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Aldaary showed he had a lot of talent last year, hopefully he can prove that he is well-handicapped off a mark of 93.
Market Rasen 1:00
This is a very poor quality race, you could say that this is scraping the bottom of the barrel in terms of jumps horses. However, WHITE TURF has done enough in recent starts to suggest he can win off a mark of 82.
He recently finished 3rd behind Harry The Norseman, a horse he opposes again today. This time around, White Turf is 5lb better off and I think that this will be enough to reverse the form.
There are other horses in the race who have chances, such as Chess Player and Mi Laddo, but the former will carry 12st 4lb (With jockey claim), and the latter is arguably held on collateral form.
Alex Edwards takes the ride on White Turf, and in a conditional jockey's race, he is one of the better ones to have on your side. He has operated at a 16% Strike Rate in the last 5 seasons from 199 runs, and is currently 2 wins from 9 rides this season. A small combination tricast on White Turf, Harry The Norseman & Mi Laddo could be worth doing.
Market Rasen 2:00
AS YOU LIKE looks to have a lot of factors in his favour.
He's starting to look well-handicapped off a mark of 121, having previously won off 129 and going close off 133. His form in the winter took a dip, but that can looked past, as he is a summer horse and prefers good ground than soft or heavy. His run last time out was a return to form and it suggested that he would be winning soon.
If he is strong in the market, it would suggest they fancy his chances (often a factor for this stable/owner).
ALDAARY is the most unexposed horse in the race, and he falls into the category of ‘could be anything'.
Last year he won two novice races in spectacular fashion, winning by 3 and 9 lengths. William Haggas then put him away for his 3yo season, which gives me the impression that they think a lot of this horse, as they have handled him carefully (started late on in the season as well).
The ground is currently described as good-to-soft. This won't be an issue for Aldaary as he won his races on soft and heavy ground, so any rain is welcome. William Haggas has made a flying start to this flat season, so the 190 day layoff doesn't faze me as he clearly has his horses in top shape (30% SR last 14 days).