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FOUR winners yesterday put a smile back on my face. Let's hope we can continue that kind of form in to Thursday.
1.30pm JLT Novices Chase
DEFI DU SEUIL (1.30) is just preferred to Lostintranslation in another tip-top renewal of the JLT Novices’ Chase.
Philip Hobbs stripped him at Exeter for his first run of the season in November and Defi Du Seuil ran out a fairly comfortable winner from yesterday’s RSA Chase hero Topofthegame. His six-year-old was edged out after a titantic battle with Lostintranslation at Cheltenham before avenging that defeat, albeit narrowly, at Sandown.
It could develop into another thrilling head-to-head, with Mengli Khan capable of hitting the frame at decent odds if repeating his excellent third to Summerville Boy and Kalashnikov in last year’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle run on heavy ground.
2.10pm Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle
FIRST ASSIGNMENT (2.10) appears nicely handicapped in another fiercely-competitive Pertemps Network Final and the Ian Williams-trained hurdler is fancied to repel a mighty Irish challenge.
The six-year-old scored twice at Cheltenham in October/November before being upped in class. His third to Paisley Park at Haydock was a big effort and First Assignment hasn’t been spotted since occupying the same place behind Keeper Hill at Warwick in January. The slight concern would be heavy ground, but it was quite deep when he scored at Huntingdon last January.
JP McManus always lays one out for this event and Sire Du Berlais caught the eye when staying on into sixth, the final qualifying position for today’s final, at Leopardstown’s Christmas festival.
Joseph O’Brien’s Thermistocles finished three places in front of Sire Du Berlais but was ridden much more aggressively. There is little between the pair on the book.
2.50pm Ryanair Chase
I’ve had MONALEE (2.50) pencilled in for the Ryanair Chase for some time as this intermediate 2m 5f distance is right up his street.
He has twice finished runner-up at the Festival, chasing home Penhill in the 2017 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle and then Presenting Percy in last year’s RSA Chase. Monalee races exuberantly, which taxes his stamina over three miles, and he showed his liking for this shorter trip when beating Anibale Fly a couple of lengths over 2m 4f at Gowran Park, conceding 7lb to the runner-up, with 25 lengths back to Edwulf and Killultagh Vic.
Henry de Bromhead’s eight-year-old has won on soft, so what’s not to like?
Of course, this is a strong event and the likes of Footpad, Road To Respect, Frodon and Un De Sceaux are entitled to maximum respect in what should be a crackerjack.
3.30pm Stayers Hurdle
In an earlier post, PAISLEY PARK (3.30) was underlined as a banker for the Sun Racing Stayers’ Hurdle and his price has collapsed in the interim. There’s not much juice left in odds of around 15-8 but he remains the one to beat.
If you’d rather scramble around for an each-way alternative then Supasundae appears rock solid. Jessica Harrington’s gelding was second to Penhill last year and scooped the Coral Cup 12 months earlier, so we know he goes well at Prestbury Park.
4.10pm Brown Advisory and Merriebelle Stable Plate
JANIKA (4.10) will revel on this easy surface and the four-time winner in France should give us a great run in the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate. Nicky Henderson had him entered for the Ryanair Chase but this less daunting 2m 4f handicap chase is tailor-made for the top weight.
It would be no surprise to see consistent Doitforthevillage run well at big odds, just ahead of Ballyhill and Kalondra.
4.50pm Mares Novice Hurdle
EPATANTE (4.50) has won both her starts for the Henderson yard since crossing the English Channel and she should land fairly skinny odds in the Mares’ Hurdle. After winning on her UK debut at Kempton in November, Epatante mopped up an easy opening at Exeter in February, never coming off the bridle.
She faces a battle-hardened opponent in Posh Trish, successful on four of her five starts this season for Paul Nicholls.
5.30pm Kim Muir Challenge Cup
ANY SECOND NOW (5.30) should carry a wealth warning as he has let down punters on a couple of big occasions. Ted Walsh’s gelding was 5-1 favourite for last year’s Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase but managed only eighth to Mister Whitaker.
Blinkers made a difference at Leopardstown over Christmas when Any Second Now finished a creditable fifth in the Paddy Power Chase and the aids are on again today.
No Comment and Touch Kick were also on my rather lengthy shortlist but you can’t bet them all!
