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The last week has been a bit of a struggle for form, with many running well below par. Yesterday saw Red Giant run a cracking race from the front but finished 2nd in the big race at Sedgefield. Master Work never seemed comfortable at Kempton, similar to a lot of the recent horses, where you knew the outcome after a few fences.

Plumpton 2:30

I'm taking a chance on chase debutante, DR JANE, trained by Robert Walford. This lightly raced 8yo goes chasing off a basement mark of 74 (should be 67, but has to race out of the handicap), and that could look very low if she follows in the footsteps of her full-brother, Mr Medic. The latter named horse was also useless over hurdles, and was 0/4 before moving onto the bigger obstacles, where he found his feet and became a useful chaser. Mr Medic went from a 93 rated horse to 143 rated horse in the space of 2 years, which saw him win five times in eight races, winning two big prized handicaps along the way, and I'm hoping that his younger sister is better over fences as well.

Robert Walford has taken a slow and careful approach to the new jumps season, and clearly hasn't rushed any of his horses back. He has only had 9 runners (two horses) this season, but that has returned 3 winners and 4 placed efforts, so it's clearly been an approach of placing the horses in the correct races. In the last fortnight he secured his 3rd win of the season, and that has been his only runner, and she won by 8 lengths. Strangely enough, Robert placed Mr Medic, the full-brother to the selection, at this meeting back in 2016 for his first run over fences, and he goes down the same path for Dr Jane, today.

This race isn't full of quality, with the majority of the horses in the race looking exposed and not really in form. Which is why I think the odds on offer for the selection is worth a punt. You'd have to say that Chapati would be the one to beat, he's still unexposed over fences, and has the best recent form.

Plumpton 4:15

ROYAUME UNI might be a little short in the market by the time this write-up comes out, but as long as he's above EVS, he is a bet in my eyes.

A mark of 116 could be extremely low for this horse, and now he goes back to hurdling for his second season, there could be plenty of improvement to come. This horse clearly has ability, both on the flat and over obstacles, and I think this season is where we see him land a couple of wins. He contested some good novice races last year, and I think it is quite apparent that he needs good ground to be seen to his best. The run at Kempton where he finished 4th, 8 lengths behind the winner was a cracking run. That was his 3rd ever run over hurdles, after showing nothing from his previous two runs, and he wasn't disgraced in behind horses rated 134, 138 and 124. He was well fancied on that day, which goes to show that the yard must think he is a nice horse. He went off at 50/1 and 22/1 for his first two starts for the yard, but was then backed into 15/8 joint favourite for a bumper race, which he won by 6.5 lengths, and then 8/13F for his first flat start, which he won by 4.25 lengths. After that Kempton run he contested two class 2 hurdles races, where he finished 2nd and 4th.

He made a return to racing a couple of weeks ago on the flat, at Ascot. He ran with credit, and finished 5/9, where it was likely that he needed the run. That race would've been a pipe opener for this hurdles race, and an opener for his jumping season. Plumpton is one of Gary Moore's local tracks, and always likes to have winners here, so it's not a surprise to see this lad start his campaign at this venue.

In reality, this race doesn't look like anything special. I'd imagine that Olly Murphy's new recruit, Laura Bullion, will be one to be wary of, especially if fancied in the market. She makes her first start for Murphy, after being transferred from Noel Meade's yard. She has some decent pieces of form, and gets a 7lb claimer to take the ride. As for the rest, I don't think they'll be on the same level as the selection, who I believe is well-handicapped, and could make a mockery of his current rating.

