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Clive Cox's impressive recent record in the Bullet at Beverley continued on Saturday with Kerdos winning. It wasn't ideal to see him trapped in on the rail and I was thinking he wouldn't get the gaps, but he did get the gaps and he powered up the stiff finish which I thought he would've enjoyed.

Potapova managed to grab a place, returning a small amount of profit. Watching it live I didn't think she got a place as Novus was flying late in the race and I 100% thought she nicked the last place. Ryan Moore didn't give Potapova the best of rides, she might not have won if getting a fully clear race, but I would've liked to have seen it unfold as I thought she found plenty under pressure.

Tipperary 3:45 – Bella Blue Eyes 11/1 (0.5pt EW Bet365)

It's a shame that Matilda Picotte is in this race as she is probably going to challenge Bella Blue Eyes for the lead, but I still think my selection can win. The former horse only seems to know one way of running and she has the inside stall so getting to the front won't be an issue. I'm hoping that Billy Lee uses his noggin, sits behind Matilda, and uses her as a target.

On ratings, Paddy Twomey's horse has a bit to find, but I don't think this race is too strong. If the ground was testing I think the top weight, Honey Girl would be of major interest, but on fast ground, I think she isn't as effective, but I'd imagine she'd run a big race still. I believe that Bella's form in the last three runs is better than what it looks on first viewing. She beat a couple of decent horses at Leopardstown, the runner-up has won since, producing an RPR of 100 and finishing 4th at Class 1 level, and the third-placed horse has won twice since. In the last two runs, she has been running over a mile, and though she managed to win once and finish second the other time I think she is better over 7f as she plugs on over 7f but at a mile, it seems to test her stamina a bit too much. Even though I believe she isn't best suited by a mile she ran a blinder to finish 2nd last time out and I think the front 3 (Bella Blue Eyes included) are all decent horses who could make the jumps into Class 1 company.

The ground at Tipperary is classed as yielding on the morning of Saturday, but they are expecting sunny weather for the next 24 hours which should dry the ground out to at least good ground, which the mud lovers will probably find too fast.

Paddy Twomey, trainer of Bella Blue Eyes won this race back in 2021 so he knows the calibre of horse required to win this race, which is always nice as he is a shrewd trainer and he wouldn't be pitching his horse into a race he doesn't think she is capable of winning.

Related Topic: Racing Tips
Horse Racing Tips
Bella Blue Eyes
- 3:45 pm

11/1 @ Bet365

20 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 8 months ago

    4:30 Worcester- Milanese rose 16/1 e/w

    5
    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      5:55 longchamp- diwan senora 10/1 e/w

      5
    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      Was hoping white umbrella was going to save the day yesterday landed second place which did drift out to 16/1 at one point so if you had it each way not the end of the world ! The other 2 were dog shit !

      5
  2. dazzman1979 8 months ago

    Looney bet ! 3:20 Worcester- my Kent 20/1 e/w

    6
  3. elvis parsley 8 months ago

    5 group races at longchamp today, can’t get my head round any of them tbh.
    Be interested to hear comments from the regulars here

    • double carpet 8 months ago

      Won’t be backing anything today at Longchamp but have taken 20/1 EW antepost on Horizon Dore for the Champion Stakes.
      The race will cut up with most probably running in the Arc and its the same connections as last year’s winner so I’m hoping they will be trying to repeat the success.
      Obviously has to win today but should.

    • recoba 8 months ago

      🇫🇷
      Go with double mentioned ⬆️ and small stakes as on these!

      1.30..Skazino 2/1
      4.08…True Testaments 15/2 Ew 4 places Skybet
      5.25…Aintreegirl 11/2 could Ew with 4 places again

      Smallish stakes as Elvis hints at good racing but tough racing I’d be happy with short double and 1 single of these.
      Q a full house 😋🇫🇷 🦨

    • double carpet 8 months ago

      As low as 7s now with b365 after that win

  4. recoba 8 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Jamie Spencer with a masterclass on Ancient Rome from UK won 6/1 at Kentucky. Some price and surely at 6/1 never going to be out top 3.
    Only seen that earlier!!