In December 2020 we sadly 
Hi Gentlemen. Been following your tips for a while and have to say the knowledge and tipping is a very welcome source. Hoping to repay in kind i have 2 i fancy at chelt on thursday. 210 walk to freedom and 450 my sister sarah. Both ew and ew double. Good luck to all.
210 Aaron Lad 14/1
geared for this race, have not spoke to the connection this week but the amount he has banged on about it, i will be backing it each way. about a week ago, i looked at the 6 or so ahead of him in the betting very briefly and wasn’t put off, although it looks a race with lots of potentials so market leaders may not have been the best guide.
Hexham
5:50
3/1 TOI STOREY
Cheltenham
1:30
10/3 DEFI DU SEUIL win
2:10
14/1 THERMISTOCLES e/w
16/1 CHAMPERS ON ICE e/w
2:50
7/1 FRODON e/w
9/2 MONALEE e/w
3:30
4/1 FAUGHEEN win
4:10
14/1 EAMON A CNOIC e/w
25/1 KINGS ODYSSEY e/w
4:50
6/1 POSH TRISH e/w
50/1 BLACK TEARS e/w
100/1 AWAYINTHEEAST e/w
5:30
5/1 MEASUREOFMYDREAMS
14/1 SPEAKER CONNOLY
40/1 ARKWRISHT
Cheltenham Placepot
24 bets
Race 1 (2)
Race 2 (14-22)
Race 3 (6-7)
Race 4 (5)
Race 5 (21-23)
Race 6 (1-5-11)
19.37/1 Place Acca paddy power
Hexham
5:50
TOI STOREY to place first three
Cheltenham
1:30
DEFI DU SEUIL to place first three
Cheltenham
2:50
FRODON to place first four
Cheltenham
3:30
FAUGHEEN to place first three
Southwell
7:00
TATHMEEN to place first four
Excellent tipping Johnb
Miss you on this site big time
Thanks heartstopper22, Tathmeen to place in first four would be even better to bring up the place acca and the golf couldnt be goimg any better which was posted on the football thread
Excellent picks Mr JB. Had a win on the 1:30 and was on the place picks as well, 3 wins, 1 place and only Tathmeen letting it down.
Also on the Too darn hot for the 2000 Guineas.
Look forward to tomorrow’s picks.
Rogers over.
Place double both top 4 finish @paddy power.
2-50 Road to respect 4-6
3-30 Supasundae 5-4
Double Pays 3-1 Nap.
Paddy Power also have Supasundae at 10-11 top 5 finish which barring a fall looks generous given his last 13 races been grade 1 races and never out of 1st 4 !!
Will add this to a couple of john b place tips above.
Ew shouts
4-10 modus 22-1
5-30 touch kick 20-1
Well done with the winners yesterday Alan. And great tricast John B.
Good Morning, looks like an early start on here today, well done to everyone with winners yesterday, some great posts.
We it’s half time and Cheltenham and we are about to get the 2nd half underway. Here are my picks for day 3.
1:30 JLT – KILDSART @ 9/1
2:10 Pretemps – THEMISTOCLES @ 14/1
2:50 Ryanair Chase – FRONDON @ 15/2
3:30 Stayers – PAISLEY PARK @ 2/1 (NAP)
4:10 Brown Advisory Plate – EAMON AN CNOIC @ 12/1
4:50 Mares Novice Hurdle – EPATANTE @ 9/4
5:30 Kim Muir – KILFILUM CROSS @ 16/1
Also, tonight is the first evening race meeting at Southwell on the AW under the new floodlights. Good luck to those involved and I hope it’s a big success.
My second bet of the festival runs today in the stayers hurdle i backed him for this at much bigger odds before he won the cleeve hurdle at the end of january. I cant see him being beaten today and even 15/8 which is the best you can get now is value. i have to make him a NAP/NB, only my second of 2019, as i really cant see him being beaten.
Paisley park
3.30 cheltenham 15/8 NAP/NB
One more cheltenham tip to come tomorrow. Good luck everyone.
Went big because of your confidence, thanks.
Ditto. I had a rare bet on the racing because of the comments. Cheers.
