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A cracking days racing on Sunday with Group 1 action over in France, and Class 1 racing in Ireland.
Longchamp 12:23
AIR DE VALSE looks to have a strong chance in the opening race of the French Guineas card.
This filly ran many good races last season, especially putting up a good effort in the Prix De l'Abbaye where she finished 6th, 2.25 lengths behind the winner. That is the best form on offer, when you consider, Glass Slippers who finished second, won at the Breeders' Cup in his next race.
Air De Valse's runs this season have progressively got better with every start, but she's probably not ran over her ideal trip of 5f. She doesn't seem to see out a 6f or 5.5f trip as well as she does over the minimum trip, so the drop back in trip should be better for her. She seems to handle any ground, so the fact the ground will probably be soft, shouldn't be an issue, if anything, if she gets an easy lead she could be hard to peg back on soft ground.
Advised: Each Way
Longchamp 3:25
Ralph Beckett was very adamant that LULLABY MOON was a very nice filly, but said that she needs soft/heavy ground if you want to see the best of her. Today, she should get the soft or heavy ground she craves, with a lot of rain due to fall.
She was entered in the English 1000 Guineas, but was withdrawn due to the fast ground, and she has been saved for this race today.
Last year she won a Group 3 at Chantilly, where she did it quite easily in the end, winning by 2 lengths. The 6th placed has since won the next three, including an easy success in a Class 1 Listed race.
The form of her other runs, including the 3rd behind Umm Kulthum is solid form. That horse was 3rd in the Chevely Park Stakes Group 1 last year, behind Alcohol Free, who has since ran well in defeat in the English 1000 Guineas.
I expect the ground to get very testing, especially at the time of the 1000 Guineas, with horses already been racing on the track, and this should suit the selection. Rossa Ryan who has ridden her to two wins said that her turn of foot on soft ground is very good, and that horses will struggle to keep up with that. At the odds, she offers good EW value.
Advised: Each Way
Naas 3:40
The form of his recent runs and his two runs during his juvenile season is enough to think that LOGO HUNTER is capable of winning a Listed sprint. These Listed sprints always look competitive in Ireland, as you have horses who normally compete in Group races, racing in them, but they shoulder high weights. Your usual competitors of Make A Challenge, Urban Beat and Downforce are always ones to take note of, but I think Michael J Browne's progressive and lightly raced 3yo will take the beating, if handling the ground if it gets soft.
On debut he finished behind Aloha Star, that filly has since finished 3rd in a Group 1. On his second start he finished behind Measure Of Magic & Miss Amulet, one is now a 2x Listed Winner and is rated 106, the other is a Group 2 winner and Group 1 placed, 110 rated. In his 3yo campaign so far, he won 2x and been runner-up 2x. The win over Mooneista has been boosted as the runner-up has since won a Listed race, beating some of the horses in today's field. Last time out, Logo Hunter finished behind Measure Of Magic again, which is no disgrace, as he is a progressive sprinter.
As a 3yo, he gets the weight for age allowance, meaning he gets weight all around, 3lb being the lowest and 11lb being the most. My only slight concern is the ground. With four places on offer, I'd side with an EW play (you decide whether you want to play it to win or EW, don't have to follow my strategy).
Naas 4:40
A CASE OF YOU looked to be a sprinter on the up, until he was put in the Guineas trial at Leopardstown, where he was well fancied, but he was too keen and didn't settle. The drop back to 6f is definitely the correct decision, as he looks to have a cracking turn of foot.
The win over Logo Hunter at Dundalk looked easy, as soon as Ronan Whelan pressed the accelerator, he flew home, and that looked to happen with no effort whatsoever. The form of that race has worked out well, as you can see with me tipping Logo Hunter in the previous race.
The soft ground won't be an issue, as he's won on soft before at the Curragh, and Down Royal. I'm hoping he settles better today, and that should be enough for him to run a massive race.