    Anywho…

    First pick posted yesterday Sandy Gardens 10/3 (***) a close 4th. 💩
    Del Mar -R10..G3….Motorious Nap **** 7/2 Won* 👌
    Last 2 races at another G1 that should be a cracker and a good 350k Stakes

    R11…Arabian Knight 5/2 **** Coral
    Side bet combo tricast. 9-1-7
    R12..Missed the Cut. 8/1 Ew
    Side bet 10-9-4

    Small double too.

    GL and well done winners yesterday ✅

    1
    • recoba 8 months ago

      🇺🇸
      Arabian Knight 5/2 *Won and Tricast paid £33 n change 👌
      Missed The Cut a nose 4th!!
      2 from my tracker and other was the winner but went with my gut. 🤷‍♂️

      🇫🇷
      Got a few in my tracker Elvis.
      Auld Skazino in the 2nd but 15/8 not for me.
      Andromeda R7 who I see went to Germany and won a Stakes but tough ask in here although keeps improving but I fancy….

      Longchamp- 4.08pm…True Testemant at 7/1.
      Good 3rd to Simca Millie in a G2,horse that’s won 2x G1 races recently.
      Had a hard ask on comeback after nearly 11 months off being thrown in to a G3 but maybe shows what trainer thinks if that was a prep run.

      Look more tomorrow but Race 1 and Race 3 with 2 short priced favourites looks a decent double.
      There called Beauvitor and Horizon Dore
      pays around 2.3/1 Bet365.

      🛌

      1
    • elvis parsley 8 months ago

      Cheers recoba and DC 👍.
      Beauviteur looks well too short to me though it should obviously win, makes better ew odds on the rest though 👍

      3
    • recoba 8 months ago

      No worries Elvis,good luck rest of the day.

      🇫🇷
      Nice and easy double there and Skybet offering cash back top 3 offer for the 3.33?? Can’t be having the favourite 4/5 although probably a worthy and with his form figures 1111122 surely get money back BUT go with

      3.33…Fateur Cheval 3/1

      GL

  5. double carpet 8 months ago

    I think the current 3/1 available for London City 2.00 tipp is worth taking.
    AOB has won 5 of the last 6 and this horse is beautifully bred by Justify out of Winter and started fav for his debut but could only manage 5th but will appreciate the longer trip today

    BOL

  6. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    los Angeles 2.00 ew Camelot cold so can’t leave alone just hope it can run a good race

    4
    • double carpet 8 months ago

      Lovely shout azz 👍

      1
    • azzthewigan 8 months ago

      cheers dc

      1
  7. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    colt

  8. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    follow me 12.45 ew as finished second in last 2 starts seems a bit overpriced today well done all winners yesterday

  9. elvis parsley 8 months ago

    Longchamp 🇫🇷

    1-30 skazino
    2-1 win HILLS
    —————————————
    2-05 Goliath
    9-1 win
    23-20 top 3 finish (BETFAIR)
    10-90 stake

    Up in class for this unbeaten nag.
    Could be anything fit top trainer graffard
    —————————————–
    2-55 dreams
    12-1 bet365 ew extra 7 places
    ——————————————-
    3-33 top gear
    14-1 bet365 ew extra 4 places
    15-8 top 4 finish BETFAIR (single)

    Looks overpriced at 22-1 for place purposes.
    Entered in the queen Elizabeth at Ascot in october
    ——————————————-
    4-05 andromede
    3-1 top 2 finish
    EVENS top 4 finish SKYBET NAP/NB 🏇
    20-80 stake

    EVENS top 4 finish looks like free money to me but this is horse racing and anything can happen

    2
  10. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    zag ray 2.20 baden baden

    1

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