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Amateur didn't look like winning the Ffos Las National race but somehow managed to get a second wind to finish in the places, grabbing us some place money.

Brighterdaysahead was superb in the bumper at Fairyhouse. I thought she was a superstar and she cemented those thoughts in my head even further with that performance yesterday. She was probably worth more than a 2pt win, but with my form over the last week being poor I decided to play it safe.

Fairyhouse 3:50 – Asterion Forlonge 15/8 (1.5pt)

I really do think this race is a terrible renewal. Monkfish would've run away with this if he didn't have his problems, and he's returning from 700 days off the track, and the others don't seem great, so I felt the market had it right with the favourite and Asterion Forlonge would win.

This horse is a nutter and has his own way of thinking, but on his day he is a very smart performer. He has made mistakes over fences when being in contention for some big races like the King George and a Grade 1 at Punchestown when he seemed to be going as well as Allaho before unseating. Now he's back over hurdles and that should be better for him, as he will be able to get away with a lot more than he does when running over fences. Other than Monkfish, he is the class horse in the race, and I think you've got to believe that his run on seasonal reappearance was just a fitness run and that he needed that run, as it seemed a bit too bad to be true.

bet365

I think he is better than the rest in this field. Fil Dor's form doesn't convince me with the recent win over Sharjah, the form from those in behind hasn't been franked and he also bottomed out at Cheltenham, as well as the fact he has to give away weight to every horse in the race. Beacon Edge ran well in the Boyne hurdle which produced the stayers' hurdle winner, but his run at Cheltenham was also terrible. HMS Seahorse was a horse I was willing to follow, but once again his run at Cheltenham was fairly flat and I expected more. Master McShee is another Grade 1 winner over fences, but his prep this season hasn't been ideal, just one run and that saw him bleed from both nostrils, which has happened before, so you'll have to be brave to back him. Monkfish is decent odds, but the jockey bookings suggest he'll come on for the run, and they'll probably have an eye on the Punchestown festival at the end of the month for him.

Fairyhouse 4:20 – French Dynamite 11/4 (1pt)

This race is Easy Game‘s Gold Cup, he has won the last two renewals and is going to be primed to make it three in a row but I think he is vulnerable this time around. French Dynamite is a Grade 2 horse, he doesn't quite bridge the gap to Grade 1 quality but he is capable of winning a race like this today.

He has been a consistent horse of late, French Dynamite, and I thought he ran a belter in the Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham when finishing 4th, ahead of Janidil. Prior to that run, he finished 2nd to Fakir D'oudairies at Thurles, when he probably would've gotten much closer than the 6L defeat if he wasn't inconvenienced by the faller and didn't smash through the final fence. He was in the middle of running a big race in the Leopardstown Savills Chase over 3m, travelling nicely behind Conflated before getting tired, which isn't a surprise over a trip which is too far for him.

Janidil probably would be the play in this race, but his jumping is far too inconsistent in recent years like we saw at Cheltenham last time out and in this race last year when falling. He is a smart horse, but you'd have to worry about his jumping.

Fairyhouse 5:00 – Gevrey 20/1 (0.5pt ew 6pl)

I've ummed and ahhed about this race, which is normal for any 30-runner handicap but my dart eventually landed on Gordon Elliott's Gevrey.

It's always a risk going for a horse who has never run over a trip this long, or even remotely close to it, but Gordon is a master trainer who knows what he is doing and he has won races at this distance before with horses who have previously never run over the trip. Based on this horse's run over 2m 4f at Cheltenham, I think he looks like a horse who will relish a stamina test, whether that's as far as today's trip in the Irish Grand National, I'm not sure, but he was staying up that Cheltenham Hill with plenty of power, finishing a closing 4th/23 in the Plate. He was held up in the rear off the pace and ran a huge race to finish where he did at odds of 125/1. He's always had a tendency to be towards the rear and run on strongly in races shorter than today, looking like he is massively outpaced but when his engine kicks in and those ahead of him start to fade he stays on strongly. At the odds, and with 6 places on offer I think he is worth a small ew chance.

Horse Racing Tips
Asterion Forlonge
Fairyhouse - 3:50 pm

15/8 @ Bet365

French Dynamite
Fairyhouse - 4:20 pm

11/4 @ Bet365

Gevrey
Fairyhouse - 5:00 pm

20/1 @ Bet365

21 Comments
  1. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Sad to hear fatty Elliott’s mighty potter died in action at fairyhouse on Sunday .
    Only 6 and only ran 10 times ☹️.

    Probably his best performance was winning the supreme novice hurdle at punchestown last April at 20-1 beating the over hyped sir Gerhard among others.
    Ran up a winning sequence leading up to Cheltenham this year but came 3rd at odds on in the turners.

