This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
Sometimes the obvious reasons for why a horse should win outside the form lines do work and Caius Marcius made the 700-mile round trip 100% worth it for Nicky Richards, Brian Hughes and the owners. Brian isn't my favourite jockey by a long way, but credit where credit is due when he delivered Caius Marcius perfectly before jumping the last to win snuggly.
As for Knockbrex, I think it's time for me to stop backing that horse, he's going backwards at a rate of Knotts.
Goodwood 2:50 – Pride Of America 9/1 (1pt EW Bet365)
Obviously, this is a tough race, and it will be a tough ask for Pride Of America to win this from stall 14 and off a clear top weight when the claims are taken into consideration off POA and Cadillac, but I was so impressed by his performance at York that I think he is still capable of winning off his 4lb higher mark.
He is a horse who is quite headstrong, so he normally would like to front run, but he proved that he doesn't need to be ridden that way at York as he young Frederick Larson decided to settle him behind the leaders last time out. He is running on perfect conditions for him, but the main thing which stuck out to me at York and his win at Chester was how game he is. He looks beaten on many occasions but he just keeps pulling out extra when horses come to challenge him, and that is the best characteristic to have as a racehorse other than talent which you're either born with or you're not. If he is pitching away with a few furlongs to go and gets a clear run, then I think he is a great EW angle in this race. There is obviously a risk that there are better-handicapped horses than him in this race, but at 9/1 I think you've got a cracking price about a horse who could easily be mixing it at the lower end of the Class 1 races.
Goodwood 4:35 – Emily Dickinson 11/2 (1pt EW PaddyPower 4pl)
With the likes of Lone Eagle and Quickthorn I can't imagine this race will be run at a slow tempo, so you're going to need a strong stayer in this race. Sure, the favourite is the correct horse at the top of the market and probably has more to give, given he's only had four races in his career, but on ground that he's never encountered I think you're worth going against him and I've opted for Emily Dickinson.
This horse has always shown her best form on slow ground, come the time of racing I think it will probably be good to soft all over as they aren't expecting any further rain at Goodwood, but what do I know as the forecast websites I've been using has been throwing up total rubbish over the last month! But good to soft ground definitely brings the Aidan O'Brien horse into this. She is a strong stayer, she proved that last year when finishing 5th in the St Leger and then winning a Group 3 on soft/heavy ground by 5L at the Curragh. This year she was impressive on seasonal reappearance when battering French Claim by 5L, but was then disappointing the time after before running a good 4th in the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot on ground far too quick. She then bounced back to form at the Curragh when winning a Group 2 on soft ground over 14f, with the best part of that run coming in the final furlong when she cleared away from the runner-up.
We know she stays this trip, but I still believe she is very unexposed at this trip and the slow-ish ground makes her a decent bet against the favourite. We know how Goodwood produces traffic problems every year, and the way Frankie rode his mount in the Gold Cup suggests he might have trouble if he is held up again, so even if she isn't the best horse in the race, we might get a lucky break as I'd imagine Ryan will want to position her quite handy.
Double
I'm not one for putting up multiples or doubles, but I'll be having a play on Kinross 6/5 (4:00 Goodwood) & Kitai 2/1 (5:35 Goodwood) which is 5.6/1 (1pt)
In December 2020 we sadly 
My Gift To You
6pm
Worcester
4/5 bet365
Been waiting patiently for this horse to race again. Watched him winning last week first time in a handicap over the same trip at Southwell. Had backed the eventual runner up that day and mine never had a chance. Made a real mockery of its lowly mark on its stable debut. Runs over fences today, for the first time, off only a 4 lb higher mark. He is actually running from 10lb out the handicap, but this shouldn’t stop him today so not worried at all.
He was set to run the following day after the Southwell run but was taken out for unsuitable ground as it went soft. Today it should be good ground, there is no rain forecast so it should be perfect.
I read a quote from trainer James Owen saying how this horse had been schooling really well over hurdles and fences since joining the yard. I mentioned other day how it was interesting they have a half share of this horse up for sale, think they will be looking to impress potential buyers.
Looking at his pedigree he is out of Group 1 St Leger winner Kingston Hill and a half brother to Grade 2 placed Ballyarthur.
In form jockey Harry Cobden rides again which is a good sign. He has 28% strike rate in the last fortnight, 7 wins from 25 rides.
Just can’t see this beaten today, its a case of if it jumps it wins imo. I’d have this more around 4/7 so there is value there at 4/5 imo. Was obviously hoping it would be a slightly more competitive race and the odds were bigger but if it wins I don’t care how short the odds were.
Appreciate putting a bet up at these odds won’t be of interest to many, most will be looking at Goodwood or Galway, it’s just what I’m backing, so maybe these few words can help someone, or maybe not.
15 points win @ 4/5 bet365
Good luck everyone today
Nice winner Stu 👍
GL with Pride of America Rizzle I’m already on … Eagles Way 4/1. Skybet ***
Quick turnaround after a good comeback run is either hopeful by M.Prescott or really fancies it
Yesterday started well with Mystical Power winning and Darkened placed, but it all went south after that.
