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Yesterday's flat selection was convincingly beaten, with no excuses. He travelled well, but didn't pick up as well as the others. Today sees a return to the jumps racing, fingers crossed on some good runs.

Hereford 2:48

A three runner race, but a competitive and intriguing race. In a race of this nature, you normally get an odds-on shot, but that doesn't appear to be the case, and I will be siding with the current market favourite at the time of writing, AIMEE DE SIVOLA.

I was very taken by her chase debut at Worcester. I managed to catch the entire race, as I tipped up Thistle Do Nicely in the same race, where unfortunately she went wrong around the final turn. Aimee De Sivola jumped very well for the most part, and I was impressed. I think this step-up in trip will be beneficial and a return to a right-handed track will also be a help, as she edged out to the right on a few of her fences. There is also a chance that she'll get an uncontested lead, which is always a benefit in a small field race as it can often get quite tactical. If David Noonan can pop her out in front, get her into a nice rhythm, she'll be hard to beat, if she can jump like she did on chase debut.

Fox Pro has the best form over fences, and has mixed it with some good quality animals. However, he is 0 from 8 over fences, and is always going to be vulnerable to an improver, like the selection. Also, this is his first run on the back of a 100+ day break, and there is a strong chance that he'll need the run, as he's only won once when fresh. The form of the yard is a little worrying if you're backing this fella, with 0 wins so far this season (a couple have ran well). No Anxiety also makes a return from a 100+ day absence, so might need the run. However, I do think he is the horse who will finish second behind the selection, as this trip looks to suit and some pieces of form has worked out quite well.

Hereford 3:23

This isn't something I normally do, but I think it's the best option. Presenting Yeats hold a strong chance, and probably deserves to be favourite, but I do like MANNING ESTATE. I think the safer option is to bet without the favourite.

Manning Estate made an encouraging return after a 158 day break, to finish 3rd. The winner went on to finish second in his next race, and Manning Estate was dropped 4lbs by the handicapper. This slight drop back in trip will be better for him, and he'll strip fitter for that run at Newton Abbot. Off his current mark of 113 he is starting to look dangerously well handicapped on old pieces of form. He won in the early parts of 2020 off a mark of 120, winning a Class 3 hurdle at Doncaster. Since then he has been tried in decent races, and over fences, which hasn't exactly gone to plan.

I'd normally go ahead and play the straight win on a horse, but the weight he'd have to give away to Presenting Yeats, who is clearly in good form could be a little too much. But, I wouldn't put off anyone going for the straight win.

I don't worry any of the others in the race. Jen's Boy often finds nothing when asked, and is probably still a little too high in the weights to do any damage. The same comments apply to Morraman, who has gone close off higher marks and has won on his current mark, but based on his last couple of runs, he looks vulnerable. Some Detail also looks a tad high in the weights after he got a hike for winning in Summer.

This market (betting without fav) might not be open till the morning of racing.

UPDATE: PaddyPower are offering 2/1 on this market (9am).

35 Comments
  1. double carpet 10 months ago

    From yesterday’s thread

    Koshari 2/1 pp 2.55 punch NAP / NB

    Rated 10lbs higher than the Jessie Evans yet receives 6lbs, so is 16lbs well in.
    Surely that price won’t last.

    Early money seems to be for Jessie Evans which is a bit of a headscratcher to be honest but we will see what happens

    Allducknodinner 1.45 punch 25/1 (boosted to 28’s pp) 5 places
    Speculative bet but won this race in 2019 when with Cromwell off a 4lbhigher mark. Much better effort lto so could be coming back to form for another crack.

    Already as low as 8/1 now. Gamble well and truly on !!!

    BOL

    3
    • Deb2000 10 months ago

      DC what’s your thoughts on the massive drift on Koshari out to 3rd fav 100/30 maybe it’s going to be a NR ?

      1
    • double carpet 10 months ago

      Deb
      I can’t get my head around it at all but the bookies must know something we don’t.
      I’m letting it run but the signs aren’t good

    • Deb2000 10 months ago

      4s now its either lost a leg or distance is to short and just out for a run.

  2. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Fontainebleau.
    10-50 friendly star 11-4.
    Trainer does well in these frog cross country races.

    12-25 edition speciale 6-1 ew bet365.
    Either won or fell over hurdles which isn’t promising on Chase debut but has a featherweight and won well on heavy ground last time.

    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Quick draw 3-05 Huntingdon 3-1 🏇.
      ————————————————-

      On the train to Hereford now, noticed prince Charles’s old Floozie Camilla has a horse running, dark motive in the 4-33.
      Don’t know if she will be there but will ask her for a selfie if she is 😁👸.
      It’s 15-2 and not without a chance off only 10 stone 1.
      I’m on ew but only 2 places, would have been more confident of a top 3 place with 8 runners….
      —————————————————-
      ** Anyone fancying rizzels Manning estate without presenting Yeats,, it’s 9-4 at SKYBET…**

      3
    • busstop.2018 10 months ago

      Elvis GL Today

  3. Thebigflu 10 months ago

    Akhu najla,,,,,Parlando,,,,,,Porsche cavalier

    2
  4. busstop.2018 10 months ago

    Morning All

    HEREFORD

    15.23. .Presenting Yeats. .5/4

    15.58. .Jubilympics. .13/8

    16.33. .Josie Abbing. .7/4

    HUNTINGDON

    15.40. .Theocrat. .9/2

    16.50. .Bombers Moon. .12/1 . .E/W

    GL ALL

    5
  5. theplug 10 months ago

    4-40 Punchestown Elusive Sea 4/1 nap

  6. theplug 10 months ago

    DC JESSIE EVANS A N/R NOW

    • double carpet 10 months ago

      Yeah see that.
      He’s still 6lbs in hand on Dysart Diamond including jockeys allowance .
      Did win lto but her form over this trip isn’t great.
      The last time she ran over this trip he was 15th of 20 and was 7/2f.

