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ECHO (5.07) landed the two-mile handicap on the Redcar Easter card two years ago when encountering quick ground, so underfoot conditions should be ideal once again.
Probable favourite Travel Lightly has been in rampant form for Rebecca Menzies but was two places behind Echo when they clashed at Newcastle in January. Echo is now 11lb better off, so is unquestionably well treated if Jedd O'Keeffe has him ready to go off a break.
Clearly, in-form Mark Johnston's horses are well worth a second look and CUBAN DANCER (1.55) has each-way claims in the 7f handicap at Wolverhampton. The gelding chased home Stylish Performer over course and distance last Monday and makes his handicap debut under 5lb claimer Andrew Breslin.
ASDAA (2.30) has been pegged by the handicapper on a mark of 78 so it makes sense to claim 5lb off his back in the 1m 1f apprentices' handicap. Johnston's rookie rider Jonny Peate was seen to good effect on Gobi Sunset (runs 4.10) at Newcastle last week and Asdaa is an uncomplicated ride. The gelding finished third over course and distance 16 days ago and holds fifth-placed Bronze River on that formline.
STARCZEWSKI (4.35) recorded a course and distance success in February and should go close in the two-mile Queen's Prize at Kempton. David Simcock's gelding came out to beat Margaret Dumont next time at Wolverhampton and the runner-up was a gutsy winner at Chelmsford City three days ago. Roger Varian's Postileo, a Salisbury scorer in August, is open to improvement this season and must rate a threat on his first try on an artificial surface. Four-time course and distance winner Vibrance was given a moderate ride in a tactical race here last month and is another to consider.
2:15 Redcar – sollar bay 12/1
1:00 Chepstow- ardmayle 14/1
1:30 Chepstow- drewmain legend 8/1
3:58 Redcar – dirchill 12/1
4:50 Chepstow- exmoor express 6/1
I would do all of these e/w in the hope you at least get your stake back at the very least But you can mix and match as you see fit obviously . Well done the lucky winners yesterday let’s hope it’s a good bank holiday for us all and we can make a few quid together 💪👊
Ardmayle non runner . Don’t think I will replace with anything as 4 winners at those prices Is enough haha 😂 will be keeping an eye out for what you Lot put up and jump on your gravy train also just in case haha
Got on 3 of them miss the first
Got my hopes up then when I saw sollar bay drift out to 18/1 then go off 6/1 joint fav that would of been a lovely win :-(
Still got the place so it’s all good
Irish National
Wide open, as you’d expect so heres some stats that might help solve the puzzle.
16/17 – Carried 10-13 or LESS
16/17 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
16/17 – Won over at least 3m previously
15/17 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or less
14/17 – Irish bred
14/17 – Carried 10-8 or LESS
13/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price
14/17 – Aged 9 or younger
There are more but I thought these were the main ones.
Latest Exhibition is without doubt the class horse in the race and even though he’s top weight, he’s much better than a 153 horse imo so should have every chance.
But there’s a few things putting me off him. I think he’s better going left handed. He has won right handed but wasn’t very convincing and was then stuffed by Pencilfulloflead although the ground was bottomless that day. Paul Nolan also has a poor record in the race having never won from 15 attempts.
Agusta Gold has switched to Willie from Mags Mullins and I’d say they’ve had this as the target all season. He was only beaten a neck over a similar trip to this at punchestown, but has gone up 12lbs since that and I think he’s gone a bit high in the weights now.
The Big Dog with Codd onboard will always warrant respect, and won over this trip at punch lto. It was in the RP that Codd was aiming to do his lowest weight in 17yrs, but that was before Tiger Roll was pulled out. He’s actually carrying 3lbs more than last time and I think the ground has gone against him. He’s done all his winning on soft.
Coko Beach is in brilliant form having won the Thyestes and then following up by winning a grade 2 lto. He’s gone up 12lbs but Jordan Gainford takes off 7 and must have every chance with a clear round.
I’ve actually backed 3 in the race.