Well done Hibee1, Coleman timed it perfectly 👌😊Happy days 👍
Yes you were very confident with that tip. Cheers well done
Excellent Mr Hibee1 was on that afternoon the write up.
Very well timed run.
Hi guys, looking for a bit of advice if possible. Not a great lover of betting on horses but I do like Cheltenham. Can anyone tell me, the skybet first race offer, is that a one time bet for the week, or is it everyday? The wording in the T and Cs is quite ambiguous. Cheers
Yes this is every day for the first race of the day. just keep rolling the £20 over so in the end you got £80 of bets for £20 deposit which you can then withdraw.
That’s not how it works mate if you keep putting the £20 on then getting it back at the end of week you will have £20 not £80 or is that not what you meant?
You keep rolling the £20 over, so you only deposit the £20 once and if you lose each day (betting in the first race) you get it back as cash, so £80 worth of bets for £0. Everyone and their mum should have been on this offer its 0 risk.
I get you now m8 sorry was the way you said it in initial post but your 100% right 👌
much obliged mullz. I did think that at first but then when I saw in bold the words FIRST CASH BET, I wasnt sure if they meant you could do it once over the 4 days or if its just the first bet on the 130 race each day.
thanks again mullz. backed the favourite at 3/1 after missing out yesterday as I thought it was a 1 shot deal
It’s deleted – your comment doesn’t help.
Seriously, it’s about tips so put up tips or thoughts about races.
Morning everyone well I woke up happier this morning with that final treble winning yest to give me £214 and put me even for the festival and still have 2 festival bets running over the 4 days and both have Paisley Park in them so all my bets and centering on this horse today and therefor I will be putting this up as my NAP today….
NB is Frodon in the 2.50 at 6/1 I really like this horses chances today and it know how to win round here 4 times in the past.
Good luck everyone
I’ve read comments in papers today about Paisley park saying things like .
Impossible to oppose.
Banker of the meeting etc.
I may be alone in this but beating west approach last twice ( that one is 33-1 today) doesn’t warrant those comments.
He has looked good winning this season but has he beat the standard of horse in opposition today ?.
This race and the Ryanair today are 2 of the best races of the week for me.
Much better day yesterday and well done to all other winners.
Not overly confident today but here are my selections anyway.
Busy day so no time for write ups
1.30 Vindication 7/1 ew
2.10 Walk to Freedom 20/1 ew
2.50 Road to Respect 4/1 / Coney island 33/1 ew
3.30 Paisley Park 7/4 NAP
4.10 Janika 9/2 NB
4.50 Posh Trish 11/2
5.30 Speaker Connelly 12/1 ew
BOL
Morning all well done winners yesterday
Kildistart 1.30 9-1
Champers on ice 2.10 11-1
Coney Island 2.50 28-1
Top notch 3.30 14-1
Kings odyssey 4.10 22-1
Eglante du seuil 4.50 33-1
Out Sam 5.30 25-1
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️Gl all
Morning All. Well done yesterdays winners. Just two of my E/W bets placed yesterday 14/1 10/1 .But not been the best of weeks so far.
Most of my main bets are away from Cheltenham but a few E/W bets today.
MARKET RASEN
15.45. .Bertie Blake. .2/1
17.05. .Iskabeg Lane. .13/8
HEXHAM
17.15. .Ringaringarosie. .11/2
17.50. .Whispering Affair. .11/8
CHELTENHAM
13.30. .Lostintranslation. .9/2.
—————————-
E/W BETS
14.10. .Flemcara. .18/1
16.10. .Azzerti. .18/1
16.50. .Eglantine Du Seuil. .50/1
GL ALL
Omg buss what a shout 66/1 cheers 🍺
Omg buss what a shout 66/1 cheers 🍺
Superb Ew Thief n Busstop with the Ew. Had a whole 50p Ew…so glad I so nealy didn’t hence the very low stake. 👍
posted last night
Defi Du Seuil 3/1
Footpad 4/1
Faugheen 4/1
Janika 9/2
Sinoria 13/2
Measureofmydreams 9/2
Thanks for yesterday, theplug! Helped me out big style! 👍
Thanks for yesterday, theplug! Helped me out big style! 👍
What’s happened there?? 🤔
glad you were on jimba
Great start plug
Coole Cody 2.10 ,from a small stable who are no strangers to a plot (recent Leicester winner 40/1 in to 6/1) 6th in Pertempts qualifier before good run at Sandown beating Flemcara ,any more rain a bonus.On the downside he’s a front runner but this means you could lay in-running anywhere between 55 and 28/1 available GL ALL
the word wasn’t what i expected
2 from j harrington yard
Walk to freedom 16/1 ew 2.50
Emily moon 22/1 ew 4.50
one more sky pirate 16/1 5-30
Afternoon, one I like today already tipped by database Cheltenham 2.10 Aaron Lad 12/1.
