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Yesterday's selections were poor. Nakadam is a horse to remain on the right side of, in my opinion, but probably over trips like 4m which I mentioned yesterday, as he doesn't seem to have the gears to compete over yesterday's shorter trip. As for the bumper horse, that was a tragic performance, and looks like he doesn't possess the same level of ability as his siblings.
Plumpton 2:30
Today's racing looks tragic, which is nothing out of the ordinary for Monday's racing, where most of the time it is full of rubbish races. At this time of year, I only focus on the jumps meetings, as I don't have any interest in the All-Weather, so with that being said, I am going to give LUSITANIEN another chance to prove he is better than his current rating of 99.
Connections of this horse don't fill me with confidence as they have been known to pick and choose when their horses fancy winning. However, I refuse to believe that this animal is not better than his current handicap mark after the way he travelled through his race at Chepstow. That race was a decent race for the grade, and this lad came swinging a few furlongs from home, but then got tired and was easily beaten into 6th, 23L behind the winner. They then sent him on a long trip from South Wales to Sedgefield, which is what caught my eye that they were willing to go for it last time out, but he was brought down by a faller early on in the race, which was very unfortunate. The fact he returns to racing means he wasn't injured when being brought down, so hopefully he remains in good spirits and can prove that this drop in trip is what will bring out a winner.
Monday 🇫🇷
Clondaw Cian 12-50 cagnes Sur mer.
5-2 top 4 place @bet365
Forza 3-10 cagnes Sur mer.
20-1 ew 4 places @bet365
Sonning 12.30 plu
Roamin in gloamin 1.45 ch
Hooflepuff 6.0 wol
Eagle one 7.30 wol gl
It’s only Monday, I won’t be losing much and these are certainly not tips.
15.30 FAIRY GEM is 6/4 with Sky. I mentioned BET365 are slow to adjust prices earlier this week and the horse is still 11/4 with them. It opened around 5s, the trainer hasn’t sent any here recently but won 3 outta 4 here last year boasting the best strike rate over the last 10 years albeit from just 29 runners. ALAN KING has the 2nd best strike rate here and he has 12.30 SONNING 15/8 in the first, a horse who has already won, the trainer has an excellent win percentages in these races at this track, although most go off at 1-2.
Knowing racing, this is unlikely to pay off but I thought if betting loose change, the risk is worth the reward – but again I expect this to lose. I will also risk around £2, an amount I don’t blink at losing on FENRIR BINDING 11/2 in the 14.30.
GAVIN SHEEHAN is the hottest jockey around at the moment, 6 wins from 10 rides. He rides for Greatrex a fair bit and is on board 3 of his. The trainer does OK in bumpers and runs 15.30 MOUSETRAP 11/1, this horse has drifted massively and that is off putting but I am on regardless. 14.30 BOLSOVER BILL 12/1 makes his hcap after a series of runs where he has been effectively last, as such he cannot be tipped but at the price, I will have a small nibble but won’t expect a return.
BOL.
The NR in the bumper means I will go MILLY’S DAUGHTER 6/1 ew with 4 places paid. No real reward for the place, total unknown so interest stakes.
no dice here, but nice to see fairy gem get there on the line, and going forward, good to know 365 are giving away money/value.
very, very poor racing today.
picked out 3 lively decent outsiders for the Xmas Period. All antepost no insurance money, so bet wisely.
Royal Pagaille. King George 26/12. 20/1
Hold That Taught. Welsh National 27/12 12/1
Delta Work. Savills Chase 28/12 14/1
🇬🇧🐎
Just putting my £10 free bet on a £2.50 Trixie…
Sonning…12.30. 11/4
Sandy Brook…1.30. 6/4
Lusastinian…2.30. 9/2.
🇺🇸🐎
2/5 in the Canadian and 2 singles last night was not 3 bad.
Zia Park-R9….Mayres Brayden 11/8(*****
Mohaning-R7…Makes Good Sense. 6/5(****)
Turfway -R6…Rise Up Moscow. 15/8
R8…Pintxos. 9/4(***)
Philadelphia-R9….Alrashaka. 9/4
GL and back for explanations soon for US picks once works out the road.
Morning All . Well done yesterdays winners
PLUMPTON
12.30. .Sonning. .3/1. .On the drift but sticking with it.
14.30. .Fort De Locean. .8/1. .Each Way
15.30. .Peerless Beauty. .100/30
GL ALL
Like them numbers busstop
Have some of that
Bol
Might see 10,1,6,8 2 variables up today!!
Good luck all
Morning all
Intriguing lady 1.15c 20-1
Mount Logan 2.45c 10-1
Suzis connoisseur 3.15c 13-2
Cuban breeze 4.00w 16-1
Jeddeyd 5.00w 8-1
Cents in the city 5.30w 13-2
Ew singles & ew lucky63 ☘️☘️Gl all
Morning
12:30 Plumpton – Stream of Stars ***NAP***
1:00 Plumpton – For Pleasure **NB**
5:00 Wolverhampton – Egrecio *each way punt*
Making it look easy nicely done good luck with the treble!
Straight away ewt is on my 8,s
Good luck Ewt✔️
☘️☘️☘️bud 👍
systematic 12.30 ew
Morning all. No big prices today. I put up Rose of Lancashire last week at a decent price when she finished 2nd, hopefully it will go one better today with the slightly longer trip if backing up that run. Around 5s at the moment. 5.30 wolves
GL with all your bets today
It’s like the kiss of death on here sometimes🤬
I’m thinking say grace next🥵
No grace there then!!
Larcadio
Knew it had 5 in the result!!
3:30 plumpton/ millies daughter 13/2 💰💰💰
Thx Hollie
About time x
Cuban Breeze
Clare bear bunch 4.30 ew well done all winners today
Clare bear bunch 4.30 ew well done all winners today
ONLY IF you can get the price or close..
Turf Paradise-R4…Chicks Dig Momey. 7/4(*****. Big class dropper only beaten 4l last run in that far better race,he’s 10/11 and EVS with others but Bet365 still go 7/4!
GL all.
hope you had the same result i did. i figured sky where the ones to side with out of the major firms given they are actually more ahead of the american market than the americans are.
most american racing tracks have their own free live stream, so you can go on that and see the US prices and compare, i thought you could find a good thing is prices were massively different, however i saw a 5/2 in USA, it was 12/1 on sky, needless to say it drifted big in american and sky were right. good luck
Yeah it’s Bet365 who are the ones to get it wrong more than any as they put prices up very early like the horse above.
I saw Skybet(they show the US racing so should know there odds) had it 10/11,Boyle EVS and Paddy Power 8/11 and Bet365 didn’t go 6/4 for a while only for it to go off at 8/15.
Bet365 still had 8/11 not long before the off and fir a horse that cruised it they had it all wrong for well over an few hour?
Only problem is trying to see these horses with 7/8 meetings a night n all the races!
Maybe I’ll give up my day job? Lol
Cheers. First 2 up in the Canadian too so a good night again with 3 still to run.
Heart Of The Sun
Gotta go for it
Horse 8
Draw. 8
Oh well those 8,s
will be back in a couple of days
🤞
Few pennies on
6
(4)
Baileys Warrior
I knew the 8’s we’re about
Won
8 – Yo Nessroundonkern @ 7/2
Win
19.25 Philadelphia