Run Wild Fred 10/1 ew 6 places
who was beaten by Coko Beach but has a 5lb pull in the weights. He was my h’cap banker for Cheltenham and I was gutted when he got pulled out as I thought he was so well handicapped, so he owes me and I’m also hoping that the yard think he has a better chance in this.
Robin De Carlow 16/1 ew 6 places
Taking a risk here as he’s not races for 18 months, but if Mullins wants to ready one he can and off 138 could be thrown in.
He’s never run over a distance this far before but has some serious form over shorter trips including beating none other than Put The Kettle On over 20f. Rachael Blackmore takes the ride, although she’s 1-23 since Cheltenham I think (who’d have thought).
Brace Yourself 25/1 ew 6 places (although I see he’s as short as 16s now) and I only put it on today.
Hasn’t run since November but was 2nd to Court Maid over C&D but has a 10lb pull with him and I think on this better ground can turn the form around. He’s also only 2lbs higher in the ratings for that run and is towards the bottom of the weights for today.
These are just my thoughts on a few of the principles for the race. It’s wide open and wouldn’t put anyone off any in the field. Small stakes only and lots of luck required in such a big field.
BOL
I meant to also add that Robin De Carlow is by Presenting who has sired 3 previous winners of this race.
Cheers DC! 👍
Excellent write up DC, much appreciated 👍. GL🍀
For anyone who isn’t aware, the Timeform free daily race pass today is the Irish national. You don’t need to pay anything, just have an account.
Newbo
Think I will have a little dabble in the National myself .
Going to take a chance on scoir mear @ 40/1 in the hope of a bit of place money and to be part of the action . It’s all a gamble who ever you pick so just enjoy being part of the moment and may the best horse win !
Anything can happen mate
GL
Nothing will ever supprise me ha .Same to you , I’m sure you won’t be far away with your selections . Those stats you put up are very useful/helpful and will help out a lot of people on here no doubt and it’s good of you to take the time and trouble to share your knowledge that’s what it’s all about . It’s a good feeling winning and helping a few others out along the way as well and of course trying to put a small dent in the bookies profit! Hopefully it will be a good Monday all round !
Price is bet 365 seen it a bit shorter else where
I picked out 3 at ew odds, have had a few quid ew on each for interest all pay 7 places at SKYBET.
Moyhenna 28-1
Discordantly 33-1
Enjoy d’allen 33-1
Moyhenna ran very well over this sort of distance behind the big dog and bookended that run here in January and at Cheltenham last month behind colreevy over a mile shorter than this.
Grand national trial punchestown February 2021 over 3 mile 4 furlongs.
The big dog 1st beats moyhenna 3rd by 7 lengths.
Moyhenna carried 9 pound more.
Todays weight
The big dog 11-2
Moyhenna 10-10 (including jockeys claim)
That’s a 15 pound swing in the favour of moyhenna for 7 lengths.
Todays prices
The big dog 10-1
Moyhenna 28-1.
Anyone explain why this is ????
You may have found the answer to the puzzle there
Touched 80/1 this morning so will definitely be hoping for a place now !
Fitzhenry ew into 28-1
Golden Gate -R8 Maggies Magic(*****)
Yankee has 2 down 2 to go but other 9/2 single tipped landed and Gamine to win by 3l or more at EVS pi$$ed it,very impressive as expected.
The main bet I will definitely be crashed out for is still 6/4.
GL and till tomorrow 👍
Thought he had it but pipped at the post! 😡
Santa Anita -R9… Ultimate Hy…2/1(***)
Good jockey and raring after only one run.
Back to sleep after that fir sure.
Double for tomorrow that pays 2/1 Bet365..
Casa Loupi..2.05 4/7
Fakir D’Oudairueas…4.20. 10/11
No ver that simple but 2/1 I’ll take it!
Few popping up for Sha Tin but I’ll give that a miss fir 7am races and odds on shouts.
It be Hong Kong to UK then Ireland and probably back to the USA I think I’d be pushing it! Lol
Apologies with Maggies Magic there watching it again I was counting my cash as it came round the bend! 😡 🤦🏾
Just watched it back certainly looked like it had it won but just got the wobbles in the last 200 yards unlucky
Yeah it definitely did and cost it the race.
