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Saturday was a mixed day of results. I was sucker for yet another horse who needed his first run of the season in Ilaraab. I think he will be winning on his next run, depending where they send him, but based on that run, he came to win his race but didn't have the fitness to sustain it. A couple of poor runs in between the win from An Tailliur who did what I said in the write-up and that is by winning by only what was needed, and he'll be on another winning mark after the handicapper reassess him.
Newbury 4:31
A busy day of racing for a Sunday with multiple cards across England and Ireland, but nothing really stood out to me as a good bet apart from AURIFEROUS who is drifting in the market and it makes him a very good EW bet in the 2m contest at Newbury. It's not a big surprise to see him drift, as the favourite will be strong in the market for punters due to the Ryan Moore and Nicky Henderson combination, with a rare flat runner for the stable. That horse, Ahorsewithnoname, was 2nd in a Cheltenham race in March so will have many people jumping on the hype train. Obviously a handicap debut mark of 80 could be very low for this horse, but it doesn't mean she'll be a banker by any means, and at this moment I think her price is dreadful. It wouldn't surprise me to see her go off as an odds-on shot, as she has a fitness edge and it's a horse which punters will be sucked into, after getting a lot of attention in this.
The form of Andrew Balding's yard is a little bit concerning, with just 2 winners in the last 14 days from 33 runners. They have had some horses run okay in between, but it's definitely not ideal. Either way, I think this lad deserves a chance based on his consistent profile. He recent 2nd at Kempton was a good effort, and it will have put him straight for the flat turf season. He was in front of a couple of horses who are in this field, and even though there is a swing in the weights, I can't see how Justus or Imperium can reverse that form, as this lad looks a stronger stayer. A mark of 82 looks workable, and if I'm honest I don't think this is the strongest of races. Rajinsky would be interesting in this if he came into this on the back of a run, but he hasn't and Hugo Palmer hasn't had the best of two weeks in terms of form either.
I was impressed with how the selection ran lto in a decent Class 2 race, and that was his first attempt over 2m, so there should be plenty more to come.
Keeneland lucky last…Ha Awesome Gerry 16/1 Ew.
Took it off my tracker while back but bit lately for an looked wide open so a must or my name ain’t Alvaro Gerry Recoba Saez! 🍀
2x singles and a double…
Golden Gates -R6…Great Story. 2/1
Santa Anita-R10…Hong Kong Harry 7/4
Voodoo doll 2-40 ffos las
5-1
6-4 top 2 finish BETFAIR
Mick maestro 4-11 market rasen.
15-2
15-8 top 2 finish BETFAIR.
Both 4 runner races and no ew available but can get ew value by betting on win and 2 place finish markets
Voodoo doll 5-1 win at hills
Mick maestro 15-2 win at 888sport.
Times Square 2-50 longchamp 🇫🇷
6-5 top 3 finish BET365
7-1 ew 3 places BET365
(just 9-2 at other UK bookies).
interested to see how raclette goes here, impressed in 2 wins last year but at 8-11 no value and no point at those odds.
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Ancient Rome 3-25 followed angel bleu home in a couple of group 1s last back end and will be a watching brief regarding big races to come. Odds skinny at 5-4 today.
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Maximus 4-00 longchamp
3-1 SKYBET…
EVENS without junko SKYBET..
Finished 8th in what transpired was quite a strong field on debut then won twice by over 3 lengths on turf
Unbeaten Favourite junko is 4-6 but never ran on turf and his odds probably due to the fact that it’s trained by Fabre.
He beat a horse called welwal in one of them which was a notable scalp but got 5 pounds off that and today runs here up in grade off level weight.
Could be a top notcher potentially so added the EVENS top 2 for maximus for cover
Fancy Baretti today in France but done the double with £5.14 left in an account with Junko. GL mate
🇫🇷 French double lands nicely!
Faller at Plumpton but.
🇺🇸
R/fc at Gulfstream is VOID with favourite an NR so Riot House at 6/4 for me.
For Trixie add..
Santa Anita -R2…Divine Armor. 10/3 Gulfstream-R7…Jazla. 13/8
GL and well done the winners today
I thought Eric Bloodaxe was going to win yesterday and but for a bad jump at the last probably would but 16/1 ew quoted at least I got something back.
Hearts or Trumps at least ran better but couldn’t manage to make the frame finishing 7th. One maybe for later in the season as he is well h’capped.
2.35 Lyser 15/2 ew
Bolted up to win its maiden lto.over C&D.
3.10
Interesting grade 1 with many having run in the mares Novice at Cheltenham and stepping up in trip for this race. If Brandy Love can keep a straight line this time I think she’s the one to beat, but my attention will be on NIGHT AND DAY who I’ve already backed for the mares Novice next year.
Wins today she won’t be a Novice and can’t run but the fact she makes her debut in a grade 1 speaks volumes. She’s a half sister to Supasundae
3.45 Jacksons Gold 11/2
Rated 10lbs higher over hurdles but hasn’t done as well over fences as of yet. I hoping he can put it together today finally
4.20 Buddy Rich 3/1
Owes me for the Grand Annual when pulled out for a stone bruise. Slight concern in not having run for 5 months but has his ground today and hopefully Davy can steer him to victory.
BOL
Really unlucky with Eric Bloodaxe, last jump just killed all momentum he had.
F 1435 Womalko 11/2 The Grey Lad 16/1 6 Places
S 1617 Capla Spirit 17/2 E/W Tyger Bay 17/2 E/W 5 Places Both drifting so could be bigger at start
sky prices they are doing tenner money back if second,third or fourth in the 1510 at Fairyhouse.Im doing Love Envoi 9/4
The Grey Lad 16/1 is E/W
Market Rasen 4.11 GOLDEN TAIPAN 11/2 Bet365 others a bit lower
Ffos Las 2.05 DUNBAR 6/1 with most
Plumpton 3.25 UNANSWERED PRAYERS 15/8 with most
Good luck everyone
Dc what’s the going like at fairyhouse today
Officially Yielding.
It’s been raining for the past hour but not too heavy, don’t think it will make too much difference
2:15 Plumpton – Sligo Bay ***NAP***
3:25 Plumpton – Bourbali **NB**
4:52 Southwell – Jack Ryan *each way punt*
2 winners and a 2nd. I suppose thats three winning bets.
DC CHEERS FIR THAT
Haafit 3-56 Newbury 13-8 bet365
Appleby got this and the 8-13 odds on favourite here.
Buick picked haafit and has better form while walk on stars is unproven at this level.
Richidish ..5.10 4/1.
🇫🇷 🐎
Take ATRs Laurent Barbs French double of Junko and Barrati at Longchamp at just under 4/1. Paddy Power but Baretti backable at 7/4 himself?
🇺🇸🐎
Gulfstream-R2…Crack Shot 12/1
Only 2 places so just a couple of £s on the win. One from my notes and 3rd last 2 outings I’ve noted finishing like a bat out of heaven last time v a very good horse in Saayeff for close up 3rd!
Gulfstream- R6… R/fc. 1 – 6
2 stablemates here for trainer and I’d shade the favourite La Maquina but I like Riot House as I’ve noted.
Both only on 4th runs.
small bad bob 3.25
Wolf prince 4.05