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Yesterday was a decent day with a 11/2 drifted price winner in Richie Valentine, who beat the gambled on Lost In Montmartre. Zafar travelled well throughout his race, but didn't pick up when needed, so he's possibly in the grips of the handicapper.

Warwick 1:00

Novice races aren't generally my ‘go to' race for a selection, but I get the feeling that MERRY MISTRESS will be overlooked in the market, and could offer some good value against the horses towards the top of the market.

At a glance, you'd have to say that Cup Of Coffee has the best form on offer, but she has gone off at big odds in the past, and I can't see punters/bookies making the same mistake, as she has outrun her odds on previous occasions. She ran well in a bumper race at odds of 50/1 where she was brought down when clipping heels with a horse in front. I definitely think she would've finished second that day, behind a horse who looks quite smart and is rated in the 130s over hurdles. She then fell at Catterick when travelling well, and that was at odds of 28/1. If they overlook her again, I wouldn't put off anyone from backing her, however, I've gone for a different selection.

Merry Mistress starts her career again under a third different trainer, after being previously trained by Tom Symonds and Matt Shephard. She is now under the control of David Dennis, which could be a bit of genius placing by connections. This horse was a good winner of a bumper race, where she beat a subsequent bumper winner by 8 lengths. She was then tried in tougher races, such as Class 1 bumper races, where she struggled. Her first start over hurdles was an unlucky start, as she was probably about to challenge the leaders until she was scruffy at one of the final hurdles, which meant Tom Bellamy had to ride the rest of the race without his feet in the irons. Her most recent start was better than the distances suggest. She definitely didn't stay the trip of 2m 4f, and that was quite apparent with the way she had a good turn of foot to take second place, but she then tired soon after. I think this drop in trip is what she is after.

David Dennis is her new trainer, and this is her first start for him. This is her third trainer in only six runs, which doesn't give a good impression. However, David Dennis was the person who purchased the horse in the first place from the Goffs sales back in 2019 before she had even raced. I think it could be a smart idea to return her to the place where she was originally meant to be, as David would've seen something he likes about her. Another positive is that Tom Bellamy remains as the rider, as he been on her for five of her six rides.

Warwick 2:35

A mark of 123 and carrying 11st 10lbs might make this challenging, but I believe that EYEOFTHESCORPION is better than his current handicap rating, and will be able to defy a heavy weight.

The form of his second placed finish behind Bushypark at Doncaster at the back end of 2020 has worked out an absolute treat. Bushypark was arguably the most well handicapped horse of last season. He went from an 80 rated hurdler, racked up five wins, and ended the season as a 132 rated animal over hurdles. When Eyeofthescorpion met Bushpark, he had to give away 16lbs away to the winner, and at the time he had a rating of 105, so to finish 2.25 lengths behind that horse was a very good performance. The 3rd and 4th have boosted that form. The 3rd went from being 107 rated to 123 rated which saw him win twice over hurdles. The 4th went from being 114 rated to 136 rated with three wins.

We didn't see the selection for the rest of last season, but he managed to win on his seasonal reappearance at Bangor. The form of that race has also worked out relatively well, with the 3rd and 4th winning since. On that day he only managed to win by a head, but I think it was a good performance for his first start in 231 days off the track. His most recent run saw him go up in trip to 3m 1.5f, and he wasn't disgraced, finishing 2nd. That trip probably stretched his stamina a little too far, so a drop back in trip is seen to be a positive.

19:00 Chelmsford City - Race: 7
Distance: 1m 2f
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Polytrack
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
1
Emblem Empire
21

3
Dubai Vision

5
Immelmann
328

2
Bluenose Belle
7-1

4
Gustav Holst
2347

8
Sheharz
7

6
My Jeanie Rai
59

7
Nahaab
50

19:30 Chelmsford City - Race: 8
Distance: 1m 2f
Type: Flat
Class: 6
Track: Polytrack
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
1
Emblem Empire
21

3
Dubai Vision

5
Immelmann
328

2
Bluenose Belle
7-1

4
Gustav Holst
2347

8
Sheharz
7

6
My Jeanie Rai
59

7
Nahaab
50

12:00 Wincanton - Race: 1
Distance: 1m 7f 50y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
6
Sonning

2
Mister Allegro
1

1
Burristo
2139

3
Epic Pass
P

5
Inferno Sacree
P

4
Gavin
86

7
Undercover Agent

53 Comments
  1. cairnzy1878 3 weeks ago

    Good evening,

    The winning run on NAP singles unfortunately came to end as Wink Of An Eye could only manage 3rd place.