Tonight we have the second leg of the triple crown,
Pimlico is a one-mile dirt oval, The track is known for its exceptionally tight turns and very long stretch run. The stretch measures 1,152 feet from the end of the final turn to the finish line. That’s one of the longest stretch runs in the country, it’s a track that suits speed, more than half the winners at Pimlico this year were in the first 2 places after a quarter of a mile,
This year Bob Baffert won the Kentucky Derby for the 7th time, his previous six winners have seen five go on to win the Preakness, his only Derby winner that didn’t win the Preakness was Authentic last year, Authentic finished 2nd beaten a neck, last years Preakness was run 4 weeks after the Derby instead of the normal 2 weeks due to COVID, which could have gone against Authentic,
It’s hard to see Medina Spirit not winning the Preakness but there is another horse I like as well, the other horse is Midnight Bourbon,
Medina Spirit has good front running pace and front runners have a good record in the Preakness and at Pimlico, Midnight Bourbon is another horse that likes to be up with the pace, he couldn’t get an early lead in the Kentucky Derby because he was bumped early, Midnight Bourbon still ran a creditable 5th even with the early trouble, Bob Bafferts other runner Concert Tour should also be up with the pace but I was disappointed with his last run, his form before that is good enough to win this but I like others,
With the expected fast pace it’s likely we could see a horse coming from behind to grab a place and I like Keepmeinmind for that job
Johnb’s Preakness Stakes top 3 prediction
1st MIDNIGHT BOURBON 9/2
2nd MEDINA SPIRIT 2/1
3rx KEEPMEINMIND 20/1
Hopefully a nice combination tricast (first 3 in any order)
********************
Johnb’s Preakness Stakes Bets
Combination Tricast on Midnight Bourbon, Medina Spirit & Keepmeinmind
MIDNIGHT BOURBON to win 9/2 paddy power
KEEPMEINMIND place only, 3 places
9/2 william hill
KEEPMEINMIND place only, 4 places
9/4 paddy power NAP
I didn’t see Rombauer winning, the race nearly went exactly to plan and got my three in the right order but only as 2nd, 3rd and 4th
Only winner was the NAP with Keepmeinmind 4th
Touch unlucky JohnB!
Took the NAP,low stakes as it was a tough race to call but cheers!
Mean Mary and Chub Wagon strolled it for a nice 2x singles and double.
Well in Mr Humbley 👍
Very unlucky there ! Sorry to see you never landed the gamble but at least your nap landed . There’s always a next time 😀👍
Keep them coming please JohnB as I’m in love with USA these days and all information is appreciated. 👍🇺🇸🐎
Prairie Meadow -R3 Point of Impact 5/2 (***)
Last before bedtime and good jockey/trainer combo been backed off the boards
Till tomorrow 👉🏽
Lovely WIN before bed and it’s way after 12.00 so USA A-👌🇺🇸🐎😘
Was going to tip…
Sha Tin-R10 ..Fantastic Treasure from my tracker but at 1.85 Bef365 price stinks but I’m on. Philip on board
GL and goodnight
So I’ve tipped it?? 😉 🇭🇰
14.10 Nass Knocknillla.
14.40 Nass Pepperoni Pete.
16 40 Nass Magnanimous.
£1 ew trix …..
17.10 Nass Lord Snactch 50p ew place bet 365.
Sha Tin-R1….Valliaint Elegance. 4/1(**)
ATR Carolls shout but guys good even though I’m against him with my odds on tip above 😉🇭🇰
Morning all well done winners yesterday
Hoofs happy now 2.05r 22-1
Iris dancer 2.35r 17-2
Lullaby moon 3.25l 9-1
Zim baby 4.05r 8-1
Ew singles & ew lucky15☘️☘️Gl all
Well done iris dancer I had that one to thanks to an old lady who use to live opposite me named iris haha 😂 👍💰
👍👍dazman
12:23 Longchamp- Ken colt 7/1
Interesting runner mate. Good jockey I’ll see how my Hong Kong horse goes first. Other was 3rd but I’ve faith in our Schofield! Seems better since he cane out.
2:40 – naas – band of outlaws – 15/2
Hong Kong fooey !!!
Ting tong tie…Pepsi cola?”
Drifted to 12/1 now which I actually don’t mind makes it a nice e/w single bet now ha but when the fav is 9/2 you know 12/1 is actually as big as it may first seem
See that mate is had big absence but hopefully means nowt and EW is the play.
