Racing tips

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Jumps racing has been abandonment after abandonment after abandonment and the season has only just started, so who knows how they're going to cope when winter starts and the frost starts getting into the ground. 

It made me think why can't they use the frost covers to stop further rain from hitting the turf? there must be an obvious reason, and if you have any idea why they don't use that, then please let me know.

Wetherby 1:15 – The Paddy Pie 12/1 (0.5pt EW Skybet 5pl)

Who knows if I'm wasting my time looking through the Wetherby card, but in hope that it is on I think the well-handicapped The Paddy Pie can run a big race at a track he likes.

The Sue Smith yard isn't in the best of form and hasn't been since the turn of the summer season, with just one win from April. That form isn't inspiring but I thought The Paddy Pie made an encouraging return to action at Warwick considering the form of the yard and it was something to build on. He has never been one to win first time out and the way he was ridden, and the odds he went off at suggested he wasn't going to win. He is best seen to effect when running prominently or from the front so the fact he was ridden in last and came there with a decent chance turning for home was good to see.

This horse is now 7lb below his last winning mark which came over today's C&D in a higher-class race, he then followed that up with a runner-up finish behind an unexposed horse in No Risk Des Flos. His form took a nosedive after that and him running during the summer on ground which was too quick for him wouldn't have helped, but it probably was the plan to do that so his handicap mark would drop for races like today. He's far from prolific with just 4 wins from 33 chase starts but he runs well at this track, he has been placed on five occasions and has won once here.

Wetherby 1:50 – Kateira 9/4 (1pt)

This is going to be a real test of stamina over the 2m as the ground is going to be bottomless and there will be a strong pace to aim at with Stainsby Girl leading the line who normally sets a frantic pace, so going with a horse who stays further will be a benefit in my eyes and I'm siding with an old selection of mine, Kateira.

I was tempted to go with the Alexander horse, Stainsby Girl as if the pack let her get an easy lead and she powers off, it might be very tough to peg her back, but I'll be putting trust in Harry Skelton and the others to not let that happen. I put Kateira up at the Aintree National Festival when she ran in a Grade 1 over 2m 4f and she finished 2nd that day, finishing ahead of You Wear It Well. The latter had a month break from the Cheltenham win so she might not have been 100%, but I thought Kateira oozed class that day and the drop in trip isn't going to bother her given how powerful she went through that race at Aintree.

Whether or not she'll want ground this soft, I'm not sure, but I doubt Dan Skelton would run her on it if he wasn't confident and he's come out and said she's done plenty of work so I expect the best version of her turning up to Wetherby.

Ascot 12:55 – Idem 15/2 (0.5pt EW Whill)

I am a big fan of Lucinda Russell, she is a real force to be reckoned with this year and I don't think she'll be wasting her time sending horses down to Ascot if they didn't have a chance, so Idem gets the vote in this race.

It's a big trip down to Ascot from Lucinda's Scottish base and though that might be a tip in itself, this horse just appears to be on the up. He has to carry 12 stone, but effectively it's 11st 6lbs as Conner McCann takes off a very handy 8lbs. Lucinda has been very good over the years, especially recent years in spotting talented young riders and Conner is the latest one and based on his form up to now he is great value for the 8lbs. He is 5/14 in hurdle races, which is a 36% SR.

Patrick Wadge rode this horse the last two times (another superb young jockey associated to the Russell yard), so Conner gets on him for the first time today. The horse looks a real stayer and that will help his chances today at Ascot as the ground will be tiring but also the stiff nature of Ascot will make it into a stamina test. He stayed on powerfully at Kelso last time, but he's not short of pace either as he proved when finishing 2nd in a decent pot bumper at Kelso at the back end of last season. He will have the fitness edge over most of these and I think he is great value.

Ascot 1:30 – Passing Well 9/2 (1pt PaddyPower)

Going with chase experience in novice races like this will be a big help, but sometimes you've got to go with your instinct and I think Passing Well will make a chaser and hopefully, make a winning chase debut.

Jamie Snowden has clearly been very keen to get him to run over fences but hasn't found the right opportunty to do so. Jamie has withdrawn Passing Well on two occasions already this season due to the ground being too quick at Warwick and then Cheltenham, but he finally gets the rain for his horse today. The fact Jamie pitched this horse into races at Warwick and Cheltenham suggests his jumping is perfectly up to scratch as both of those tracks are very demanding for novice chasers. This horse was a decent novice, winning a couple of races he was expected to win, but it seems clear that soft ground is the key to him.