Related Topic: Racing Tips
19:00 Newcastle - Race: 7
Distance: 5f
Type: Flat
Class: 6
Track: AllWeather
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
4
Tathmeen
5677-52

2
Blazing Hot
6512-31

3
Portelet Bay
4326-64

1
Porfin
141-145

5
Tanasoq
462785-

6
Snow Berry
698110-

7
Mansfield
9378-67

12:15 Doncaster - Race: 1
Distance: 2m 3f 31y
Type: Chase
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
4
Tathmeen
5677-52

2
Blazing Hot
6512-31

3
Portelet Bay
4326-64

1
Porfin
141-145

5
Tanasoq
462785-

6
Snow Berry
698110-

7
Mansfield
9378-67

12:25 Huntingdon - Race: 1
Distance: 1m 7f 171y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Captain Broomfield
312

1
Judicial Law
4-1551

5
Kellahen

3
Dibble Decker
163

6
Lucky Bounce
9

4
Gold Souk
74

10
Morani Kali
7P

9
Sherella

8
Twistedfirestarter
37-07

7
Time Please
1-3PP

15 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Bath -1:00 – red allure – 28/1 e/w 4 places 1/4 odds bet 365

    2
  2. elvis parsley 3 months ago

    Pisgah pike 3-40 plumpton.
    11-8 betting without Botox has.

    Basically a match bet v up the straight.
    Has to shoulder a penalty and up the straight kept better company last year but Pisgah has a fitness edge and won on this card last year.

    2
  3. spurs55 3 months ago

    King crimson

    First race @ bath

    Bol

    2
  4. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    gherkin 1.00 well done all winners yesterday

  5. New123 3 months ago

    Kayfast Warrior Pon 3.30 11/1 E/W
    Gl

  6. elvis parsley 3 months ago

    Plumpton
    2-30 Salamanca school 6-4 top 3 finish @skybet.
    —————————————————
    3-40 Pisgah pike 15-8 betting without Botox has (reasons above and price now bigger which ain’t promising but taken it nonetheless☹️ 🏇 NAP 🏇 @bet Victor.
    ————————————————–
    4-15 Peterborough 5-2 betting without royaume uni and alborkan @bet365
    ————————————————–
    4-50 churchtown glen 11-8 betting without brother pat and on the meter @bet365.

    2
    • elvis parsley 3 months ago

      4-50 is without brother pat and regaby, not brother pat and on the meter duh 😁

  7. ew thief 3 months ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Thegravytrain 1.00b 20-1
    My boy Charles 2.10b 11-1
    Carp kid 2.45b 12-1
    De vegas kid 3.20b 14-1
    Never said nothing 3.55b 9-1
    Air of York 4.30b 20-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky63 ☘️☘️Gl all

    4
  8. recoba 3 months ago

    Better last night in US with Beverley Park winning for 6 timer and drift out to 3/1 from 9/4 helped. Still only 2/4 in Yankee with other horse pulling up and and last pick at 10/11 went off at 4/11 and was 3rd! 🤷🏽‍♂️

    Finger Lakes-R8…Doc Advantage 8/1 Ew(**** need to improve but only his 3rd outing and fought on really gamely in the straight to win by a neck,steps up from 5F to 2m but was strong at the line)

    GL all today

    1
    • recoba 3 months ago

      *steps up from 5F to 1M. NOT 2m!! 😁

      Price with Skybet

    • recoba 3 months ago

      Doc Advantage has been 5/2 favourite with Bet365 for a while but just got on Skybet and he’s still 7/1!
      Hopefully a good sign.

      1
    • recoba 3 months ago

      Didn’t stay the mile the Doc! 👎🇺🇸

      Not be up for this and less it’s a major turnaround I’ll probably not even watch a replay but…

      Mountaineer-R8…Kim Man 100/1. Ew(*
      A $1 ew on this,recent forms terrible and probably continue but was rated 103 not so long ago)

      Well done the winners today.

      Cheers to Elvis I took your Plumpton pick and the favourite in the next(4.15) for a decent double with my £5 free bet with Skybet 👍

  9. spurs55 3 months ago

    Millions Memories

    Next @ bath

    • spurs55 3 months ago

      Give in

      Bol

  10. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    Accrington Stanley 3.55 look like a good ew bet not the football team the horse

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