished 1.25L ahead of Kirilenko. That horse is now rated 105 after finishing a close second in a Royal Ascot handicap. The horse who finished runner-up behind Zanbaq has gone on to win twice since and ran respectably in the same handicap at Ascot. The form of Kirilenko's most recent race is starting to work out nicely with the winner winning the time after and then finishing a close runner-up in a Group 2 at Royal Ascot. Sea Silk Road, who won that novice race, won by 5.5L which might mean the winner was above average and the rest were fairly poor, but that's not the case as there have been form boosters in behind. The runner-up won next time out, beating a horse who has since gone on and won since. Ashky was a winner yesterday at Newmarket, she was back in fifth. The seventh-place horse has finished runner-up in her next two races as well.

I don't think the other horses in this race have the same level of form, despite being more ‘hardy' from handicaps, which is often a positive. Buick is a positive jockey booking and this lightly raced filly can finally get off the mark at the fourth time of asking.

23 Comments
  1. jwpepper 2 months ago

    U 1500 Nevilles Cross Top 6 Finish Evens
    Francky Du Berlais and Nevilles Cross both Top 6 11/4 (Worryingly price boosted by sky)
    C 1510 Harrys Bar 25/1 E/W 6 Places
    U 1535 Eritage 15/2 E/W Return Ticket 12/1 E/W 3 Places
    W 1550 Carp Kid 9/1 E/W 4 Places with sky
    U 1640 Major Snugfit 6/1 Ten Past Midnight 17/2

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Well done yesterday , some good picking 👍

  2. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    3:00 uttoxeter- dhowin 12/1 e/w

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Going to do it with carp kid as an e/w double here’s hoping 🤞

  3. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    hey Frankie 2.00 ew well done all winners yesterday

  4. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    champagne gift 1.30 ew

  5. busstop.2018 2 months ago

    Afternoon All . No bets for a coupe of days certainly glad i avoided Saturday.

    UTTOXETER

    14.30. .Pounding Poet. .3/1

    15.35. .Bathiva. .3/1

    16.10. .Duke Of Luckley. .4/1

    CARTMEL

    14.50. .Dee Star. .5/2.

    GL ALL

    3
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      💰💰💰💥

  6. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Onward route 1-30 uttoxeter 2-1. 🏇

    1
  7. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Onward route 1-30 uttoxeter 2-1. 🏇

    1
  8. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Lermoos legend 3-30 uttoxeter 3-1 NAP 🏇

  9. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Should be called loser not Windsor!

    1
  10. recoba 2 months ago

    Mist old boy Jerrysback there,backed him last time at 14/1 with a big £1.50 if I remember right and it goes and wins at 33/1!! 🤦🏽‍♂️

  11. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Full house for everyone today I think 😂

    1
  12. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    twilight girl 5.00

  13. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    monarchs brae 5.25 ew well done all winners today

  14. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    This is painful to watch

    Here you go here’s a winner for you

    Race 1 Monmouth- a looker 5/1 💰💥

  15. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Ron’s gizmo 6-44 woodbine 6-1 ew betfred

    2
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      State planning 7-03 Belmont.
      20-1 ew 2 places.
      9-4 top 3 finish.
      Both bet365 🇺🇲

      1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Yee ha Ron duz da biz 🇺🇲

  16. recoba 2 months ago

    Belmont-R8…Kept Waiting. 4/1. (* single)
    Woodbine-R7… Alfie Princess. 4/5 for a double

  17. recoba 2 months ago

    Los Alamitos -R5….Mary Margaret 3/1.
    good win in only 2nd run and keeps sane apprentice jockey with a weight allowance on board again.

    • recoba 2 months ago

      See what happens when you try to post quickly!

      Mary Margaret is from tracker ,I’ve only just noticed when looking at the race on ATR as there tracker never notified me it was running along with Jerrysback that won 33/1?

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