Jonathan Burke has opted to ride Passing Well over Twinjets who he would've been asked to ride given that he had previously ridden him and has been a jockey Milton Harris has opted for recently. I think Twinjets will make a nice chaser as he is a big horse, so it's another vote of confidence in picking Passing Well, especially as Burke has a 20% SR when riding for Snowden.

Horse Racing Tips
The Paddy Pie
Wetherby - 1:15 pm

12/1 @ The Pools

Kateira
Wetherby - 1:50 pm

9/4 @ Bet365

Idem
Ascot - 12:55 pm

15/2 @ William Hill

Passing Well
Ascot - 1:30 pm

9/2 @ PaddyPower

48 Comments
  1. hibee1 6 months ago

    Beauport 3.45 Ascot 4/1

    Won on seasonal debut last October at Carlise on soft off a mark of 148. Makes seasonal debut tomorrow and runs off 142 also on soft ground. Trainer been banging in the winners, had a nice double last sunday from his only 2 runners. Has only the 2 runners for the day both at Ascot tomorrow. Should run well.

    Sir Geoff Hurst 5pm Chelmsford 6/1

    Mentioned a couple of days ago why I like this . Look back on yesterday’s page if anyone is interested.

    Have a good one everyone

    15
  2. hibee1 6 months ago

    Mitigator 5.30 Chelmsford 9/4

    Found trouble in running last time out at this track when finishing second. Put up a pound runs off 58, has previously won off 58 and 59. The horse that finished 3rd that day went on to be an unlucky loser next time out.
    Tranier has a 35% strike rate at the track with 7 wins from 35 but if you look closer he has had an incredible 6 winners from his last 10 runners here.
    Trainer has a 33 % strike rate with his AW handicap runners this season. His last runner was a winner a few days ago. This is the only runner of the day for the trainer.
    Horse hasn’t been at the yard long so they have obviously found improvement in him with his recent 2nd , every reason to think he should go very close today.

    7
  3. double carpet 6 months ago

    Jody’s Pride finished 2nd and Unquestionable won so not a bad day 1 of the Breeders Cup. Some very good races to look forward to there tonight. Here’s where my darts landed.

    7.50 Society 7/2
    8.30 Mawj 3/1
    9.10 Idiomatic 2/1
    9.50 Mostahdaf 11/4

    Ascot

    12.55 Immortal 10/3

    Put up on yesterday’s thread, now best priced 7/4. Thrown in off 110. Yard still hold him in high regard. Has had 2 wind opps and up in trip should be more to his liking.

    Wetherby

    1.15 Thor De Cerisy 20/1 ew 4 places (taken yesterday)

    Only 1lb above last win which was on similar conditions to what he’ll face today. As low as 10s now.

    I’m also very tempted to have a nibble on Gentlemansgame to win the Charlie Hall. Obviously has lots to find with BMG but I very much doubt Mouse Morris would be sending him over unless he thought he had a chance.
    BMG ran to 164 when winning it last year. This year he carries a penalty and GMG has race fitness on his side. Trainer has also wrapped this horse up in cotton wool having kept him on home soil up until now and has only had the 10 starts. So why this race for his first venture outside of Ireland ?
    The main aim is the Gold Cup and the trainer has already said that’s his aim this year and while that might be a bit ambitious, there are worse 66/1 bets out there.

    BOL

    4
  4. Gateacre Pete 6 months ago

    Morning all. Optimistic lucky 15 ew today
    Iris Dancer 13.02 New @ 50s
    Dirtyoldtown 15.57 New @ 25s
    Carbon King 15.15 Asc @ 33s
    Duo D’enfer 13.15 Weth @ 25s
    GL with all your bets today

    9
    • Jayell61 6 months ago

      Saved the best for last Pete

      1
    • hibee1 6 months ago

      Tips hat ** 🎩

      Brilliant

      1
    • Gateacre Pete 6 months ago

      Yeah, pity about the rest though. Doubled my money at least 👍

      1
  5. spurs55 6 months ago

    the race off times give the winners of the next racing coming up ^^^^^^^

    • spurs55 6 months ago

      i always wondered about those very strange/weird OFF times

    • spurs55 6 months ago

      unless i was just lucky !!


      Won
      5 – Orne @ 9/1
      Win

      12.27 Newmarket – Horris Hill (Group 3) – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

      1
  6. spurs55 6 months ago

    try this one !!!

