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Sometimes the obvious reasons for why a horse should win outside the form lines do work and Caius Marcius made the 700-mile round trip 100% worth it for Nicky Richards, Brian Hughes and the owners. Brian isn't my favourite jockey by a long way, but credit where credit is due when he delivered Caius Marcius perfectly before jumping the last to win snuggly.
As for Knockbrex, I think it's time for me to stop backing that horse, he's going backwards at a rate of Knotts.
Goodwood 2:50 – Pride Of America 9/1 (1pt EW Bet365)
Obviously, this is a tough race, and it will be a tough ask for Pride Of America to win this from stall 14 and off a clear top weight when the claims are taken into consideration off POA and Cadillac, but I was so impressed by his performance at York that I think he is still capable of winning off his 4lb higher mark.
He is a horse who is quite headstrong, so he normally would like to front run, but he proved that he doesn't need to be ridden that way at York as he young Frederick Larson decided to settle him behind the leaders last time out. He is running on perfect conditions for him, but the main thing which stuck out to me at York and his win at Chester was how game he is. He looks beaten on many occasions but he just keeps pulling out extra when horses come to challenge him, and that is the best characteristic to have as a racehorse other than talent which you're either born with or you're not. If he is pitching away with a few furlongs to go and gets a clear run, then I think he is a great EW angle in this race. There is obviously a risk that there are better-handicapped horses than him in this race, but at 9/1 I think you've got a cracking price about a horse who could easily be mixing it at the lower end of the Class 1 races.
Goodwood 4:35 – Emily Dickinson 11/2 (1pt EW PaddyPower 4pl)
With the likes of Lone Eagle and Quickthorn I can't imagine this race will be run at a slow tempo, so you're going to need a strong stayer in this race. Sure, the favourite is the correct horse at the top of the market and probably has more to give, given he's only had four races in his career, but on ground that he's never encountered I think you're worth going against him and I've opted for Emily Dickinson.
This horse has always shown her best form on slow ground, come the time of racing I think it will probably be good to soft all over as they aren't expecting any further rain at Goodwood, but what do I know as the forecast websites I've been using has been throwing up total rubbish over the last month! But good to soft ground definitely brings the Aidan O'Brien horse into this. She is a strong stayer, she proved that last year when finishing 5th in the St Leger and then winning a Group 3 on soft/heavy ground by 5L at the Curragh. This year she was impressive on seasonal reappearance when battering French Claim by 5L, but was then disappointing the time after before running a good 4th in the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot on ground far too quick. She then bounced back to form at the Curragh when winning a Group 2 on soft ground over 14f, with the best part of that run coming in the final furlong when she cleared away from the runner-up.
We know she stays this trip, but I still believe she is very unexposed at this trip and the slow-ish ground makes her a decent bet against the favourite. We know how Goodwood produces traffic problems every year, and the way Frankie rode his mount in the Gold Cup suggests he might have trouble if he is held up again, so even if she isn't the best horse in the race, we might get a lucky break as I'd imagine Ryan will want to position her quite handy.
I'm not one for putting up multiples or doubles, but I'll be having a play on Kinross 6/5 (4:00 Goodwood) & Kitai 2/1 (5:35 Goodwood) which is 5.6/1 (1pt)
Goodwood - 2:50 pm
9/1 @ Bet365
Goodwood - 4:35 pm
11/2 @ PaddyPower