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Minella Drama was given a very poor ride yesterday by Brian Hughes. He seemed far too confident, and gave his mount far too much to do, and gave him no sight of the fences, which saw him jump the final four quite badly.
I am going to take a punt on trainer, Jack Barber, being able to transform FENRIR BINDING on his stable debut.
When he was trained by Samuel Drinkwater, he showed next to nothing, but the fact Jack Barber has acquired him makes him of interest. Jack is a very underrated trainer in my opinion, and has made a cracking start to the new season. In the last fortnight he has had 3 wins from 5 runners which is a 60% SR.
This horse does have a pedigree for chasing, so there is a good chance that he is better than his current rating of 82. His mum is a full sister to the very talented jumps horse, Harry Topper, who won two Grade 2's over fences, and has a peak performance of a 170RPR. This race doesn't look cracking by any means, with the obvious chances being well found in the market, but have to carry heavy weights. Fenrir Binding gets into this race off a weight of 10st 4lbs, so is in receipt of plenty of weight.
A horse who appeared to be back into a little bit of form last time was MARBLE MOON and I expect him to be very tough to beat in this drop in class.
This horse is hovering around a dangerous mark, and he is well handicapped. When you take the rider's 5lb claim into considering he is effectively running off 97, which is below his last winning of 100 which was in May earlier this year. I thought his most recent start was actually a creditable run despite the fact the winner won by 16L. Marble Moon travelled very well through the majority of the race, but only struggled when the winner breezed past and he couldn't go the pace with him. He was then past by the eventual 3rd placed horse, but the selection stuck to his task, jumped well to the finish and regained the 2nd spot on the line. I also thought his 2nd at Fontwell was a decent run as well, where he beaten by an in form horse.
This trip on good ground should give him every chance of winning this, and I don't think this race is all that competitive. Most of the opposition come into this race off poor recent runs and have something to prove. Marble Moon will have to carry a heavy weight, but like I previously mentioned, 5lbs is taken off from the rider who is a decent apprentice. The last time he raced in a Class 5 over fences he won, and he won by 8L, so I think he will appreciate this weaker race.