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The drift of yesterday's selection Whitehotchillifili told the story, as she got smoked by the winner. The winner did it extremely easy, and looked like a nice Mare. Kissesforkatie has appealed like a horse to follow in the past, but she's been disappointing this season in parts, but it all clicked yesterday.

Southwell 3:20

Carrying a penalty in a Novices' Hurdle race isn't ideal, and is often a tough task to do, unless you're backing a horse who is above average. I believe FORTUNEDEFORTUNATA is an above average sort for the David Bridgwater team, and think he is good odds against the Skelton odds-on favourite who is yet to win a race after four runs.

Boombawn, the favourite, has some decent pieces of form, but he was a beaten favourite at Doncaster earlier this month at odds of 4/5F. The winner at Doncaster was carrying a penalty, and beat him convincingly that day, so it shows this horse is vulnerable in this company, despite getting the weight from arguably his main rival. He has finished 3rd in a Newbury race which was won by Jonbon. He was beaten by 9L, but the second has franked the form, but I think he could be flattered with the margins, like the fourth, who has also not won a novice race since, being beat 2x.

In comparison, the selection won on debut, which came as a surprise to the market, as he won by 3.25L at odds of 25/1. He kept on strongly that day, and the form looks good enough to suggest he can defy a penalty. The 2nd has since won a race which has won produced winners from the 2nd and 3rd. The 6th from his debut run at Ludlow has since won over fences, producing an RPR in the high 120s, and the 5th has ran well since. The race which he won has previously been won by some above average sorts including Smarty Wild (2019), who has since become a mid 130s rated horse, and Garry Clermont (2020) who is currently rated 142 over hurdles, so there is a strong chance that this lad could follow in their footsteps. At the odds, he is worth taking on the favourite.

12:50 Bath - Race: 2
Distance: 5f 160y
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
1
Cape Sunset
32-0

6
Spangled Mac

7
Thismydream
6555-32

8
Brazen Diamond
32

4
Jack Leslie
5-43

10
Connie's Rose
7-95833

11
Little Girl Blue

5
Malham Tarn Cove

9
Buddy's Beauty
0-8

2
Lanzarote Sunshine
6

3
Ank Marvin
8-6

12:55 Punchestown - Race: 2
Distance: 2m 115y
Type: Hurdle
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
1
Cape Sunset
32-0

6
Spangled Mac

7
Thismydream
6555-32

8
Brazen Diamond
32

4
Jack Leslie
5-43

10
Connie's Rose
7-95833

11
Little Girl Blue

5
Malham Tarn Cove

9
Buddy's Beauty
0-8

2
Lanzarote Sunshine
6

3
Ank Marvin
8-6

13:02 Southwell - Race: 3
Distance: 1m 7f 182y
Type: National Hunt Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
9
Mrs Grimley
042-

10
Roccstar Bay

6
Sorceress Medea
072-

5
Monteplex
5-3

3
Elfride

2
Clova Corrie

8
Lorraine's Girl

4
Lockandload
P4-

1
A Strip Of Amy
759-

7
Internet Biddy

16 Comments
  1. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Henouville 12-50 compiegne
    16-1 ew 4 places SKYBET.
    🇫🇷🇫🇷
    Dolia 2-35 compiegne
    9-2 win SKYBET
    EVENS top 3 finish bet365

    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Dolia 11-2 win not 9-2 🙃

      1
  2. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Wincanton 16:05 – Brianstorm 10/3

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Wincanton- 1:45 ambion hill 2/1

  3. theplug 2 months ago

    Wincanton 3-30 Petrossian 5/2
    Paul Nicholls local track , they had him entered in some of the Cheltenham Festival novices hurdles ,so must think highly of him . Nap.

    2
  4. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    mallot blank 3.20 ew instant gambler 3.30 ew well done all winners yesterday

  5. Jayell61 2 months ago

    Bartholomew J 6/1 1555 S

    1
    • Jayell61 2 months ago

      Useless. Think I will give up especially with the Flat season about to start!

      2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Keep the Money for Mars ice creams instead!

  6. recoba 2 months ago

    🐎🇺🇸
    Trixie for USA…

    Mohaning-R7…Breezy Money. 5/2(won really nicely last time I tipped him n thriving at present)
    R8….Ruby Jane. 6/5(looks obvious winner and thought it be odds on)
    Turf Paradise -R8…Misawa 4/1(gravely hampered last run,will be in the mix if he’s a better passage,better gate this time

    GL all! 👍

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Will Rodger’s Down back up n running.

      R3…Osirie Prieto 15/2 Skybet few £s on win but 11/8 to place if as long as he’s good to go from a break he should be in top 3 minimum and has run well after a break in the past.

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Great when a jockey just gives up n doesn’t even try to place!
      What a w⚓️ On Oso Prieto!!

      Onwards ..

  7. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Will Rogers downs –

    Race 3 – valentine guy 7/2

    Race 7 – sayaad ain’t so 5/1

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Race 9 – bork 4/1

  8. theplug 2 months ago

    Won’t be backing anymore of Paul Nicholls horses until they come back into form . Thought this one today was a good thing 🙈 but Nicholls is not getting much winners.so think I’ll wait till they do come back into form.

  9. theplug 2 months ago

    One for tomorrow at clonmel and hope he does better than the one o gave today .4.03 Yabo 7/2

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