    Sadly we wont see how far his talent would have taken now and though I’ve no liking for Elliott after sitting on that dead horse but it’s sad for him and connections when this happens.

    13
  2. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Fairyhouse
    4-20 easy game 2-1

    5-00 Irish national
    Busselton 25-1 ew
    Champagne platinum 33-1 ew
    Both 7 places.

    5-40
    Bonkers bet
    Shanroe al c 50-1 ew extra 7 places

    1
  3. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Ve day 1-35 Huntington
    11-2 win and 2-1 top 2 finish
    SKYBET

    Thirtyfourtitches 3-42 fakenham 11-4
    Boldmere 4-17 fakenham 2-1
    Firak 4-52 fakenham 6-4

    Highway one o five 5-53 plumpton
    7-2 win and 11-8 top 2 finish
    SKYBET

  4. double carpet 11 months ago

    Really competitive card at fairyhouse and some cracking races to look forward to with the highlight probably being the bumper as I regard the first 3 in the market better than what ran at Cheltenham and all will be top Novices next season.
    Horses that ran at Cheltenham though haven’t fared too well so far and I’ll be avoiding backing any today too. It really does take it out of them.

    2.40 Cougar 10/1 ew
    4.20 Easy Game 2/1
    5.00 Amirite 9/1 ew 6 places
    6.10 Ballyburn 2/1

    BOL

    • theplug 11 months ago

      DC Ballyburn NR

      1
  5. double carpet 11 months ago

    Yeah see that, just a watch race so

  6. theplug 11 months ago

    Fairyhouse
    2-05 Metamorpheus 9/1 EW
    2-40 Gust of Wind 5/2
    3-50 Monkfish 9/2
    5.00 Irish Grand National Backing 2 in this , Must be Obeyed 16/1 EW X Punitive 33/1 EW

    2
  7. ew thief 11 months ago

    Afternoon all
    Kenzai warrior 4.05k 28-1☘️☘️gl all

    2
  8. postman 11 months ago

    HAPPY HOUR in all the early races.
    Norley
    Mount Tempest
    Impose Toi
    Painters Palette
    Freedom Day
    Sir Argus
    Lagonda

    🍻

    1
    • postman 11 months ago

      Five winners 🥂 a 2nd and a third. Off to watch Football now. B’Lucky.

      1
  9. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    stumptown 5.00 this horse jumps for fun should have a very strong chance today the devils coachman 5.00 ew well done all winners yesterday

  10. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Couple of non runners in my picks.
    Stick this in to fill a gap
    La manigance 2-50 compeigne 🇫🇷.
    9-2 win
    6-4 top 2 finish
    Both HILLS

  11. recoba 11 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Philadelphia -R7…Out Dancing 7/2. ****
    $4 Trifecta 5-6-8

    GL

    2
    • recoba 11 months ago

      🇺🇸
      Philadelphia -R3…London Lady 11/10 Skybet
      Will Rodgers-R8…Bold Courage 2/1 Skybet

      1
    • recoba 11 months ago

      Need be 5-3-7 with 6 an NR. But can’t cash out a trifecta it’s only Tricast so personally I’m snookered.

    • recoba 11 months ago

      Out Dancing wins and 5-3-7 it was! 🎲

      No:7 replacement was 25/1 and paid £37 n change which I don’t get but dollars to pounds and a R4 so…I’ll take it.

      Will Rodgers running 30 minutes late so take these I looked at for a single and wee double to keep me interested.

      Will Rodgers -R4…Dixie Land Candy 4/1.
      (1-6-4 Combo Tricast)
      R5…Thetruthisthetruth 6/4.

      1
  12. dazzman1979 11 months ago

    5:00 fairyhouse – angels dawn 12/1

  13. dazzman1979 11 months ago

    4:05 kempton- prydwen 10/1

  14. dazzman1979 11 months ago

    Very unlucky Rizzel just squeezed out of that one ! Good reasoning to pick that one out as well ! Take comfort in decent e/w money obviously picking the winner in such a minefield as a tipster would of been far sweeter than the money I expect . Never mind you can have another pop Saturday ! 😂👍

    2
    • Rizzel Tips 11 months ago

      Bit gutted not gonna lie Dazz! Thought the wide trip all race long didn’t help, but you could say he got a clear sight at his fences and if he didn’t then he might not have gotten to the point where he did.

      Yeah, there’s no better feeling than picking a winner in a race like that, especially at big odds. Granted, he didn’t win, but at least my thoughts were nearly correct!

      3
  15. postman 11 months ago

    Footballs done, we lost. :(

    5:40 Fairyhouse – Sir Bob
    5:53 Plumpton – Highway One o Five
    6.10 Fairyhouse – Firefox

    1

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