Sha Tin. -R9…Decisive Action(***) 8/1 or they don’t do EW so around 2/1 to place
Tracker and ATR Tim Carroll’s tip…yes but it’s MY frickin tracker and the fact he agrees has made me have a bet!
So what wanna fight about it?? 😉 😂🇭🇰🐎
Dazzman Skybet trying to tempt us in with cash back IF 2nd or 3rd in the 12.23 in France but Ken Colt is 4/1 and 12/1 with Bet365? 🤷🏾
Dazzman Skybet trying to tempt us in with cash back IF 2nd or 3rd in the 12.23 in France but Ken Colt is 4/1 and 12/1 with Bet365? 🤷🏾
1:40- naas – stardayz 14/1- e/w
Morning all, well done all winners yesterday. Bit of a mad one but it’s popped up on my tracker for some reason. Wexford 4.55 Denver City @ 200/1 and 125/1 for 6 places. Worth some loose change in your pocket. GL with your bets today
Come on peter have some faith in your convictions! 200/1 all the marbles on the nose !! Haha 😂
I’m looking at 6th place again to make it 666 which would be a good omen😀
2:55 Wexford – Eric carmen 8/1 – huuuungry eyes!!
4:47 – Stratford- lies about Milan – 11/2 💰
Cmon now Fantastic Treasure and suck eggs Tim Carroll! I kid the guys taught me everything about racing over there
Drifted like a fart in the wind for reasons only the people of Hong Kong can tell me. 😊 🇭🇰
Longchamp ye day Dazzman EW? 🐎
*You say
Excuse my Engerlish!
E/w is the only way some say !
I’m at hills now it’s 5/1 bit of a difference in price with 365
Still 12/1 Bet365?
Here’s hoping anyway and I’ve put up a fancy fir the next at the meeting,very small double too.
He’s a vee swine that Barzalona in France!
Seen a video of him,sitting about munching onions giving it “he haw he haw” in a Brazilian accent! 🙄 😂
Good jockey the fella
Blazing star 1.40 naas ,, moonlight wings 1.25 wexford
And act of god 1.55
Kid you not in the 2.05 e ,w its beening baked to fuk into 4s now
Millie’s mite 1-25 Wexford.
20-1 ew extra 6 places.
And
50p ew at 50-1.
G 👀D AFTERN 👀N.
I managed to wipe my face clean last night thanks to Roundhay Park winning at 11/2 after my NAP & NB bit the dust.
Several I like today but I am not putting up odds on shots so I am going for a couple of punts today Gateacre Pete style and taking advatage of those extra places on offer.
1:40 Naas – Mother Country @ 33/1
2:40 Naas – Colfer Me @ 66/1
4:40 Naas – Pale Iris @ 13/2
Also like Three Platoon in the 3:05 at Ripon @ 11/4
Small Stakes no NAP or NB, just a few plays with some small change while I am watching the Football & Tennis.
BOL ☘️
I’m with you on platoon especially seeing David Egan seems to be doing ok as of late
There is an iris dancer in the 2:35 Ripon I’m going to double it up with your pale iris and see what happens haha 😂
🍀 🍀
Well in Postie, my type of guy. Good luck🍀
Dazz 🍀 Irish Dancer man
Just need pale iris now for a very nice double 💰💰🤞
🤞🤞🤞🤞
All my fingers both hands
Khartoum 2-10 naas 3-1
St marks basilica 2-50 longchimp 11-4.
Fiftyshadesofred 4-35 Ripon 5-2 🏇NAP.
Karababa 5-10 longchimp 16-1 ew 4 places.
Blue collar glory 5-17 Stratford 11-4.
Khartoum 👌 Nice Horse, Nice Winner
Well done Elvis . You can buy your mrs a new toothbrush now !
To busy walking the dog who I’m just about to beat to death Elvis and didn’t see you fancied St B!
Well done!
To busy walking the dog who I’m just about to beat to death Elvis and didn’t see you fancied St B!
Well done!
