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Very frustrating to see how poor Back To Brussels was after being backed into 10/3 second fav. I'm going to avoid the Shergar Cup today, as that isn't a betting angle at all, so I've put my money on the Haydock meeting.
Haydock 2:25
I'm not a big fan of Silvestre De Sousa, especially on Saturday's where racing is at is peak for the week, as I don't think he is that good in the big races. However, this isn't a ‘big' race, and he is on a well handicapped horse in my opinion, so it should be hard for him to mess this one up.
FANTASTIC FOX definitely is 100% better than his current mark of 94, and it would be disappointing if he doesn't go out and win today, as based on his form he surely must be the one to beat. I think De Sousa gave him a stinker last time at Ascot, they didn't go a great gallop and he had his mount in second last position, which was far too much for him to do, so the fact he finished as close as he did was a real testament to the horses ability.
My main concern about today is the ground, which will probably be bottomless come the time of the race. He has ran twice on soft ground, one being his debut run where he finished 3rd of 17, the other was when he was 12th out of 14 at Royal Ascot, so there is mixed messages. He is by Frankel, and a lot of his progeny thrive on the soft ground, and that is why I'm willing to give him a chance. He was well fancied at Royal Ascot, going off at odds of 11/2, so something tells me tat something more was amiss that day, than the soft ground, as they were clearly expecting a big run.
He is a 3yo, so will get the weight allowances from the two Godolphin runners, who both carry quite big weights (10st 2 and 9st 10). Dubai Mirrage won this race last year, but he's higher in the weights this time around, and I think he'll find it hard to concede the weight to the selection, as well as the question mark on the ground.
Royal Mews is a complete no go in my opinion. The Gosden runner has ran all three of his races on the All Weather, so to then race on conditions like this is a huge risk if you are wanting to back him. Obviously, he could love the conditions, and could be much better than a mark of 91 as he is unexposed, but there are risks attached. As for the other two I think Bakersboy will be the interesting runner for Tom Dascombe who does very well at this track, and will carry 8st 3lbs.
Haydock 3:00
My each way play of the weekend comes in the next race at Haydock, and I like the look of Micky Hammond's new recruit, CARNIVAL ZAIN.
This horse was previously trained in France by E J O'Neil, but was recently transferred to Yorkshire based trainer, Micky Hammond. He has had one run so far for Micky, and that wasn't without promise. I think it's interesting that they've dropped him back from a mile to 7f on only his second run for the yard, but I do think it will suit, especially in today's racing conditions. He was staying on nicely last time, but then his efforts petered out when entering the final furlong, so I think the drop back in trip could suit. He is a horse who has been tried and clearly does stay 10f, as he finished 2nd over that trip.
It appears that he handles the soft ground, as he finished 2nd on that ground, and ran a decent enough race on his last for E J O'Neil on soft ground. He has been withdrawn twice whilst being trained in England on ground which was described as Good To Firm, so connections clearly think he doesn't want fast ground.
The form of his last race has worked out quite well, producing two winners and a decent amount of placed efforts, so the fact he was dropped 1lb for that run is a bonus. Billy Garrity takes the ride again on him and will take away a further 3lbs from his current weight of 9st 2lbs, which will be a nice weight to carry in conditions which will be testing their stamina.
On Fantastic Fox already so glad Rizzle likes him too although I am a fan of SDS and if he pushes to the front unlike the last run as Rizzle says he should be hard to beat.
Single and a double …
Fantastic Fox..2.25. 7/4(****)
Wild Beauty…2.50. 9/4. Doubles near 8/1 bet365
Good watching last night in the USA and 2 singles won but Yankee was pants!
Best race meeting of the season tonight in Saratoga with A.O’Brien amongst other UK raiders running. Bishoi Ballet was excellent last time and should take all the beating.
My main bet at a better price that I’ll put up with the rest before I change my mind or prices change is…
Saratoga-R8…Search Results. 5/2 (***** Iras Ortiz Jnr on board for Chad Brown who trained his 2000 winner last night with Ortiz on board. Horse was forced wide in a G1 last time but swung round the bend and asserted in the straight so I think he can win this even more comfortably)
R7…War Goddess 6/4
R9…BishoI Ballet. 6/4 (****) Really impressive turn of foot last run in a G1 in USA and more to come and had a few behind last time too.
R10…Knicks Go. 11/8
2x singles and a Yankee as usual above 👆 ⬆️
GL all today and tonight! 🐎🇬🇧🐎🇺🇸👍
Should said I’ve been waiting for these 2 to run again from my tracker and ounce the prices came up this morning I was straight on which isn’t my usual tactic in the USA but quitely confident and I can’t see prices lasting.
Nice tips and write up ,ill do it now get the price thanks
Cheers TheBigFlu it’s all heating up for The Breeders Cup start of November.
On ITV tae 👏🏽 😁🇺🇸
Do you play the itv 7 ?? If so theres a bit were you can start a mini league and you get a code and put it up in here so we can all join ,its just a bit of fun , someone has to set it up ?