  7. dazzman1979 10 months ago

    2:13 Hereford – kendelu 5/1

    1
    • dazzman1979 10 months ago

      4:50 Huntington- the Rutland rebel – 6/1

  8. Sore point 10 months ago

    Hereford 2.13 GETAMAN 4/1

    Huntingdon 3.05 FINISTERE 8/1 each way

    Huntingdon 4.15 LORD SPARKY 9/2

    All prices widely available

    Good luck everyone

    1
  9. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    searching 2.13 your darling 3.05 say nothing 4.33 well done all winners yesterday

    1
  10. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Hereford
    The people’s picks 🏇
    Will back these on course except the betting without which are bet365…..

    2-13 getaman 4-1 (sore point)

    2-48 Aimee de sivola 3-1 (rizzo) big drift here 😉.

    3-23 Presenting Yeats 6-4 (bus stop).
    3-23 Manning estate 7-4 (without presenting Yeats and some detail).

    3-58 jubilympics 9-4 (bus stop).

    4-33 dark motive 5-2 (without Jose abbing and kentford mallard) (mine).
    And 15-2 ew (mine).

    And this time tomorrow I’ll be a millionaire 😁

    3
    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      And…
      Quick draw 3-05 Huntingdon 3-1 🏇

      1
  11. dazzman1979 10 months ago

    Nothing hurts more than a nose !

  12. double carpet 10 months ago

    I’ll hold my hand up, got it all wrong with Koshari ✋
    Apologies

    I’ll try one more but just a modest ew 6.30 Newcastle
    Heart of Kabeir 14/1 3 places

    Makes h’cap debut over 6f after 3 runs over 5f. Also makes AW debut, but American bred and sire mainly ran on dirt so should be better suited by this surface and Fahey won the race last year.

    1
    • Deb2000 10 months ago

      No need to apologise mate the way the betting gone and it ran means it was probably the worst tip youv ever put on here.
      I cashed out from last nights bet for only 2 3rds of my stake because I wouldn’t have even got best price and would have been hit with rule 4s on my 2s I basically couldn’t win 🤣🤣🤣

      1
  13. double carpet 10 months ago

    No mate I can assure you I’ve put up worse than that over the years, but there’s always tomorrow to put it right 🤣🤣

    1
    • Deb2000 10 months ago

      Lol we will just have to laugh it off think about it you thought 2s was big and it will shorten he ended up bigger price with 2 non runners and outsider of 3 🤣🤣.
      GL with your 1 at Newcastle DC

  14. ew thief 10 months ago

    Afternoon all
    Nateleena 5.00n 11-1
    Fandabidozi 5.30n 9-1
    Addie boo boo 6.30n 22-1
    She’s the danger 7.00n 17-2
    Jewel maker 7.30n 14-1
    Lady Celia 8.30n 8-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky63 ☘️☘️Gl all

  15. Inches 10 months ago

    Anybody see the 5.07 race? I was waiting on the fav (got it at 5/6) I’m still scratching my head. Would love to hear an explanation from anyone as I don’t have a clue what the hell that was.

    • Deb2000 10 months ago

      Tried to make all Inches he jumped terribly most of the way round and ballooned the last and picked off on the run in mate.

    • Inches 10 months ago

      Would’ve made all Deb if it didn’t pull up the handbrake before every fence 🤣

    • Deb2000 10 months ago

      He also jumped like a cow 1st time out honestly it looks like he just doesn’t like jumping hurdles he makes a terrible shape over them.

    • Inches 10 months ago

      Haha it really was like a cow 🤣

  16. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Not a good day with the people’s tips, just presenting Yeats and the lucky last.
    Enjoyed the day out though, nice weather,nice people and good beer.
    Had a chat with Jamie snowden after his winner and said good luck for Camilla’s horse dark motive then it went wrong and last I saw was the screen going up.
    Don’t know if it was fatal but it’s sad when you see that happen.

    Well done if you had any winners today.

    Some Good flat stuff on Saturday, looking forward to adayar v addeyb v mishriff on Saturday .
    Should he quite a race 🏇

    • Deb2000 10 months ago

      Elvis I take it the fields were small because of the rattling ground.
      5 cracking races at Ascot on Sat 😁😁

  17. recoba 10 months ago

    Well done the winners today. Was on Presenting Yeats myself as a few were.

    Very good night stateside last night.
    Lesser quality tonight so a wee 4 fold and 2x singles

    Indiana-R3….Ever Wonder. 6/5(***)
    R7…Bedouin Fighter. 4/5(***** if price I’d to short go the double 👍)
    Penn National-R5..Farfalla. 5/6
    R8…Aspect. 6/4.

    GL all 🇺🇸🐎

    1
    • recoba 10 months ago

      Been and in work so I’ll only get back for USA racing but some fun m games at the races today by the looks of it.

      1
    • Thebigflu 10 months ago

      Yeah got me 1 or 2 cheers

  18. dazzman1979 10 months ago

    Lucky last Newcastle

    Gowan lad 18/1 – careless whisper

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