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Monday see's Rizzel head to a jumps meeting and an AW meeting, with a big price outsider in the opener.

Newton Abbot 3:50

In this five runner novice race, I'm willing to back the horse with the most chase experience, which is OLD HARRY ROCKS.

The Paul Nicholls runner, Whiskey Lullaby, will more than likely be popular for punters on Monday, but I think there's enough to side against this filly who is making her chase debut. She has experience over PTP fences, so you'd expect her to jump the fences with fluency, but at the prices, you're either in the know or you're taking a big chance on the fact she'll be ready on chase debut.

Old Harry Rocks has been ultra consistent in his last three starts. Sophie Leech's 9yo won over C&D in April, before going on to finish 2nd and 3rd in his next three races. The form of his 2nd at Southwell has been franked, with the winner Do It For Thy Sen winning again, and in clear cut fashion. Last time out, Old Harry Rocks tired late home and was pipped for 2nd on the line, but the winner was clearly well handicapped on chase debut, off a mark of 98, as he won easily and produced a rating of 119 from the Racing Post.

Though his recent form has come on quick ground, he has actually got some good form on soft ground, so if the forecast rain does arrive, he should be fine with those conditions. When he was trained by Harry Fry, he won a novice hurdle in good fashion, on soft ground. If the ground did turn soft, it could potentially be better as he is carrying a low weight in comparison to the others in the field, who are carrying between 11st 1lbs – 12st 2lbs. Paddy Brennan is an eye-catching jockey booking, as he's riding extremely well at the minute and rides this track better than most (27% SR in the last 5 years).

Wolverhampton 5:50

Though it can be risky tipping a horse in an apprentice race, I do think that AFFAIR is being overlooked in the market, at the current odds of 20/1 with PaddyPower.

This race is lacking pace, so it could be a good idea for Affair to make the running, which she has done before and has won from doing so. Drawn in Stall 2, I'd hope that Miss Sophie Smith would be able to get to the lead and dictate the race, especially as the horses around her are known to be hold up horses, so if she breaks on terms it should be easy enough to get to the lead. Obviously, with this being an apprentice race, it can be hard to know what you're going to get in terms of the tactical rides, but Sophie Smith has had 68 rides on the flat, and has had 7 wins, so she is clearly capable.

In terms of form, she has recently finished 3rd at this track to Abel Tasman which was a good run, and it has produced a decent bit of form with the 2nd winning a couple of times since. On that day, Robeam and Party Planner were in behind Affair, who she races against again today.

She is carrying bottom weight in this contest, which will be 9st 13lbs when you take the jockey's 3lb allowance into consideration. Off a mark of 48, she is on a winning mark, as she has previously won off 50, 52, 49 and 51 before.

Advised: Each Way

  1. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    2:50 Newton Abbott – Kent ford heiress 9/1 e/w

    3:40 Southwell – Milan storm 8/1 e/w

    5:00 Chepstow- nurse Florence – 9/2

  2. postman 1 year ago

    Hope you all had a great & profitable weekend 😉
    Well here we are with the longest day of the year (summer solstice) Lets see if the sun shines on my selections.

    Could not help note that Richard Kingscote has a very good book of rides at Wolverhampton tonight.😉

    Afternoon Punt ⭐
    1:15 Newton Abbot – Kuiper Belt 7/2
    4:00 Chepstow – Gosnay Gold 10/3
    5;00 chepstow – Pastfact 6/1

    Evening Punt ⭐
    6:50 Wolverhampton – Mercurial *** NAP ***11/8
    7:30 Windsor – First Connection ** NB ** Evs

    BOL 🍀

    • postman 1 year ago

      Kuiper Belt & First Connection are both non runners 😑

  3. davc 1 year ago

    Secret Sea 19.40 Bal 4/1
    Accrinton Stanley 15.30 Chep 8/1
    Rhubarb 16.30 Chep 6/1
    Katies Kitten 16.00 Chep Nap 12/1

  4. Crawmeister 1 year ago

    Good profit (for a change) for last week, thanks mainly to Rahm winning golf. Rain coming too late for Trueshan robbed me of opportunity to win big on a couple of e/w multiples with Rahm, Quick Suzy, and some other Ascot placed efforts.

