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Captain Kane was an 8/1 winner on Tuesday under the talented Billy Loughnane. I thought Billy left it a bit too late, but in fairness, he timed it to perfection. I thought Luke Morris was very unlucky on the runner-up, he gave his horse a cracking ride and nearly nicked it from the front when kicking around the bend, but Captain Kane's turbo kicked in and he sailed down the outside to snatch the win.
Catterick 3:52 – Blazing Son 9/2 (1pt Bet365)
This race is a mixture of horses dropping down the handicap running off low but enticing handicap marks, and those who are on the up and might be still well-handicapped. I've opted for one of the latter, with Blazing Son.
With the ground being soft the night before, and further rain expected to land at Catterick you're going to need a horse who will handle the testing conditions. Blazing Son has proven that he runs well in these conditions, with a win on heavy ground at Redcar last year and a good 4th/7 at Thirsk last time out. For me, the recent run at Thirsk was the acid test for this horse. He has previously been running well in Class 5 and 6 races, and the Thirsk race was his first time in Class 4 company, and though he didn't win, he shaped well and the form of the race has worked out nicely. The winner finished 3rd/8 on their next start in a Class 3 race, still producing a +6 RPR difference to their current rating, the runner-up won the Gold Cup trial at Ayr on Monday and the horse which finished last won next time out.
He is a horse who sits close to the pace, which should be handy as Catterick is a course which favours those who are on the pace or close to it. I don't think he'll set the fractions as the favourite likes to do that, and based on the way the favourite runs, it's going to be a fast paced race, so contesting him for the lead spells disaster. I don't think the favourite will last the 6f on testing ground if he goes the pace like he did the last two times, so I believe he is a terrible price. Blazing Son still appears to be progressing and the horse has been in great form since Mark Winn has taken over as the usual rider with all of the horses four wins have come under Mark from his seven rides.
Catterick - 3:52 pm