I should have backed Mythology who had the best form in the race and just how good is Henry Longfellow ?
And I should have had at least a saver on Teed Up but as usual I talked myself out of it.
Anyway onto today,
Goodwood
Hoping Lord Riddiford (1.40) can win for the 3rd year running and is back on the same mark as last year.
Agree with Rizzle about Emily Dickinson but will go ew with 4 places on offer should at least get your money back.
Galway
6.40 Dunum 12/1 ew 6 places
You have to go back to 2016 for the last winner to come from a single figure draw. In fact last year’s first 6 home were drawn 19, 21, 16, 18, 10 & 11 so a high draw is the way to go.
Im Willing to put a line through Dunum’s run at Ascot lto. Prior to that he had won 5 and 2nd twice in his last 7 races. He was beaten a SH by Rahmi and is 4lbs better off with him. He also beat current fav by 2 3/4L on soft and they meet on the same weight today.
He won’t mind the soft ground either and drawn 16 is ideal.
Very competitive race though so just small stakes.
7.50 Laughifyouwant 12/1 ew 5 places
Needs to find some form but if he can he’s seriously well h’capped having won off as high as 100 in the past and runs today off 80. Has also won over C&D twice before on soft ground so today’s going shouldn’t pose any issues.
BOL
good start dc well done
Yeah Azz
Very easy in the end too
Cheers 👍
PP doing a £5 free bet on Goodwood today
Good luck
Its a £1 free bet at PP, not a fiver. Still, a free bet is a free bet. I’ll have mine on Crazy Luck in the last (8/1).
Well I got a fiver 🤗 guid luck all!
I got a fiver as well 😵
Loser tokens 😂
acklem express 1.40 ew
asked 3 mates, they all got a quid.
It was a probably on offer for about 5 minutes, then they slashed it to a quid.
Fastest fingers first etc :-)
outbreak 2.50 ew
Dripsey Moon 11/4 6.50 Perth
Couldn’t back the fav with counterfeit. Yet to win in 15 starts ??
Nailed it. Wish I’d seen this earlier.
Can’t believe the SP for Lord Riddiford……8/1 ????
Not complaining though, absolutely hosed up
The bookies are cashing you out ! 😂
Have had a saver on Mr Wilson 17/2 ew also in the 6.40 for Gavin Cromwell
soldiers gold 3.25 ew
Issac Shelby 4.00 o well done all winners yesterday soz
tashkan 4.35 ew
16:20 Beverley – 5f Hcap
Bella Kopella
12/1
Space tourist 5-10 Galway
13-2 win
2-1 top 2 finish HILLS 🇮🇪
20-80 stake
Barring the ground which I’ve seen Frankie is unsure about as he’s not seen the fav on it before surely this fav will piss all over these?
5:05 Goodwood – Novus
B’ Lucky 😉
Thats my free fiver done.
😂
Money back on Emily Dickinson but how the hell can some of the world’s best jockeys let a horse get so far in front that they can’t catch him.
Unbelievable and very frustrating.
space tourist 5.10 ew
Casanova 6-40 Galway 🇮🇪
100-30 top 5 finish @Boyle sports
And
16-1 bet365 ew extra 8 places.
A Frankel who was trained by gosden back in the day
2nd in this last year off 3 pound higher
3rd in this season’s Irish Lincoln (27 runners).
Drawn 13 which could be worse as DC has pointed out low draws 1-9 were out of the top 6 last year .
Also won here in September 2021, one of only 4 wins in total.
floating spirit 5.05 ew
Mary Salome 7-50 Galway 🇮🇪
25-1 ew 6 places SKYBET.
Ignoring her last outing in England she’s shown some career high form this year which isn’t saying much as today’s card seems stacked with big field handicaps where looking at form is pointless
Famoso @ 8/1SP
Win – 17.30 Worcester – Paying 4 Places instead of 3
Candle of hope
blues emporer 6.40 ew well done all winners today
Casanova 4th.
Top 5 @100-30 and 16-1 ew 🏇.
That’s probably it for the week at this tough meeting betting wise……
👍
Dripsey Moon wins 11/4 and Dunum places at 12s.
First 4 home all double figure drawn again.
Class as ever DC. How was Lord Riddiford was that price as well, great stuff.
Elvis , Azz quality stuff as ever, sorry if I’ve missed anyone else.
Back in a few days guys, good luck tomorrow at Goodwood and Galway again.
Nice one stu.
Your persistence with my gift to you paid off and shows the value of placing bets early doors if you really fancy it
4-5 when you posted, 1-2 at the off.
The early bird catches the bookies off guard, should be catches the worm but makes no sense in horsey speak 👍
Lol yeah so true Elvis. Was a weird one as it went out to 13/8 this morning then slowly backed back in all day. They did the same with DC’s pick in the first at Galway yesterday pushing it out to 6/4. The sneaky beggers those bookmakers
9:00 Perth – Wasdell Dundalk 20/1 e/w
Finger -R7….Majestic Frontier. 9/2 **** Paddy Power
Take favourite on here who’s 8/11.
Stick a Buck O Five on the favourite to beat Majestic Frontier as some kinda “saver”