GL 🍀
unlucky, we got a good run for our money, being in the lead after jumping the penultimate fence, he was probably just too prominent throughout.
real steal 1.30 nowwhatiam 2.10 monalee.2.50 petite moucher 3.30 janika 4.10 just a sting 5.30 well done all winners yesterday
1.30 Cheltenham Pravalaguna@11/1, 2.10 Cheltenham Thermistocles@14/1, 4.50 Cheltenham Lust for glory@12/1, 5.15 Hexham Solid strike@5/4.
Sorry guys been really busy today in work so appologies for late post
1:30 Defi Du Seuil 5/2 1pt win
2:10 notwhatiam 12/1 1pt win
2:50 monalee 9/2 1pt win
3:50 supersundae 9/1 1pt win
4:10 modus 20/1 0.5 ew
4:50 Sancta simona 14/1 2pt win
Good luck all
NAP. (Placed last night)
Place double both top 4 finish @paddy power.
2-50 Road to respect 4-6
3-30 Supasundae 5-4
Double Pays 3-1 .
NB
2-50 frodon top 4 finish evens
3-30 Supasundae top 5 finish evens
Both @paddy power
Double is 3-1.
Treble 1
2-50 frodon top 4 evens.
3-30 Supasundae top 5 evens.
4-10 spiritofthegames top 5 13-10
Treble just over 8-1.
Treble 2
2-50 frodon top 4 evens.
3-30 top notch top 5 11-8.
4-10 spiritofthegames top 5 13-10.
Treble pays 10-1.
Looking good so far Mr Parsley.
Had the Road to respect place and JohnB’s Defi De Seuil WIN.
Paisley park that Mr hibee tipped for the WIN nap/nb.
Cheers
Fantastic performance there from frodon well done Bryony
Bryony Frost on Frodon
“He’s had his day guys. HE IS PEGASUS! He is the most incredible battler. Most horses would quit but he grabbed me by the hands and told me he wants it. Tell me and deny me he loves racing.”
Brilliant, just brilliant
Happy days postman😊👍
Paisley park comes home just Brilliant for the trainer and all those connected almost fell at the last but showed great determination to get the win
Well done to those who were strong on paisley, hibee, postman, double carpet to name a few.
Turned my week around. Thanks.
BIG Well done 👍 to all those who tipped paisley park👌Happy days 😊. GL 🍀
Meanwhile over on the competition page SAND has given the first 5 winners 😱 posh trish for the full house 👍
Little help needed ive done a lucky 63 and if epante wins:
I get £1k
if he places its £300
if he loses I get £280
current cash out is £548
what should I do
only you can answer, how important is the money. effectively what you are doing now is risking £450 on one horse, basically betting £225 on an even money shot, is that something you would do, the horse is a big fav, but with others mentioning posh trish and it now being 5/1 into 3/1, when money has been right all week… i think you cash out and be happy.
however, you still win if it loses/places, so it may be worth the risk… but price wise, this is a short fav, and i havent heard his name banded about very often… neither do i know about the race/horse so tricky, but for me, cash out, as i have not cashed out for larger sums than yours and been sick after. BOL.
just saw your post at the last moment thank goodness I pulled the plug £520 does me just fine
my biggest offer was £850 which i turned down, then turned down £750 for £1500, the big even money fav in america which pom tipped up, it couldn’t lose, but then the jockey proceeded to race as if he was in a 2f sprint lol. it is absolutely sickening when you have a big fav and refused the cash out. glad you did it… i would say on balance, you always take the money offered if it is decent profit.
i also lost about 2K in a matter of days.
my bankroll went from 3k to 600.
i had a £20 5folds in play, the first 2 won, i had to go out and i decided to check my bank, it had typically floated around 4k in it for a couple months, i saw a very lowly figure and decided to cash out…
as i got in, the 4th horse had just run, making it 4 from 4 with 1 runner left, if the 5th won i was getting 18k, so my cash out offer was at absolute minimum 3k..
sadly i cashed out for 230 :D
so many sick stories, stopped typing so much as people cant ignore and it was bothering them.
