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With no UK flat racing on Sunday, It's meant I've had to go for the Irish and French cards. There's some decent racing in France, but only one horse appeared to be a decent bet, and the same applies for the Fairyhouse meeting.

Fairyhouse 4:15

It's always interesting whenever Paddy Twomey has a horse in a race of this nature, especially when it's a fillies race as he does extremely well with imports, and manages to find big improvements from his horses, so Diadora is worth a second look, but the one I'm interested in is Ger Lyons' AFFOGATO.

She has only raced three times in her career, with this being the toughest test to date, but based on her previous efforts, I think she should be fine with this opposition and can keep on improving into a good Class 1 filly. On her latest assignment, she had a lot in her favour with the weight-for-age allowance and sex allowance, allowing her to be 8lbs clear on the weight carried to the runner-up and 15lbs lighter than the third horse. However, you can't take away from how easily she won that race, and the cruising speed she possesses. It's nice to see Ger keeping her over 7f rather than the mile trip which she tried the time before. Though she managed to win over a mile, her gas tank looked to be emptying in the final furlong, which could be a combination of needing the run, along with her stamina over the trip, but she won the race with her high cruising speed, so keeping her over 7f looks the right choice at this moment in time.

I think this race doesn't look particularly strong, and I think you have to take on the short-priced favourite, Star Girls Aalmal, who probably isn't as good as what people think she is. For one, I don't think this trip is what she needs, as she was staying on nicely in the 1000 Irish Guineas, which is over a mile, so a longer trip is surely what she requires. She didn't handle the preliminaries too well at Royal Ascot, so that also has to be a concern, and I think she is a terrible price, even though she arguably has the best form. Of the older horses, Emphatic Answer is the one to be wary of, who has been running well in defeat so far this season, with the second-placed finish behind Pearls Galore looking like a strong piece of form.

Deauville 12:23

I'm writing this out before the odds have even come out, so it's hard to say whether MALRESCIA will be a good bet or not, but I think he will run a big race back over the minimum trip, as that looks sure to suit.

She ran a belter at Newmarket last time out where she tried to make all and nearly did until Lezoo hit top-stride and made up significant ground and won nicely. The winner went on to finish second at Newmarket on Friday in the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2) behind Mawj who caused interference to the runner-up, so it was a very good effort. Tagline who finished behind Lezoo and Malrescia the time before, finished fourth so that boosted the form slightly as well.

In France, the races can often become very tactical, and it can be very profitable to sit from the front and dictate the pace as you want, and I think this horse will get the chance to do that today. She clearly enjoys running from the front, and she finds a lot for pressure, so could be difficult to peg back. Dropping back to 5f shouldn't be an issue, as she clearly has a lot of pace, shown by winning races over this trip before, and the stiff 6f caught her out in the end, so I'm expecting a big run, and hopefully not too short odds.

27 Comments
  1. Luke M 1 month ago

    Well done with your 33s winner in the lucky last yesterday Elvis.

    3
    • elvis parsley 1 month ago

      Cheers Luke, only got 20s ew extra but mustn’t grumble 👍.

      2
  2. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    5:15 Perth – derracrin 6/1

    You would like to think the Elliot Bowen combo might knock out a couple of winners but then perhaps that’s the trap

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      5:31 Stratford- red maple 15/2 e/w

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Also did red ball or fire and presenting lad at Sligo and that’s your lot you greedy monkeys !

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Looks like the Elliot Bowen combo is off to a good start 💰💰

  3. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    10:20 Bangalore- ombudsman 11/4

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      I quite like a bit of Indian 💰💰💰

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Probably my only winner today now 😂

  4. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    12:15 Bangalore- gimmie 4/1

  5. jwpepper 1 month ago

    S 1401 Appreciate 2/1
    F 1505 Tai Sing Yeh 5/1
    S 1511 Joly Maker 9/2
    P 1605 Miss Amelia 4/1
    sky doing tenner back in the 1450 at Deauville

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      To many 1111s makes me nervous

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Well done with joly maker hope your last one comes in 🤞

  6. jwpepper 1 month ago

    sky doing tenner back if second or third in the 1450 at DEauville

  7. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    Deauville 🇫🇷
    12-23 Exxtra 9-1 bet365 ew extra 4 places.
    12-23 Alvina 12-1 bet365 ew extra 4 places.

    Couldn’t split these on their last meeting in a group 3 so done both. But more on exxtra as that’s my main pick

    Malrescia and wooton city likely 1-2 so hoping for 3-4 for my 2 donks.

    *****************************
    3-25 bouttemont 7-1 ew 3 places bet365.
    Also on bouttemont EVENS top 4 place at SKYBET (largish stake)🏇.

    This came to the UK won the All-Weather Sprint Championships at Newcastle last time out beating some decent nags (14 ran)
    Usual Jockey has chosen stablemate fast raaj which is a worry but that’s the gamble.

    1
  8. Sore point 1 month ago

    Perth 4.05 MISS AMELIA 4/1

    Perth 4.40 BON RETOUR 5/2

    Perth 5.10 COPPER FOX 5/2

    Good luck everyone

    5
    • elvis parsley 1 month ago

      Nice shout with miss Amelia and your 9-1 I think it was yesterday 🏇🏇

      2
    • Sore point 1 month ago

      thanks Elvis .Problem I find with this site is people putting horse after horse from morning to night obviousley cant take them serious there just picking a horse in every race for no reason ,

      Need to get back to the studied form pics and yes there will be still be winners and losers but can be taken more seriousley

      the site had good tipsters in the past (serious tipsters) but its either a horse serious TIPPING site or its not

      3
    • elvis parsley 1 month ago

      Aye some good points there sore.
      Personally I know tips here that have been researched by rizzell, DC our Irish angle, yourself, bus stop, etc and I look into them myself and take them seriously.

      As for the spontaneous tips , each to their own, if it gives them a buzz all good I say.

      Thing that does my nut is posting tips a minute before the off or in the dead of night when no one can benefit from them as races are over by the time we wake up.

      And of course using the + and – points system until it’s a big minus then it stops.
      No need for points, our tips are valid for one day only, if we win have a little celebration, if we lose, on to tomorrow, that’s why sensible stakes are important so no damage is done on a given day.

      Fair play to recoba he puts a little write up most times with his us tips which suggests they have been researched and not plucked out of the air.
      I think a little reasoning with tips would enhance confidence in a tip ??.

      1
  9. theplug 1 month ago

    Fairyhouse 1-55 Valkyrain 9/2

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Coralillo 4/1

      1
    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      😂💰💰💰

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Those blue silks always seem to do well 😂

  10. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    2:45 Sligo – wild caprice 9/2 e/w if you want to play safe

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Dog shit sandwich

      2
  11. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    no fixed charges 4.40

  12. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    super proud 5.25 ew well done all winners today and yesterday

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