Couldn’t even stay awake for that other race 20mins later but nice to see it won by a nostrel.
Up talking/tipping to myself at the point anyway Deb2000!!?? 😂👍
Plum 3.20 Josie Abbing 11/1 each way
Plum 4.55 Iconic Muddle 3/1
Chep 3.10 Solar Impulse 15/2 each way
Chep 4.15 Clondaw Rigger 4/1
Thats all folks and good luck
Irish National @ Fairyhouse🇮🇪, Main bet Coco Beach 12/1@boylesports & Robin de Carlow 16/1 with Rachael Blackmore riding. GL🍀👍
In the 2.40 I have been waiting to see if Zoffanien will be pulled as ran yesterday and was going to back Coventry ew but got a free bet from paddy this morning so have backed him W/O at 11/2.
I also like French Light in the first race. Will finally get the ground he’s more accustomed to and trainer who returns to the states on Saturday will be all out to bag a winner before she returns.
Jerrysback 5.00
jammy george 3.15 e Well done all winners yesterday
Big Dog NR now
Pretty In Grey Kempton 4.02 17/2 e/w
Gl
Treacherous Kempton 5.10 9/1 e/w
12:15 Greyville – Seattle beat @ 10/1
Dare I jinx it and say nap !! Haha 😂
Irish national price update
Moyhenna 28-1 now 33-1
Discordantly 33-1 still 33-1
Enjoy d’allen 33-1 now 40-1
I’ve had a bit more on moyhenna 33-1 but only 6 places and all 3 are 16-1 ew extra 10 places so topped up last night’s bets with these 3
It’s only the national once a year do why not 🏇
Only Other bet I’ve had so far is
ASHUTOR 3-10 Chepstow 7-2 🏇
Nicholls horses seem to be going better recently on the drying ground.
Watch for harry skelton today at plumton hes only 3 behind hughs in the fight for best jockey so he well get a few . I think headfullofdreams. I be busy so not been on for a bit
Don’t know what the weather’s like over there but it’s SNOWING over here
Crazy stuff !!!
Zoffanien a NR now.
Same here in Ireland
I’m in Ireland big flu 👍
Loads of snow and Freezing cold wind North of Scotland but that’s nothing new 😁😁
Suns out in West of Scotland but the wind would cut the balls out your bag. Shorts on Saturday and long Johns on today!?? 😮
Snow on them there hills but or mountains rather.
☃️ WEATHER FORECAST UPDATE ☃️
curtousy of Elvis’s back garden
Sunshine here in North Wales with a sharp northerly wind bringing the ambient temperature down to 2-4 degrees.
or in other words it’s focin freezing ☃️☃️☃️☃️☃️☃️☃️
Looking more like Non Runner Monday than Bank Holiday Monday.
My Slim Picking are …
1:00 Chepstow – Seelotmorebusiness
1:55 Wolverhampton – Zwelela
2:30 Wolverhampton – Bronze River
3:20 Plumpton – Dothraki Prince
4:20 Fairyhouse – Fakir D’ourdaires
BOL
Zweela 👍
Postman I’m waiting on Fakir D’Ourdaires for a double but it was 10/11 last night and now 6/5?
By far the class horse so at 6/5 it wouldn’t bethe worst single IF running to form but the horses coming from Cheltenham to here worry me.
They’ve not been great so that’s maybe a factor,only one I can see?
Best of luck!
Frickin NR as i type!!
Well better than running it if it’s not suitable.
Afternoon All. Well done yesterdays winners
Just 3 bets all day for me
CHEPSTOW
13.30. .Discko Des Places . .13/8
15.45. .Buster Thomas. .7/2
PLUMPTON
16.25. .Une De La Seniere. .5/2
GL ALL
GRAFTONAT
little ew first race kempton
bol today
We Still Believe
redcar
Steel the China 2-45 plumpton.
Was 150-1 backed down to 33-1 in some places.
Ive had a cheeky 50p ew at 66-1 betVictor.
And 50p ew extra 4 places.
