Racing tips: English raider Malrescia will appreciate the drop to 5f at Deauville

This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.

With no UK flat racing on Sunday, It's meant I've had to go for the Irish and French cards. There's some decent racing in France, but only one horse appeared to be a decent bet, and the same applies for the Fairyhouse meeting.

Fairyhouse 4:15

It's always interesting whenever Paddy Twomey has a horse in a race of this nature, especially when it's a fillies race as he does extremely well with imports, and manages to find big improvements from his horses, so Diadora is worth a second look, but the one I'm interested in is Ger Lyons' AFFOGATO.

She has only raced three times in her career, with this being the toughest test to date, but based on her previous efforts, I think she should be fine with this opposition and can keep on improving into a good Class 1 filly. On her latest assignment, she had a lot in her favour with the weight-for-age allowance and sex allowance, allowing her to be 8lbs clear on the weight carried to the runner-up and 15lbs lighter than the third horse. However, you can't take away from how easily she won that race, and the cruising speed she possesses. It's nice to see Ger keeping her over 7f rather than the mile trip which she tried the time before. Though she managed to win over a mile, her gas tank looked to be emptying in the final furlong, which could be a combination of needing the run, along with her stamina over the trip, but she won the race with her high cruising speed, so keeping her over 7f looks the right choice at this moment in time.

I think this race doesn't look particularly strong, and I think you have to take on the short-priced favourite, Star Girls Aalmal, who probably isn't as good as what people think she is. For one, I don't think this trip is what she needs, as she was staying on nicely in the 1000 Irish Guineas, which is over a mile, so a longer trip is surely what she requires. She didn't handle the preliminaries too well at Royal Ascot, so that also has to be a concern, and I think she is a terrible price, even though she arguably has the best form. Of the older horses, Emphatic Answer is the one to be wary of, who has been running well in defeat so far this season, with the second-placed finish behind Pearls Galore looking like a strong piece of form.

Deauville 12:23

I'm writing this out before the odds have even come out, so it's hard to say whether MALRESCIA will be a good bet or not, but I think he will run a big race back over the minimum trip, as that looks sure to suit.

She ran a belter at Newmarket last time out where she tried to make all and nearly did until Lezoo hit top-stride and made up significant ground and won nicely. The winner went on to finish second at Newmarket on Friday in the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2) behind Mawj who caused interference to the runner-up, so it was a very good effort. Tagline who finished behind Lezoo and Malrescia the time before, finished fourth so that boosted the form slightly as well.

In France, the races can often become very tactical, and it can be very profitable to sit from the front and dictate the pace as you want, and I think this horse will get the chance to do that today. She clearly enjoys running from the front, and she finds a lot for pressure, so could be difficult to peg back. Dropping back to 5f shouldn't be an issue, as she clearly has a lot of pace, shown by winning races over this trip before, and the stiff 6f caught her out in the end, so I'm expecting a big run, and hopefully not too short odds.

Horse Racing Tips

🔗 Share Your Horse Racing Tips on Social Media