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We'll start off with Monday's winner. Imperial Saint was relatively weak in the market but proved that the market doesn't mean everything as he won with plenty in hand after cruising past the long-time leader. He looks like a nice horse and he is in fact part of the Richard Johnson syndicate and gave them their first winner, so congratulations to them. It wouldn't surprise me if Richard Johnson follows in the successful syndicate footsteps of Noel Fehily.

Mullinaree on the other hand was all over the place in the market and in his race. He was weak, then came back in a bit before the off. He left me with the impression he has the ability to win races over fences, but his constant desire of wanting to go quicker than the jockey will allow him is going to be his biggest problem. He made a mess at two of the fences, but other than that I thought he jumped nicely, going low and quick over the fences. Once they find the key to get him to settle, he'll be ahead of the handicapper.

Sedgefield 2:20 – For Three 5/2 (2pt)

I had this race between two horses, but ultimately I think For Three will come out superior. The other horse who I think will finish in behind is El Jefe, with maybe Whitehaven back in third.

This horse was well-supported on his first start for the Sam England stable over today's C&D and went through the race like the winner but was just seen off by Horn Cape from the Ben Haslam stable. I can't exactly use that this horse needed the run as he was only coming off the back of a 75-day absence, so chances are that he was in peak physical condition, but if he wasn't and has come on for that run then I think he should be very tough to beat today.

bet365

Lewis Stones held him up off the pace for the first circuit but then made a fairly quick move to bring him through the field, which saw him leading before the final turn. He was cruising through the race, and was only touched off in the final furlong, eventually losing by 0.5L with El Jefe back in third, a further 4.5L behind. El Jefe has since won a race in decent style, so the form seems strong enough to compare it against the others in this race. El Jefe and For Three were racing off the same racing weight last time out, today For Three will be carrying 1lb more with the jockey's claims taken into consideration, and based on when they met, that shouldn't be enough to see a change in the placings.

For Three has won four times over hurdles for other trainers, those wins have been off 104, 108 and 112 (x2), so he is a well-handicapped horse and the return to form, especially with the money down was a very encouraging run.

I mentioned the Donald McCain horse at the start, Whitehaven. That horse was a fairly useful handicapper for Hughie Morrison, but he hasn't exactly made great strides in his novice/maiden races to get his handicap mark. He should be better than his opening mark of 99 when you realise he is rated around the 80s on the flat, but this is his first start this season and he has never won when fresh in the past, so he is probably best watched unless significant money comes in.

Southwell 12:40 – Generous Day 11/2 (1pt, Bet365)

Going for an ageing horse against younger ones is normally not the best tactic when trying to land a winner, but sometimes you've got to look at the quality of the race and the horse you like. In my opinion, Generous Day deserves to be backed on the basis he won this race last year, and the race last year looks a lot better than today's.

This horse has previously won on his second start after a break, twice, so with this being his second start of the season and they're attempting to win the race they won last year, I think he has a great chance off just 2lbs higher this time around. He made a satisfactory comeback run at Huntingdon 29 days ago, recording an RPR of 109 which was much better than last year's opening run which led to him winning this. Last year he beat a horse called Heltenham, who I think I tipped to win this race last year, that horse was rated 107 at the time and then went on to win three on the bounce, then flopped at Cheltenham in April, but bounced back to win over hurdles just a couple of weeks ago. His rating over fences is now 134, which is 27lbs higher than when Generous Day smoked him by 4L. Obviously, Heltenham wasn't the finished article when they met, but he had already won a race so was clearly in a rich vein of form and ridiculously well handicapped, and this year I can't seem to find a horse who is remotely close to that level.

He made all in this race last year and his wins normally come when he is leads, but with another likely pacemaker in this race in the form of Tom Creen it will make things a bit more difficult, I just hope James Davies doesn't get into a pace burnup. If he can grab the lead, go for it, but if they are wrestling for it for a few fences I'd rather him just surrender it.

