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Wise Glory appears to be a frustrating horse. The pace of the race was slow, but he didn't help himself by the way he refused to settle. It looked like a hard ride for Harry Cobden, as the horse has a very awkward head carriage, which looked to have made it difficult to control him when approaching the hurdles. He was well backed again, so he must be showing signs at home that he is a capable horse.
This race isn't full of quality, and I think it is best to side with a horse who is still unexposed, and RAVING BONKERS fits the bill. He is 0 from 15 over hurdles, but is 1 from 2 over fences, so it's quite apparent that he prefers chasing than hurdling.
His debut success over fences would've been a shock to most people as his form of hurdles was terrible, being beat by many lengths in near enough every start he had. He won at Ludlow at odds of 25/1, and for the most part he jumped soundly. Even though the leader fell at the last fence, which gifted him the lead, I think he would've won anyway as he was closing the distance between the two. In his next chase he unseated his rider quite early on in the race, so it's hard to say whether the win over fences was a fluke or not.
It was encouraging that they raced him over hurdles at the start of this month, as that would've blown away any cobwebs and would've sharpened his fitness up for a crack at some more chase races which he is clearly better at. His trainer, Oliver Greenall, is having a good start to this jumps season, especially with chasers, as he operates at a 26% SR, which is 10 wins from 39 runs, with a further 11 being placed.
As I mentioned at the start, I don't think this is too competitive, with only a handful who have decent claims. I'm hoping Raving Bonkers is overlooked in the market again, like he was on his chase debut, and he even went off at 9/1 on his second race over fences, so fingers crossed on some decent odds.
FRAU GEORGIA looked very impressive when winning at Perth earlier on this month. She has been hit with a 10lb rise in the weights for that performance, but based on what I saw, I think she will be able to cope with that and progress again.
She is still lightly raced over fences, with this being only her fifth start. She was poor in her first two runs over fences, and was unlucky on her third chase at Market Rasen where she was hampered by a faller, which resulted in the saddle slipping and unseating Tom Scudamore. In her next race she absolutely breezed up, winning by 9 lengths, eased down. Tom Scudamore was extremely confident when approaching the final two fences, he was sat behind the leaders, and he knew he had a lot of horse left underneath him. Frau Georgia was backed into 9/2 that day, so connections must've felt that she was in good form and was better than her mark of 100.
This race is tougher than last time. Wagner would probably be my guess at who would be the main danger. That horse holds Delight Of Dubai on collateral form, so it would be a surprise if the latter reversed the form. However, he tackles a new trip and has to prove he is as good at this distance.
12:00 Wincanton - Race: 1
12:10 Galway - Race: 1
12:25 Wexford - Race: 1