    To the eye it looked like he didn’t stay the trip but I refuse to believe that was the case, he won impressively 4 times over 1m2/3 so we know he definitely stays.

    I think it was a matter of being in a similar situation than he was at York previous to today’s run. He found himself quite far back in the field and Tom Marquand came over the bridle a fair bit out to try close. He did pick off rivals one by one but just had to much to do. Who ever rides him next would need to try ride him more prominently imo.

    Onto my last selection! The odds are probably against me to go out with a bang but I’m going to take a punt against a short priced favourite running at Salisbury.

    2:57 – Salisbury – Wind Your Neck In 4/1

    The jockey booking of Ryan Moore was the first thing that caught my attention. If current market favourite Israr lives up to expectation then it shouldn’t have much trouble in running to win this one however we all know the risks of punting on 2year olds.

    Wind your neck ins 2 runs over c&d have been at this track, I always think it’s a positive when the hour runs well and is familiar with a track. Especially betting on 2year olds who are still learning their trade. Wind your neck in is also getting 6lb from Israr.

    He took a step forward from 1st run when he was just nicked close home here a couple of weeks ago. Clearly on the up and if he takes another step forward with the combination of Moore and the 6lb it could be a close race.

    Thanks again folks for the support. If you ever need or want to ask me anything I’ll be active in comment section if needed.

    Good luck 🤞 🐎

    20
    • Thebigflu 3 weeks ago

      Lol thanks lege

      2
    • cairnzy1878 3 weeks ago

      💥💥💥

      1
    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      You certainly have the gift ! Well done 👍

      3
    • Super Wilf 3 weeks ago

      Brilliant!

      Not worthy

      👏

      2
    • jono5000 3 weeks ago

      Get pick cheers pal hope to see you post some more

      1
    • skipper50 3 weeks ago

      Excellent tipping thanks Cairnzy

    • MattECFC 3 weeks ago

      Please reconsider mate u are gonna be a big miss if u don’t

      2
  2. Thebigflu 3 weeks ago

    Am going to follow C,D Hayes at Ireland for the extra places,and i will back grand scheme 17’12@salisbury G.L

  3. spursman 3 weeks ago

    Small L15

    War 2.00 Any News
    War 2.35 Misty Bloom
    Sal 2.57 Wind Your Neck In
    Sal 3.32 Witch Hunter

    🙂

  4. theplug 3 weeks ago

    Clonmel 1-40 Paddy Wickla 33/1 EW
    Bellewstown 3-05 Trueba 5/2
    Salisbury 5-12 Sayo 12/1 EW
    Warwick 2-35 La Domaniale 4/1
    gl all

    7
    • Inches 3 weeks ago

      Must be a reason frankie is over for one ride today in an €11000 handicapp? Spencer over too though.

    • elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

      Paddy power 🥊
      Well done plugster 🏇

      1
    • Deb2000 3 weeks ago

      Inches it’s a race to remember Barney Curley all money raised goes to his charity’s 👍
      You wouldn’t think Frankie would be far riding for his mate Murtagh

    • Inches 3 weeks ago

      Unreal the plug well in.
      Thanks deb didn’t know that.

      1
    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      Good god plug ! Well done sir 👍👏

      1
  5. postman 3 weeks ago

    2:00 Warwick – Friend or Foe **NB**
    4;42 Salisbury – Martial Law *each way punt*
    8:00 Chelmsford – Another Dawn ***NAP***

  6. Thebigflu 3 weeks ago

    Paddy power special MURPHY Buick -HOLLY,D,to get 1 winner each 5’1

  7. Alves 3 weeks ago

    Going for TWEnclosure special today at Salisbury. Jim Crowley has 4 rides today and is short priced favourite in 3 of them, & 2nd favourite in the last race. 13:50, 14:57, 15:32 & 17:12. Can get 13/2 using WH daily boost.

    Jim Crowley to place in every ride at Salisbury 6/1

    1
  8. admin 3 weeks ago

    We’ve deleted all comments not related to tips from this morning to get this thread back on track.