Nice1 Elvis I fancied Sir Mark’s because of the ground and you tipping him definitely made my mind up.
Thanks alot 👍
Nap is a non runner ☹️
Gutted I had a nice wager on that
Looks like you have had a good day regardless apart from getting dragged around the shops toothbrush shopping 😂
Hi all
I’ve been tempted by some clues at Wexford today. Denise Foster i.e. Gordon Elliott’s alter ego has 2 runners
1.55 Clondaw Secret, Jordan Gainsfords only ride, we keep getting told what a promising young jockey he is, 11/2
And 3.55 Gold Des Bois, Robbie Powers only ride.
Who knows eh?
Also, I noticed in the 4.25 at the same venue a pretty well fancied Wrong Direction being the only ride of the well respected Denis O Regan.
Finally, in the 3.25 Lord Lariat takes a 12b reduction in his chase Mark to compete in a hurdles race.
BOL
I’ll get my coat!
Embole 4.47
Just spotted this one. Cutting it fine but Nepali looks over priced for an ew extra Naas 1.40
Millie’s mite 5th 😁🏇.
20-1 ew extra.
—————————-
Off shopping now with the strife ☹️.
Good luck with your punts today 👍
Apologies to all there. Didn’t even look at that race until 5 mins before. Finished 6th @45s
Master Cromwell in this one i think
Cornwall
Thats me my luck is out,,,, am jumping on someone eles gravey train
Sealiway. 2.50(****) only looked in as I’ve St Marcs Balisca in my tracker but 1 I must have missed is in the same race.
Hrs had a run after the Breeders Cuo going close and 6/1 he’s maybe worth Ew
Got to go with a small R/fc too.
GL ally
Happy days thank you and dazzy for the heads up. i took it there pound each its gota be better then my picks the day and yesterday, i had second second o yeah thats right another second, and today ive had 1 winner and a second, a 3rd and a no wer
Unlucky close race
Showed have just took A.O’brien horse on my tracker??
Looks a good horse there!
Going with dazz in this one
dazz 6 ‘1 i got that nice tip sir thanks
Pete for Pete wow
Never do my namesake but wish I had today🙄
Waiting for Eric karmen now and his hungry eyes ! 😂
See if Mother Earth can follow up with Smoullin on board again in 3.20. 9:4(****)
Only just seen it and after last O’Brien horse and way the yards going 9/4 will do me.
Not the best of days after a good start,well done the winners!
Belmont-R3… St Joe Louis. 9/4(***** from Kingman,Rosario board and Chad Brown )
Gulfstream-R7…What A Trick 8/11 (Fully expect a win but not a great price so no *s.
R8…My Mane Man 9/2
Santa Anita -R8…Tobacco Road(**** Won well last run over C&D)
GL yoll 🇺🇸 🐎
Wam bam thank you mam joe wins
3 platoon died away
Hello
Naas
Win
R. 5 – Make a Challenge
EW
R. 7 – Law of Indices
R. 8 – Lustown Baba
BOL !!
BOL
4:05 Ripon – credible 9/2 on the nose !💰
Well done Rizzel with logo hunter ! Feels a bit like a Saturday on Sunday today haha hopefully postman will bust me out of jail with his offerings 🤞
🇺🇸 Santanita race 8 -Tobacco race road 1/1
Belmont park race 1 – Little Dramma 1/1
Belmont park race. 3 – Spotters hill 9/4
Buena Suerte 🍀 🍀
Fingers crossed for this one mate 🤞
Well done with Little Drama I hit him at 4/6(late NRs ruined the price)
“Man…Rocky Marciano ain’t $hit!
He beat Joe Louis a$$! 😂
With you on Tobacco Road Mr Humbley but I won’t be up that’s fit sure but here’s hoping for us and anyone else in. 🇺🇸🐎
regal pretender 5.17 ew well done all winners yesterday and today
I wish I would have just posted those odds on shot now. 😩
Always makes sense after the event does nt it haha 😂 it is so tormenting which makes us more determined to get one back at the enemy !
True. I looked through the cards last night and did my usual short list, this morning I picked out those that had been supported overnight, but I though if I post these odds on shots people will say WTF.
