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Day 3 was a day for the bookies. We saw three short-priced favourites lose in the shape of Mighty Potter and Shiskin as well as Luccia who was on the drift, but still relatively short.
I took a different approach to this year's festival. Normally, I wouldn't get involved with the hot favourites, as I'd try and get them beat. But I thought why try and get them beat if I think they just win, unfortunately for me, they didn't win and I had egg on my face.
It's been a tough week for me, with just the three winners, one on each day. But, Sire Du Berlais winning the Stayers' Hurdle at 50/1 was great to see, not only because he was tipped up, but because he has been a great servant to the sport and has won at 3 festivals now.
I think it's fair to say Shishskin doesn't quite handle Cheltenham over fences. He won over hurdles here, but he looked a mess today, jumping like a lawnmower. But with that came a great revival story of Envoi Allen who proved me wrong, and proved many others wrong. Great to see him back in the big time.
Davy Russell said Mighty Potter might not be as good as we thought. Sorry, but I thought he and the jockeys in behind Stage Star were shocking. We all knew Stage Star would get the lead, so why let him get into a rhythm and run the race he wanted? I still think MP is the best horse in the race, and Davy Russell shouldn't be pointing the blame on the horse. With that being said, Harry Cobden rode a great race, giving Nicholls a win at the Festival for the first time in a couple of years.
Fingers crossed we can all have a profitable day for the last day of the Festival.
All of my detailed previews for Day 4 at the Cheltenham Festival can be found below:
- 13:30 – JCB Triumph Hurdle
- 14:10 – McCoy Contractors County Handicap Hurdle
- 14:50 – Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
- 15:30 – Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup
- 16:10 – St. James's Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters' Chase
- 16:50 – Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase
- 17:30 – Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle
Don't forget you can also have a go at entering the Champion Tipster Competition where there's £200 in Free Bets to be won.
13:30 – JCB Triumph Hurdle
Blood Destiny has tended to jump like a lawnmower on a couple of occasions since moving to Ireland, but this horse looks to have a serious engine. We've seen that he handles the ground, and the Triumph is often a stamina test, so I think he will be staying on strongly and might be suited for this race.
Full race preview:
- 13:30 – JCB Triumph Hurdle
14:10 – County Hurdle
I landed on Wonderwall who has a lot to prove in a race of this nature. He made an okay chase debut last time out at Newbury which was won by Sebastopol, which Stage Star in second. This horse was a good bumper horse, finishing 3rd in a Listed race at Ascot behind Knappers Hill and Stage Star. He then went to Cheltenham and finished 7th in the Champion Bumper in a steadily run race, which I don't think suited. I think a good pace on soft ground will be ideal for him. He might run well at a price, or he might be pulled up, but I think he is worth a small bet.
Full race preview:
14:50 – Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
My first fancy for this race is Favori De Champdou who won a Grade 2 last time out on heavy ground, and looked like a good strong stayer at this trip. He is 3/3 over hurdles and the race he won had previously been won by the likes of Fury Road who finished 3rd in this race in 2019, Penhill a previous winner of this race and Faugheen. This horse produced the joint highest RPR of this race in the last ten years with Faugheen, so it rates as a good run in my eyes.
My second fancy is Dawn Rising and he is being overlooked in the market for some reason, which I'm not quite sure about. I think he is crying out for this trip over 3m on soft ground. He was 102 rated on the flat when trained by Aidan O'Brien, so clearly has tonnes of ability and I think he has the engine to get involved.
Full race preview:
- 14:50 – Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
15:30 – Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup
I've had many opinions on Bravemansgame over the years, whether I think he is a stayer or not, do I think he likes Cheltenham, but somehow my dart has landed on him to win the Gold Cup. I think he probably has the best piece of form in the race.
Full race preview:
- 15:30 – Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup
16:10 – St. James's Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters' Chase
I really do like the chances of Vaucelet in this race. David Christie went close in this race last year with Winged Leader, but I think he's come back this year with a better horse.
Full race preview:
16:50 – Mares' Chase
I thought Impervious was the one with the stand-out piece of form in this race. This mare has progressed into a lovely horse since being sent over fences. She was a good hurdler, but the improvement she's made this season is quite unbelievable.
Full race preview:
- 16:50 – Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase
17:30 – Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle
I like Cool Survivor who is ridden by Sam Ewing, who rides a lot of Gordon. This horse probably has the best form in the race and considering he finished 4th in a Grade 1 last time around, you've got to say he is a clear Graded horse in a handicap.
Full race preview:
5:30 Cheltenham- Iroko 8/1 e/w good luck people 👍
Good shout 👏
Cheers mate 👍 nice to end on a winner haha 😂
Billaway 4-10 cheltenham 9-4 top 3 finish NAP 🏇.
Has finished top 3 in 17 of last 18 completed races.
Elvis , always one of my favorite Horses at the final Day , jumping poor last time at Naas , I ‘ m on small EW , Vaucelet is hard to beat .
Placepot 64x 25p lines and singles *
Lossiemouth
Gala marceau.
