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Yesterday's sole selection was a Non-Runner, which was frustrating, but potentially a blessing in disguise. The winner of that race looked very impressive, and would've been hard to beat based on that performance. Just the one selection for today, so finger's crossed he won't be a Non-Runner too.
Chester isn't a track I often like to have a bet at, but when there is a front runner which could get an easy lead of things, I think they are worth chancing. STATE OF BLISS is drawn in stall 5, but that shouldn't be an issue in this small field event, especially when you consider there is a very strong possibility that no other horse will want to lead.
Franny Norton is the best jockey around Chester, and no one could tell me different. Franny rides this track extremely well, so the fact he takes the ride on State Of Bliss is a huge positive. He is very good riding from the front around this track, and more often than not sets the perfect fractions to suit his ride.
My one doubt about this race is based on the weather. Chester had a little rain yesterday, and is expecting to have more before the start of racing. If it changes the ground to Soft, or even worse, there is question marks about whether he'll handle the ground. But, if it goes Good To Soft, then we should definitely be fine, as this lads best runs have come on GTS, which included a 3.75 length win at Ascot, which produced an RPR of 99. There is a possibility that he'll handle the ground if it does get worse than GTS as his Sire, Gleneagles, has a good SR on his progeny who have raced on Soft ground (17% SR and 32% SR on heavy!). Stats are good, but until they prove themselves on that ground it means nothing.
As for the opposition, you'd have to say that It's Good To Laugh is likely to be the main danger. My issue with this horse is this new trip, as he's not bred to stay this far, and based on his previous attempts over 12f on soft ground, it doesn't look too appealing. Buriram is a horse who will relish the slower ground, but I think he needs further, and a speed track like Chester probably won't suit him over this distance, even on slow ground. The Marwan Koukash owned horses are always respected at this course, with Heart Of Soul being the main danger from that trio. You can ignore his latest run, as he bled from the nose. Before that he was in good form, so warrants respect.