So I post four others that all lose, yeah I know people a thinking WTF.
Post them up mate does not care a winner is a winner say you give me 3 of them today and dazz had a 6.1 with irish dancer,, well ill take that all day . Ok its not big money but it adds to the playing pot
Yeah that’s what I do get a shortlist up together then try and whittle it down to just a few to make it easier for people to try and follow if they wish but there are usually a few you fancy but don’t put up that win haha . I’ve also taken that approach get my shortlist and see if the market agrees or not in the morning and go with the ones that have moved most favourably but then it’s the enemy giving you this information so I don’t solely go on that just do your own thing and see it through . There is no right or wrong the game can make fools of everyone which is amplified when you put your thoughts out there for public scrutiny haha but we are all trying to win not like people are putting selections up to lose haha just some are better than others . Never mind every day is a clean slate let’s pray for glory 2 Moro ha
Churchill Downs-R6…Savoy. 7/4(** Tyler Gaf on board again and Chad Brown horses as shown earlier love a run or 3 before winning and this race ain’t great)
Haha I literally just bet on that . I did mr humbles as a treble I did lump on the nose so crying a bit now when the second lost haha sometimes you get the bad feelings before it’s even gone off ha never mind good thing when you bet with your own selections you only have your self to blame 😂
I bet June’s Sandra wins now I bet on the fav ha
Yahtzee!!
Keep spitting them out Yankee Doodle man ! 👍
It’s Redcar 2 Moro staring the one and only Franny Norton 😂😂😂
That little boy blue is out again someone on here tipped last week E W and it won at 11.1 its 4.1 for tomorrow
Like this horse m8 and Blues my dogs name,yeah don’t just back it for that sake obviously although I did first time! Lol
but I’ve it marked down as unlucky last time out??
I’ll watch the replay after USA races 👍
Does your dog do a blue poo 😂
HaHa…but he’s quite the kicky dog!
On a serious note he’s the bet tomorrow as his wee arse is in tatters. Think like me his bums took a pounding over the years? 😉
He’s a boxer (so a fighter) but at near 6 I must have had 3 minimum horror stories about there stomachs but bar his bad bum he seems fantastic?
Few £s tomorrow at the vets that’s for sure! 🙄
Ps:He’s called Blur for Rangers and I’m a Celtic fan…Frickin kid’s!! 😡😉
It was hat or th obvious for a boxer…Tyson!!??
So that’s my life story anyone else 😂😂👍
*LUCKY dog
*Ps: he’s called Blue
Should always proof read my English teacher said n she was correct.
Lmho recoba tricks
Thanks
Gulfstream
8 – bailey – 5/2
9 – everyone loves James 7/2
10- miss Lamarr 4/1
3 winners there ! Happy days 👍
I’ve no idea what your talking about Dazzman??
Not really my style but when yer having a good night I will try pat my own back! Lol
And I WILL keep spitting them Dazzman 🔥🇺🇸🐎
Yeah your better off spitting than swallowing! 😂
Think I’ll cash my Yankee as Tobacco Road is 12.55am(🥱)and £84 an change for a 90p Yankee is a-ok USA!
It’s worth £128 but I’ve £10 in Tobacco Road at EVS anyway so itbe mad not to cash out I think?
An that’s all she wrote!”
180 🏌️♂️
You should give up work and just gamble every day 😂
Fat from my favoured track buy …
Lomé Star-R6 …Raintree Starlet 8/11(*****)
Frickin typos. Plenty time for off guys
WON*****) good time too
1 more “Quikfire” WEE couple of singles and a double ….while I watch Fargo which has been grand
Santa Anita -R4…I Give Up. 11/8
Golden Gates-R4…Backstreets Back
Doubles 6.5:/1 ish Bet365.
Pi$$ ….2x seconds!!
Santa Anita-R5…Gordys boy. 9/1. EW. (** looks to big for a wide open race on a horse that went close last time.
And I might make Tobacco Road ffs!
Looks
3td …so that’ll just do.
Photo as well who you kidding???USA is some crazy stuff at times:?
I’m up for Tobacco Road but I’m off to the new thread 👌