I guess its all about having good judgement and not being too greedy the 6 I had in the e/w l 63 were
1:30- Defi du seiul 3/1
2:10- First assignment 10/1
2:50- Frodon 13/2
4:10 – Sirhuh du lac 13/2
4:50 – epante 11/8
I would have taken Sire Du Berlais in the 2:10 but felt he was over hyped but he won
all in all if evreyhorse had won I would have got £13k but happy with my profit
* 3:30- Paisley park
gotta get the cross day multiples down next year, it is hard doing it AP, although paisley park, altior, tiger roll now seems like free money, but to really hit big, you need to be able to react to the market, and you also don’t need to back trebles, a single where you bet the returned stake is much safer, especially with no cash out offer. you could spend £50 on 25 £2 single multiplier bets. race 1, klassical dream got hammered in, 10 £2 singles on that gives you 10 £14 bets. the next 3 races were too uncertain. we would have lost a few on benie des deuix falling, if 5 remain, a plus tard 5/1 looked obvious based on the market. we couldve had 5 bets of £84, i think altior was legitimately the next safest bet at 2/5 all 5 bets on returns 5 bets of £114, tiger roll in the next race, we couldve been on at 6/4, 5 bets of £285, plugs band of outlaws came next at 5s, it soon got money and we at worst wouldve risked 3 of our pots, 3 bets of £1710, collect one for profit, watching the market, envoi allen got absolutely smashed, the money hadnt been wrong for most of the festival, retain one bet, one bet on allen 2/1, pot 1 £5100, pot 2 £1700, Defi Du Seuil was mentioned here heavily, pot 2 would’ve been on returning £6800, couple favs go on to win but Paisley Park was then going to be bet on 11/8 both pots, returning £16150 and £12112
this looks a fun, safe, cheap way to bet with massive rewards. ok we are using hindsight, but if you are starting with 50 £1 avenues, whilst analysing the markets, the horses and the races i picked out have all been straightfoward, and those i ignored have more often than not been highly competitive or a minefield, so i dont think it would’ve been too hard for someone to achieve this bet, something i will be investigating… the fact you can stop at anytime with profit is also a win win. but from 10 bets, it looks fathomable that we couldve made 30k.
NAP Paisley Park wins and also NB Frodon what a cracking day today went from £200 yest to evens to over £600 up so far and waiting on Sir Eric 2mo for a big sum 😁
£200 down I meant to say
ben poste just rode another winner, he seems to be finding his way into the winners enclosure more and more, one name I will tracking from now on, especially like him with katy price.
well played noel fehily, big name declares his last chelt and probably his retirement.
Didn’t think Jordan was his type
alan’s MR ADJUDICATOR, race 2 friday, is now down to 12s in places, if anyone was thinking about betting, his price may only get shorter.
Nice1 hibbee you oozed confidense on it. Few naps from others made it even more a banker. Well done to you all.
Just got in to see Eglantine Du Seuil. wins at .50/1.
Amazing how one horse can turn my whole week round
gl all
Excellent tipping bud👍well done 👏
not a good day for me with just the one winner,but the mrs was waiting on jamie codd in the last for 1500euro ran a shocker wasn’t meant to be.make things worse we had to drive to the bookies because the f—–g dodgy box went for the last race
Well done winners today.
Supasundae ruined my day betting wise.
Paisley park last of 13 last year now undeniably the top staying hurdler around.
2 lady jockeys winning.
Geraghtys double.
Aiden Coleman mentioning Callum gillies who tragically died a couple of years ago in his moment of glory got to me to be honest, class speech and sums up the integrity of the sport.
Mullins 1-2 at 50-1 and 66-1, the runner up hadn’t even jumped a hurdle in public before !!.
Brilliant days viewing and a great day for the sport.
@Johnb good to see you back. Thanks for the tips.
And @busstop, cracker with the 50/1 shout. Bravo sir.