    Windsor 6.00 Priscilla’s Wish 11/2
    Wolves 6.50 Mercurial 5/4
    Windsor 7.00 Zim Baby 5/2
    Wolves 7.20 Roman Encounter 10/1
    Wolves 8.20 Hachert 2/1
    E/W L31 Bet365

    Good luck all.

  5. Sore point 1 year ago

    Windsor 8.00 THOMAS COCHRANE 25/1 each way

    Good luck everyone

  6. postman 1 year ago

    Windsor has been cancelled after the track failed its 8am inspection following heavy rain at the course.

  7. Champion 1 year ago

    4.00 chepstow..gosnay gold.

    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Well done champion ! You seem like one shrewd operator! Thank you for sharing once again 👍

  8. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Duke of Prussia 3-30 Chepstow.
    12-1 ew extra 6 places.
    And smaller stake ew 20-1 4 places.

  9. Thebigflu 1 year ago

    Byzantine empire 1’45 Newton ”’old harry rocks 3’50””breianna rose 4,20”’trrrafirma lady 2.50 all Newton p brennan should have a good day today

  10. Thebigflu 1 year ago

    Charging thunder 2.30 chepstow”’gosnay gold 4’00”’ aquadabra 5’00 alice kitty 4’40 ballinrobe all chepstow GL

    • Thebigflu 1 year ago

      Bar 1

    • postman 1 year ago

      Very well done with Charging Thunder 👏

  11. theplug 1 year ago

    1-15 Newton Abbot Manor Park 7/5
    1-45 Newton Abbot Celestial Force 5/4
    2-15 Newton Abbot Langafel 9/2
    3-50 Newton Abbot Whiskey Lullaby 9/4

    • jimba 1 year ago

      Well done plug 2 winners so far👍

    • Thebigflu 1 year ago

      Well done plug just a pitty about that manor park was sure as a sure thing that whould win

  12. busstop.2018 1 year ago

    Afternoon All


    13.45. .Byzantine Empire. .9/4

    14.15. .Rwanda Mist. .5/2

    14.50. .Floral Bouquet. .3/1


    14.05. .Lady Jane P. .7/2

    16.10. .Solstalla. .5/1

    16.45. .Phoenix Dawn. .9/2

    GL ALL

  13. ew thief 1 year ago

    Afternoon all
    Sir roderic 5.00c 8-1
    Affair 5.50w 16-1
    Nacho 6.20 13-2
    Rocket man 7.20w 6-1
    Mr strutter 8.20w 22-1
    International law 8.50w 8-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky63 ☘️☘️Gl all

  14. Champion 1 year ago

    Just lucky Dazzman.but respect your comment.

  15. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    7:40 – balinrobe – misty Millie – 8/1 e/w

  16. D man 1 year ago

    6.10 calvados
    Late post but iv only got it myself gl if u back

    • D man 1 year ago

      Horse threw the head into the bend wtf

  17. D man 1 year ago

    6.20 firecomb👍👍

  18. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Low stake each way nonsense
    To pass the time before tonight’s
    Footy 💉💉💉💉💉
    Mig des taillons 6-40 ballinrobe
    12-1 ew extra 4 places
    9-1 ew extra 5 places
    Ivy avenue 7-10 ballinrobe
    12-1 ew extra 4 places.
    Breakaway 7-50 Wolverhampton
    Ew extra
    20-1 for 5 places.
    33-1 for 4 places
    66-1 for 3 places.
    Van djik 8-20 Wolverhampton
    9-1 ew 4 places.
    9-4 Place only top 3.

    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Only paid out on 3 places on ivy avenue due to non runner but luckily came 3rd

    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Breakaway 4th, 2 payouts on that Cox donkey

  19. postman 1 year ago

    One from three with Gosnay Gold winning 👍
    Well done all winners today 👏

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