Thats a cracking wee 6 timer its still going,,,i put them 4 usa ones in a yankee i shoulda done a 6fold big money if it comes home
Morning all. Well done to all the winners yesterday.
Ew lucky 15 for me.
Faire Croire@ 35s Cork 2.42
Rugaday@33s Cork 3.50
Sors@66s Cork 4.20
Wolfofallstreet @25s Kilb 7.45 ( this was pulled out from Wexford yesterday)
GL with all your bets today 🤞
stone of destiny 12.50 indain indainapolis 1.25 Sam Cooke 2.00 neptune legend 3.25 euchen Glen 4.10 well done all winners yesterday
Well done all winners yesterday
Under oath 2’15n,m,,,,,petticoat rule 15.17cork,,,,,,lola show girl,,15.35,karlsberg 15,50 my yankee for today GL everyone
Cheers Rizzel . Good napping much obliged sir 👍
Nice one Rizzel! Took it in a trixie with Lola Showgirl 3.35 Haydock and Euchen Glen 4.10 Haydock
I’m on your 2 early bird selections hopefully the ground won’t be to much of a problem but I’ve done them e/w hopefully as a bet to nothing . Good luck 👍
Yeah I have those as a single and a double too Dazz (liked the early bird prices). Ground shouldn’t be an issue for Lola’ showgirl but is a big concern for Royal Scimitar.
Hopefully they do the business.
Sorry Dazz. Lola Showgirl was a disappointment today.
Royal Scimitar actually ran a decent race after fluffing the start and was just pipped at the post. Still think he is going places.
Easy as in the end by the best horse I don’t know what SDS was doing last time out Rizzle as you pointed out.
Rest of the day is gravy(kinda) as I can sit back and know that bar a disaster I’ll only been down a few £€$¥ for a good amount of great racing I’d be watching anyway.
I was probably a little harsh on SDS in my piece, I think he is a good jock, but I prefer him at the smaller meetings or on the AW.
Something doesn’t quite click for him on the big race days I feel. Maybe it’s the level of horses he rides?
Nice performance in the end for Fantastic Fox, who has keen again. When he learns to settle, he could be a weapon.
Nice tip rizz
I think SDS and M.Barzalona if they hit the front are 2 of the best to get the job done but you were right Rizzle on his last run. 👍
Job done .
I might look daft here but ATR ‘expert’ that’s possibly looking for value as they do and fair enough
,though how can you do a write up on Saratoga R9 and not even mention Bashoi Ballet like he’s nowt??
Only got 3 winners today i had a nightmare just like the irish team,so do a lot of bets in the u s a heres my yankee first of many,,redhair and freckles 6’10 w b,,,,bourbon wildcat 6.55 pimlico,,,fire in the hole 6’19 pimlico,,souper pecan 6’38 woodb ,, gl
Peter Fornatale did a race preview last weekend on Sky Sports Racing and spoke quiet highly of Bolshoi Ballet then.
I’m on a side bet of Fire In The Hole(5/4) just in meantime at P.imlic so here’s hoping it’s best form.
Dennigl that’s good to hear and Boshoi Ballet shouldn’t be beat tonight! Yes anything can happen but he’s aimed at better after a great G1 win in the US that if you can get a watch at I’d advice,much like Search Results.
Boshoi Ballet is G1 winner in the UK too and looked like he’s at home wherever he lays his hooves!
GL all and it’ll be good watching at worst 👀🐎🇺🇸
Lingfield 5.35 THUNDER AHEAD 13/8
Lingfield 6.35 HELAVAPCE 2/1
Good luck everyone
Lucky deal 5-30 Newmarket.
2-1 top 2 finish.
4-1 without dashing harry
Jessie Allen 6-25 Ayr.
25-1 ew extra 6 places.
Sprung a 40-1 shock here last month.
Lighting doesn’t strike twice though does it ??
Intriguing lady 7-25 Ayr
11-4 win
And
7-4 without Kentucky rose.
Fire In The Hole…TheBigFlu that’s what you call ‘stalking ‘ and it’s a nightmare at times but when it’s done right…YAHTZEE!! 🇺🇸🐎
Nice i done a Canadian dr roger ,acting lucky ,,charlie potatoes ,,just waiting on cry no more 9’42 and sweet penelope 23 40”heres hoping and on my own yankee i have evil lyn that was 2nd waiting on dark oak,,,,me wireless,,,and on brilliant watch out for them last few GL nice tip with your first waiting on yours aswell so 3 bets going
Dark oak win 100’30 just Mr wireless and on brilliant now
Got 2 bets up my one and your one minus that ballet ,you were unlucky between us me must have picked ten winners easy.Am a dick with i done a 4 fold now was 800’1 ffs instead i got all my money back for today i started with 13 pound the smoring back up to 14 good raceing in the usa tonight
HELAVAPACE WINS for another winning day
onto tomorrow looking at a couple at Haydock