Tom Creen is an interesting runner with a record of 4/8 over fences, but his wins have come at Sedgefield so that raises questions and he just scraped home last time out.

I'm not sure which way my selection will go in the market, he is probably a bit shorter than I thought he'd be, but maybe punters are latching onto the same angle that I've stated. I wouldn't be surprised if he drifted out slightly, before being backed in again before the off.

Horse Racing Tips
For Three
Sedgefield - 2:20 pm

5/2 @ Bet365

Generous Day
Southwell - 12:40 pm

11/2 @ Bet365

33 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    3:10 Southwell- sarsen 7/1

    1:20 sedgefield- ashington 4/1

    1
  2. recoba 3 months ago

    🇺🇸
    See if we can clean up the Mountains

    Mountaineer -Race 2…S S Complelaruon EVS
    Race 4..Uncle Carlito 10/3.
    Race 5….Likeabke 2/1
    Race 7…Rock Rose 6/4
    Race 8…Sufferin Succotash 3/1

    GL if your having a play.

    1
    • recoba 3 months ago

      Not so good and Sufferin Succotash is ont
      New favourite Stellar Legacy looks obvious play but now 10/11 in the last at Mountaineer 👎
      Bed time 🥱

      Onwards to tomorrow 👉

      1
  3. edgeman 3 months ago

    Recoup NR now.

    2
  4. hibee1 3 months ago

    Recoup unfortunately a non runner its a shame as he was as short as 4/11 this morning so the 5/6 was looking a decent bet.

    Does anyone else sense a Peter Bowen plot in the 2.50 at Sedgefield with Methusalar? This could be a potentially well handicapped horse here. Trainer has a good record with chasers this season with a 21% strike rate. This horse has ran twice over fences, both times on right handed tracks and both times the horse was jumping left. Today he runs him at a left handed track.
    That last run was over way too far a distance and strangely he was actually well supported and went off favourite. His debut run over fences was off 95, then dropped to 90 for last run and now for this race is running off 86. So he’s been dropped another 4 lb after running over a trip way too far. I’m convinced the yard knew what they doing they trying to get him dropped again. His only career win was over hurdles off a mark of 98 so this is potentially a very well treated horse.
    So today he runs left handed, which looks to suit based on his last 2 runs. He’s dropped in the weights once again. He wears a tongue tie for the first time which is really interesting. He’s dropped back in trip to the same distance which he won over hurdles. Yard has a 21% strike rate at the track over the last 5 seasons, only sending 28 up here with 6 winning and 14 placed. Also its the yards only runner of the day and this has been sent on a massive 600 mile trek.
    I’m convinced of a good run today I think Mr Bowen knows exactly what he’s doing. I could be wrong though but I’m happy to take a chance at 7/2 to see if I’m right.

    10
    • Super Wilf 3 months ago

      Could be on to something now 2/1

      🤞

      2
    • smoothsailor 3 months ago

      Interestingly, the horse is owned by the Peter Bowen Racing Club.

      Fingers crossed, it does the business Hibee1.

      3
    • hibee1 3 months ago

      Just want to point out something important, in the time I was writing out my bet ( probably took about 30 mins lol) Ballybeg Boss was declared a non runner so I’ve obviously been hit with a R4 so don’t be thinking it’s been backed from 7/2 into 2/1. Although there is clearly money for it anyway. And I’d forget to mention the owner as well whatbi thought was interesting as well.

      All the best everyone.

      4
    • smoothsailor 3 months ago

      With the 30p rule 4 factorered in, the 7/2 effectively becomes 5/2 so that the price drop to 2/1 is influenced mostly by this rule 4.