That’s £2 I won’t see again 🍺
It’s a no hoper on form miles out of the handicap, more letters in its form than figures 😳
Ew extra is 33-1 4 places
2:30 Wolverhampton- vanity affair 7/1
Well done dazzman. Had my last few quid in my account on that.
Haha the old all or nothing :-) try not to give it all back today mind !
2:50 – Redcar – boardman 5/2
Ashutor 3-10 Chepstow 7-2
Lexington dash 5-10 kempton 3-1.
And the 3 I’ve mentioned in the Irish national above.
Oh, and the donk at plumpton in a few minutes 🏇
That’s it from me today, lots of racing today, too much to get your head round really.
Off for a freeeezing cold walk now ☃️
2:45 plumpton- ballintara 20/1 E/W
That will do at 1/5 odds
Going for another e/w selection
Wolverhampton 3:05- soros 20/1 E/w
What’s everyone thinking in the 3.15 Fairyhouse,need the favourite for a four timer🤞,always check this forum out here every day,keep up the good work guys 👌
Swordsman 25/1 e/w :-)
Small play on Max Flamingo
Hope you had a big play on that dc 👍💰
3:10 Chepstow Larry 11/1 on the nose no e/w on this one
Bossipop
redcar
Can Willie rediscover Stormy Ireland’s form?
TBO had a hard race at Cheltenham and Mouse Morris’s horses not in form
9/2 small play again
Top work DC 👏
Keep em coming dc haha 💪✅👍
Dirchill
Lavenders Blue..4.02(**). 3/1
Unlucky last time out in a listed but a break to overcome but at 3/1 I’ll take it.
Nice one recoba 👌
Thanks recoba followed you in on that 👏
Well done kidder 👍
No worries gents it was my good Uncle phoning me to put it on and I’m out walking my dog called Blue!
Of course I wouldn’t tip it on that alone but after a look all it had to do was be ready to go.
One to note!
Battleoverdoyen once again small play
Horse is gone at the game
Seems so simple and I’ve a £10 free bet Coco Beach looks good Ew etc but should the favourite being the best horse,not just go out and win this and 9/2 is a-ok?
🕔😄🍻🍺 hApPy HoUr 🕔😄🍻🍺
4:50 Chepstow – Parisian Blue
4:55 Plumpton – Azzuri
5:00 Fairyhouse – Robin De Carlow (each way)
5:25 Plumpton – Ding Ding (each way)
5:40 Fairyhouse – The Gunner Murphy
dragon de estruval 5.00 ew well done all winners today
Court maid ew
Montyalno ew
Rfc☘️☘️
Haha 150/1…..poor jump at the last cost Run Wild Fred
Shame nobody picked that one out haha
My one pulled up and they sent it to tescos and turned it into bergers
5:25 plumpton – mr woody – 25/1 e/w
Small ew in the lucky last on Whispersinthebreeze 4 places
All or nothing now haha
Well done to all the winners today.
Be back Thursday for the first day of Aintree
Will look forward to it . Think I need to clear my head ! Haha 😂
Well done the winners today.
Nothing major tonight bar the Trixie..
Delta -R5…Greeyleys Dealer 11/10(*****)
R9. ..I Want a Picture. 15/8
Philadelphia-R9…Iywaan 6/5(***)
Few prices changing already but I was finally getting a haircut thank France!!
Mullets gone!! 👍
Fancy Mohaing Valley-R7. Big ALS Express but 5/6 now frim 11/8. Okay fir a Yankee but I’ve stuck with my 3 and after yesterday and prices coming in I’m not changing it.
GL all 🐎🇺🇸
Yahtzee!!! Easy as that’s one to keep on side!
Track DJ sure loves ‘The Beatles’ there it was a nice build up he set to the zero crowd!?
Thank you Recoba, nice and easy. Love it.
Frickin Philadelphia-R8…Gambit 7/2(*)
Should stay away from this meeting as the information bar what I’ve wrote in my tracker is hard to come by regarding its opposition.
“Lovely run on the wide outside to come home nice and easy in the straight”. Same jockey so at 7/2 I’ll go £4 on it.
Stinkin,staying away from Philadelphia 👎
2/3 ain’t bad and the main bet landing makes it a good one!