    22
  9. Sore point 3 weeks ago

    Lingfield 5.35 FIRENZE ROSA 9/1 widely available each way

    Warwick 1.30 SAN FERRIN 7/2 Bet365 only 15 mins to the off though

    Warwick 2.00 LORD BADDESLEY 11/2 widely available

    Great day yesterday but keeping the stakes sensible.

    Good luck everyone

    2
  10. ew thief 3 weeks ago

    Afternoon all well done winners yesterday
    Day trader 2.10l 8-1
    Black medick 2.45l 17-2
    Too shy shy 3.55l 14-1
    Bella notte 4.07s 11-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky15☘️☘️Gl all

  11. soul 3 weeks ago

    win
    2.45l catch my breath 2/1

    ew
    3.55l byzantia 7/1

    place double
    2.35w misty bloom top 3 11/10
    3.45w sorbet top 3 1/1

    1
  12. elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

    Friend or foe 2-00 Warwick 2-1
    Fancied it earlier at 6-5 but too short really but now drifted to 2-1 which is while any news has been backed
    Friend or foe has to give 6 pounds but any news has no chase experience.
    Beyond the clouds and lord baddesley also can win though have been operating in lower grade.
    Could be a blanket finish

    1
  13. theplug 3 weeks ago

    Paddy wickla wins 33/1 wins at 16/1

    16
    • Deb2000 3 weeks ago

      Superb theplug 🔥🔥🔥🔥

      1
    • Thebigflu 3 weeks ago

      Nice tip

  14. elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

    Breagagh 2-30 bellendstown.
    25-1 ew 4 places @betfred
    12-1 ew extra 8 places.

  15. soul 3 weeks ago

    beyond the clouds tip deleted by admin in the clean up, cheers!

    3
    • postman 3 weeks ago

      Well done Soul 👍👏

      1
    • Thebigflu 3 weeks ago

      Well in i never seen it but well done

    • soul 3 weeks ago

      neigh worries, nap wins and ew second, that’ll do us

  16. busstop.2018 3 weeks ago

    Afternoon All Not been posting here for a while but seen admins comment and hope they are able to monitor and stick to it .

    WARWICK

    15.10 . .Fat Sam. .7/2

    15.45. .Yauthym. .5/1

    16.20. .Teds Friend. .7/2

    GL ALL

    7
    • jono5000 3 weeks ago

      Lovely start bus mate always appreciate your tips

  17. postman 3 weeks ago

    Take a bow Plug 👍

    1
  18. cairnzy1878 3 weeks ago

    Wind your neck in! 💥🙌

    Tipped last night at 4/1!

    13
    • MattECFC 3 weeks ago

      Brilliant mate please keep going

  19. theplug 3 weeks ago

    Brilliant mate please keep going

    6
    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      Your the man 💰

      1
  20. Shiver7 3 weeks ago

    Plug thanks, cairnzy thanks hope you decide to stay mate unreal week.

    1
  21. busstop.2018 3 weeks ago

    Nice way come back . .Fat Sam. WINS

    GL ALL

    6
    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      Nice one 👍💰

    • postman 3 weeks ago

      Nice one 👍💰

    • Thebigflu 3 weeks ago

      Nice one bus

  22. dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

    Your all on fire today! big well done shrewdies

    1
  23. Alves 3 weeks ago

    Crawley 3/3 on special, last race looks wide open

    1
    • Thebigflu 3 weeks ago

      Hope you got your special up pal ,,i was waiting on murphy he got a kick in the head

  24. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    Stanley pincomb e 4.20 Henry Miller 4.35 ew

  25. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    well done all winners today and yesterday

  26. Alves 3 weeks ago

    Crawley last horse withdrawn so apparently the 13/2 for last horse to get a place turns into just over evens treble. Pish like

    1
    • Thebigflu 3 weeks ago

      Not to bad mine died befor it began with murphy having to go to hospital

  27. soul 3 weeks ago

    ROBERT WINSTON is back riding, just seen he’s in the 7pm, and had two come back rides already, legend!

    his mount is actually getting well weighted off 76, CD winner off 82 a year ago.

    had a winner today so i will go 0.5pts each way at 16/1 for FIVE PLACES (ew extra 365)

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