      Anyway, let’s just hope it wins which is the main thing 👍

      1
  5. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    Jake Stevens 12.15 ew well done all winners yesterday

    7
  6. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    the lucky lobster 12.30 ew couldn’t really now what the horse is really capable of as it did unseat the rider last time so bit of a risk punt

    1
  7. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    onestepatatime 12.50 got on before the value gos

    1
  8. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    kiln time 2.00 nap

  9. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    saddlers bay 1.10 nb

  10. ew thief 3 months ago

    Trac 2.50s 15-2 all in ☘️☘️gl all

    3
  11. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    zaras universe 2.20.ew

    1
  12. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    looked at that 2.50 can’t seem to get past Zuckerberg good luck whatever your on though

    8
  13. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    Tom creen 12.40

    1
  14. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    robyndeglory 1.30 ew

  15. Rizzel Tips 3 months ago

    Such a bad ride on For Three.

    No attempt to settle the horse and then he watched the second fav sneak up the inside, still didn’t move when he went past him. Awful.

    2
  16. spurs55 3 months ago

    easy to find a winner with my system

    GIDDY UP! 🏆🏇
    YOU HAVE WON £5.85
    W
    7. Vanilla Dancer
    4/1
    11/2
    28th Nov SEDGEFIELD 15:20 FLAT 2m 0f 178y – W

    3
    • spurs55 3 months ago

      oh
      and this one

      Won
      3 – Jack’s A Legend @ 5/2
      Win

      15.10 Southwell

      2
  17. spurs55 3 months ago

    oh and a nice ew


    Placed
    8 – Noriska De La Mare @ 16/1
    Win

    15.30 Tramore

  18. spurs55 3 months ago

    when i get the sequence right it’s easy


    Won
    6 – Aristobulus @ 10/1 11/1
    Win

    15.40 Southwell

    1
  19. spurs55 3 months ago

    really unlucky i think on this one!!!
    L
    13. Go Battle
    16/1

    W
    3. Jacks A Legend
    2/1 85/40

    W
    7. Vanilla Dancer
    4/1 11/2

    W
    6. Aristobulus
    12/1

    onwards

  20. elvis parsley 3 months ago

    Il ritorno 4-20 deauville 🇫🇷
    16-1 ew extra 7 places.

    Rubbish racing today isn’t it peeps 😭

    2
    • spurs55 3 months ago

      defo
      been shit all week

      where is the evening donkey stuff ????

      1
  21. spurs55 3 months ago

    Baileys Blues @ 7/1SP

    Win – 16.55 Deauville

    2
  22. recoba 3 months ago

    🇺🇸 / 🇲🇽
    Another or bigger night in New Mexico with 5 Stakes races with Distaff and Sprint Cup in there and last 2 are the the new (I think?) Zia Park Oaks and Derby! 🐎 👌

    Zia Park Distaff -Race 7…Cannodling 9/4 ***
    Sprint Cup – Race 8…Competitive Idea 7/2 ***+
    Hes in my tracker from a race in January but see he deat heated in the race held at Sunland Park last year.
    Combination forecast 1-6-8 *
    Mahoning Valley Race 9…The Miracle Kuit 7/4 ****

    Zia Park Race 6 is the Juvenile Stakes with American Rascal that you may remember from Royal Ascot is as short as 4/7 now and Flying Connection should win Oaks which is Race 9 but around 4/6 best so combo forecast etc for entertainment or maybe in double or trebles?

    Zia Park Juvenile Sprint Race 6… = 3 – 5 Straight Forecast **+
    *Add 4 -7 for small combo forecast
    *Zia Park Oaks Race 9… = 2 -5- 6 and 9

    Mahoning Valley Race 4..Sabelle 4/1
    Betfred promotion money back as free bet if 2nd or 3rd’ ***

    GL all and well done winners today ✅

  23. spurs55 3 months ago

    how did i miss this one

    19:33 Zia Park

    Bender (USA)
    12/1

    1
    • recoba 3 months ago

      Lol.
      It wasn’t without a chance (obviously) but never looked at the race and Futurama vision would have led me to put “a buck o five” on it at least?

  24. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    19:33 Zia park – bender 😂 about right !

    • spurs55 3 months ago

      exactly my point dazzman

      1

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