    Happy And Fine @ 9/1SP

    Win – 13.15 Wetherby – Paying 5 Places instead of 3

    2
  7. spurs55 6 months ago

    Prince of Zenda @ 7/1SP

    Win – 14.10 Newmarket – Paying 5 Places instead of 3

  8. spurs55 6 months ago

    Soldierofthestorm @ 8/1SP

    Win – 14.40 Ascot – Paying 4 Places instead of

  9. elvis parsley 6 months ago

    Roshwar 3-25 deauville 🇫🇷 7-4 NAP 🏇

    3
    • elvis parsley 6 months ago

      Paddy power ⬆️⬆️

      1
    • edgeman 6 months ago

      Yes Elvis!! Get in. Cheers 🍻

      3
    • hibee1 6 months ago

      Thanks for pointing this out. Much appreciated

      3
    • recoba 6 months ago

      Well done Elvis Lárent Parsley! 😋
      I kid im sure you know and was on due to ATRs Láurent and regardless how or what makes you you put up a tip (as we have agreed) it’s most welcome. 👍 💴

      🇺🇸
      *Paddy Power Money back as Free bet if horse is in top 4.
      Santa Anita -Race 4…In Italian 6/1
      Give him ONE more chance after pipped to 2nd at short prices last 2 runs but really it’s because of the offer as I was going to use him in combination tricast etc but he can win on very best form.
      Inspiral the likeliest winner for me,hopefully at least cash back?

      Race 6…Shirls Speight 33/1 Ew extra Bet365 **
      Was 2nd last year letting me down for few hundred for a cheeky £1 bet but got him Ew finishing 3rd I think in Dubai World Cup.
      Decent comeback behind Master Of Seas who’s 13/2 so take a chance at they odds.

      1
    • elvis parsley 6 months ago

      Cheers fellas 👍
      Ps
      Are you back on the booze recoba 🍻.
      That Laurent bloke steals tips off me 🤣

      2
    • double carpet 6 months ago

      Well done with the NAP Elvis

    • recoba 6 months ago

      😂
      Did i ever say I was OFF the booze? 🤔
      Elvis just like betting it’s all about moderation and planning to be opening a beer by 7.30pm Monsieur! 🦨
      Get bets sorted first and kids and wife to bed! Lol
      Láurent and yourself are more than A-ok with French stuff. 👌
      just past discrepancies and all that but just wait for my USA stuff it should be copyrighted! 😉 😝

  10. azzthewigan 6 months ago

    all authorized 4.15 nb well done all winners yesterday and today

    6
  11. azzthewigan 6 months ago

    mostabshir 4.30 nap

    6
  12. Mrworldwide 6 months ago

    BREEDERS CUP DAY 2

    19:10 – Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares

    WARM HEART 7/2 – is only 3 year old with a lot of improvement yet to come with Conditions set to suit and recent form looks to have a brilliant chance tonight

    WITH THE MOONLIGHT 16/1 looks to have a nice eachway shout in this as form on all group if ability to put best foot forward could be hard to hold off for sure for Charlie Appleby he has a good record at this meeting

    19:50 – Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint

    SOCIETY 9/2 Looks to have had a outstanding preparation on the lead up to this with his being main target this year and recent track work looking good except another solid run once again

    20:30 – FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Mile presented by Permanently Disabled Jockey Fund (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf)

    SONGLINE 5/1 She been up against the best females of her generation. For her to be able to win that cemented her as the best race mare in Japan. makes her a banker for breeders cup in my eyes go and get them girl and shine time for you to follow in the footsteps of the beautiful Loves Only You who put on a sensational display at breeders festival last year go on make her proud and all your supporters you’ve got this if you can’t beat a horse like sodashi you can beat this field in style🇯🇵🔥🏆🏇

    MASTER OF SEAS 8/1 EACHWAY – was done on line last time out first run of the season in USA just wondering at 200 yard mark switching off will strip fitter for this expect yard to have him in top order to make amends on big day here and go close

    21:10 – Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff (Grade 1) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Main Track) (Dirt)

    SEARCH RESULTS 7/1 – was disappointing at this meeting last year which was to bad to be true had a nice season on the up run to this again this year with a sensational 3 lenghts win last time out looking better then last year been kept fresh after that win to come here and make amends on last year poor run let’s hope she can turn the table around in style

    21:50 – Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Hillside Course) (Turf)

    Mostahdaf 5/2 – have to take this up even at short price as last season and goes extremely well fresh so she be bang there to finish career off on a high

    War Like Goddess 16/1 – big ask for this to step up to this level but way been this season as been amazing if can hand this sort some level that on offer here expect a big run

    1
  13. azzthewigan 6 months ago

    inspiral 7.10 only bet tonight

    11
    • dazzman1979 6 months ago

      Very impressive by horse and jockey there ! Fair play 👍

      1
  14. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    Sir Geoff worst ! my word ! . Typical Saturday what can you expect hey

    3
  15. mickmac 6 months ago

    My theory is bookies are giving tips to this site on horses that have no chance of winning.Anyone else agree.

