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Moon De Vega was a winner on Thursday, being one win from one selection. I thought the ride was what won the race, she got to the front at the right time and with an extra half furlong or so she might not have held on, so props to the jockey.
Haydock 7:55 – Abate 6/4 (2pt PaddyPower)
I'm not a big fan of following up with horses after a short break from their previous runs, especially if they are carrying a penalty, but Abate isn't carrying a penalty and based on that he is surely a shoo-in for a follow-up victory and the fact he's not odds-on makes him a strong bet in my eyes.
Going for back-to-back wins after a week or so is always dangerous as fitness might play a part in the dying furlongs where they are still fatigued from their previous race, but I'll take a chance that he is fine as he is too well-handicapped to ignore and he should be half the price he is to follow up for his recent win at Hamilton. His win in Scotland was over 5f, which didn't concern me even though his wins have come over 6f as that track is a stiff track where stamina comes into play. He returns to 6f on a flat track today, which is what he has done most of his winning on in his career so the return to the extra furlong isn't a concern.
Adrian Nicholls remains in great form and his daughter, Mia Nicholls retains the ride, taking off 7lbs and based on what I saw from her just over a week ago she seems to be a decent jockey. Hopefully, she keeps it simple again and front runs with Abate, so there are no excuses if he does lose, as she should be able to avoid all possible trouble.
Morning all
Azucena 1.40t 40-1
Mount king 3.10t 25-1
James watt 3.40t 12-1
Junoesque 4.00b 16-1
Little earl 4.40t 9-1
Ew singles & ew lucky31 gl all☘️☘️
Followed the James Watt and Little Earl….two horses I like the look of
moonlit warrior 1.50 ew
senor pockets 2.00 ew well done all winners yesterday
one of our own 2.10 Kop kilana 2.20 metric 2.40
the wounded knee 2.50 ew his only ride today
Gentleman valley 3-30 market rasen 5-2 🏇
Betty baloo is a better horse no doubt but my pick gets a stone off the Favourite.
3-20 not 3-30
cheers elvis well done
Waldzauber 3-00 compeigne 🇫🇷.
7-2 top 2 finish HILLS
13-8 top 3 finish HILLS * main stake *
EVENS top 4 finish BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK.
instead of backing 7-1 ew split stake into 3 as a win would be a surprise result.
Good place only odds though
French thing was a donk.
Gentleman valley won nicely though
Well done winners yesterday a few good ones for sure!
USA 🇺🇸
Posted yesterday about my Belmont Nap for the Friday/Meeting.
In Italian’ and was 5/6 Bet365 (got 10/11) and went in again,probably silly but I was going to post this morning to say Bet365 still go 4/6 while rest are 1/2 or best 4/7 but it was 1/2 like other bookies once Belmont was “officially confirmed”
Hopefully as much a banker as I thought and he doesn’t make an a$$ of it now!
Belmont -R2 …Bold Journey 9/4 /***
Belmont- R4…In Italian 4/7 Skybet Boost
Would try take something to place IF still want to bet it like Rizzles Abate or other at 2/7 or 1/4 etc top 3 finish or something else from USA stuff for a place and TRY get EVS?
Or “SCRAP IT” it and wish ME luck!? 😉
R5…Arebatto 10/1 Ew
Was last in G3 but Jockey eased him.
He won good Allowance race then close 3rd one level up so class drop here with TOP workouts and only fifth start!
R8…War Like Goddess 11/8 /*** got Mckuilick ,Didia and Occult tracked in this race to along with WLG but impressive comeback run staying/fighting all way after 5 months off and a belated return as it was pulled 2 week before. Be a combo tricast In there somewhere with the mentioned horses 👌
R9… Pretty Mischievous 9/4.
Godolphin got a cracker here and I’m not having it that ‘Kentucky Oaks’ wasn’t best quality cause bar Munnys Gold the rest wouldn’t have made top 3 for me. Both tracker horses,distance sways me
R/fc with favourite Munnys Gold
R11….Bay Storm. 10/3. /****
A NR last week when Fav for G2 Woodbine race and couple extra workouts and 6 days off may help?
Side bet 5-7-2.
Santa Anita -R4….Rare Me 2/1/****
GL yoll 🫡 🇺🇸
dappering 6.38 ew
You’re on a roll rizzel👍