    4
    • dazzman1979 6 months ago

      Yeah tipsters get a commission for posting losing bets 😂 if all these experts struggle what chance do we have 😂

      3
    • dazzman1979 6 months ago

      Rather just pick my own bets out got nobody to blame but myself then 😂

      4
  16. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    Race 4 Santanita – in Italian 11/2

  17. georgie41 6 months ago

    Jo Jo O’Neils horses are shocking does not help with a disaster of a jockey on them ie his son couldn’t sit on a big chair always been dependant on his dads name hopelessi afraid should be taken of horses altogether

    1
  18. georgie41 6 months ago

    PS Fallons sons the same

    • dazzman1979 6 months ago

      All jockeys are scum ! 😂

      2
  19. recoba 6 months ago

    Santa Anita -Race 3

    Really hope Cody’s Wish wins but not taking 8/1 ?
    Go with 6-4-3. Combo Forecast. Skippylongstocking if don’t fancy they type of bets is 8/1 Ew extra Bet365

    GL

  20. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    The benders cup ! 😂

    1
    • spurs55 6 months ago

      ew bet for

      Eda @ 12/1SP

      Win – 19.50 Santa Anita – Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Sprint

  21. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    Fair play to Frankie . Impressive win that one

    3
    • recoba 6 months ago

      Thought you be watching Chelmsford Shity Dazzman? 😋

      Santa Anita R4…Goodnight Olive 6/5 Skybet boost ****+
      Irad Ortiz Jnr stays on board like last year to hopefully retain her crown 🤴

      Just the FIVE in my tracker here with top 2 in the market firmly best. Matreya has the back form but Kirstenbosch and Eda look out of it bar a place.
      Reverse forecast with Society .
      Her last run was a cracker but Goodnight Olive looks primed here as expected,Society bailed out into this with connections hoping it’s easier.

      Wee side bet Combo tricast 1-7-4-3

      1
    • dazzman1979 6 months ago

      I was going to go down the park and lick some cats out 😂

      1
    • spurs55 6 months ago

      the old forecasts go out the window with results like that !!!

      1
    • recoba 6 months ago

      Yip Spurs55 but 11/8 -6/4 was made a mockery of!
      I’m on a Skybet double special with Augusta Rodin and Goodnight Olive so I’ll not be backing a win in Race 8.

      2
    • recoba 6 months ago

      Lovely Ryan Moore I’ll never bad mouth you again. Aye right!

      The Breeders Cup Classic’

      Santa Anita -R9…WhiteAbarrio 7/2 ****
      Arabian Knight be 2nd choice
      3-6-12 ..13.

      1
    • recoba 6 months ago

      Does me 👍
      BUT auld Japanese horse busts the Tricast with Proxy (No:13) getting in 16/1 or been lovely payout I really should covered it as he was 25/1! 😯

  22. wycobye 6 months ago

    Need White Abarrio for a treble
    With Auguste and Idiomatic 🤞

    1
    • recoba 6 months ago

      Lovely Wycobye 👍 💴

      Had Inspiral and Augusta Rodin in Skybet special double to.

      Should done a Heinz or 4-5-6 folds etc as only Mawj been beat but NA did I fook?? 🤦‍♂️

      Got Augusta Rodin,White Abartio with these next 2 but in Yankee

      Santa Anita Race 10…Motoriuos 9/2 *** loves this course and Flavian Prat doing steering has won on him few times at this course.
      R11…Eliite Power 6/5 ****+
      Well MEANT to be one bankers of meeting and hopefully lucky last

  23. wycobye 6 months ago

    Cheers Recoba
    Buzzing lol 378 for my tenner
    Good luck with your next 2

    • recoba 6 months ago

      Good to here mate. 👌

      Motorius boxed in big time and had Nobals in tricast but 2nd AGAIN ruined it.

      Elite Power on the drift! Gunite and Dr Schivel with him for combo tricast BUT wide open now according to betting?

      Think Elite Power at 15/8 looks good value and drift shouldn’t concern.
      Famous last words.

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