Pembroke 6-1 ew 8 places *
Ballyadam 12-1 ew 8 places *
Both skybet.
Three card brag
Weveallbeencaught 28-1 ew 6 places SKYBET *
A plus tard
Stattler 12-1 ew 5 places SKYBET *
Chris’s dream
Billaway 8-1 ew 5 places CORALS *
Impervious
Elimay 12-1 bet365 ew extra *
2 rank outsiders.
El dorado Allen gold cup
100-1 ew 4 places
30-1 ew extra 7 places
Brain power Hunter Chase 40-1 ew 5 places CORALS
Small stakes of course
Good luck peeps and happy st Patrick’s day to our Irish friends especially D.C. who despite his own health issues has given up plenty of his own time judging by his excellent write ups for us.
Go raibh maith agat 🍀
Kind words elvis much appreciated 👍
Pembroke County Hurdle 2.10 6/1
This is more of a tip than a horse I have worked with. I was working with the yard back in 2019 when Ch’tibello won this race for them was coming off a wind op and still keep in touch with everyone down there. Dan knows exactly what it takes to win the County, 3 wins in it since 2016. What you need for this race is an unexposed type, 5 or 6 year olds are usually the ones to be on 15 of the last 19 winners were between these ages. I spoke to Dan in December and he told me then this was going to win the County. It ran over too far last time out this is its distance today, everything is perfect for it today, the ground, the pace is guaranteed to suit, the experiencevof running on the horse is going to be a big advantage. The problem, obviously, is getting luck in running with 26 runners. Dan gave me two tips for the festival one has already won , Langer Dan and this is the other one, and this is was his best chance.
Word is out there about this horses chances already you could get 10/1 just yesterday at about 4 pm, the bookies aren’t taking chances. I’m on at double figure odds each way so feel I have an outstanding bet but is it a great bet at the current odds of 6/1? You have to make your own minds up..
If Pembroke gets luck in running it will be right up there no doubt about it but you could find another unexposed type coming out the pack. Willie Mullins horses are a big danger in this race,the top weight Sharjah is such an interesting runner in this. I messaged Dan this week and he is very happy, I feel he thinks he’s going to land a 4th win in this race.
Cant wait to see how this unfolds today.
I only wish I had posted this yesterday afternoon for everyone to get on at the bigger odds. . .
Good luck everyone whatever you decide to go with today
Thx for get stuck in 👍🏾
Thanks for the tip off yesterday.
It’s always nice to get insider info from a yard, and thanks for sharing as you didn’t need to do that at all.
I had a few quid on, as did my mates, who were all extremely happy.
Top bloke.
Thanks for that
Heard the Skeltons are keen as well baring accidents
🙏
I’m on than. Again for chit bello,
Hopefully this one has the same outcome 😃
Take a bow sir, I’m sure even a few Jambos will be on your tip. Good luck 🤞
Odds going down , Im on it Each Way , thx for sharing .
BoL
We all know , its never easy to have a winner at the Festival , little unlucky , second Horse from the stable won , but you give us a Winner yesterday .
Two each way shouts for me which I think can outrun their odds:
2.10 – Pied Piper @ 16/1
5.30 – Might I @ 10/1
Fancy Bravemansgame for the big one at 7/1 which I think is cracking value
Good luck everyone and thanks Hibee1 for yesterday and I’ll be on Pembroke too
Thank you for get stuck in great write up👍👍
3 2nds was about as good as it got yesterday, but I was right to take on the 2 shorties but I really should learn to lay horses rather than look for alternatives but I suppose I prefer that type of bet than betting on a horse to lose.
Anyway onto today and unfortunately im back in hospital but its only a precaution as i was worried if things did go wrong over the long weekend id end up in A&E which isnt ideal i said id come in so im at least in the right ward.
Triumph
Winner Unknown
Horses Backed Reverse Tricast
I’m not going to try pick the winner. Blood Destiny has his ground but has to give 7lbs to the mares. But one for sure is the top 3 are head and shoulders above the rest of the field so a reverse tricast I think is the way to go and baring accidents it shouldn’t be far away.
County
Winner Sharjah
Horses Backed Sharjah, Ballyadam
A mark of 155 for Sharjah looks well within his capabilities. WM has won the race 3 times since 2017 and has won it with similar types such as Arctic Fire who was also a grade 1 horse dropping into h’cap company.
I’ve also backed Ballyadam ew who was 5th last year. He’s 4lbs higher here but the HDB yard are in such good form he can’t be ignored.
I’ll have a saver on Pembroke too
Albert Bartlett
Winner Unknown
Horses Backed Hiddenvalley Lake
This race has produced some very big priced winners recently. The year Monkfish won is the last time we had a single figure priced Winner since 2013 so it mightn’t be the worst tactic to look beyond the head of the market.
But current fav Corbetts Cross looks a hell of a horse and was recently purchased by JP.
My only concern for him is he really battled to win over 2m and that was only 26th Feb but if he’s recovered he’ll take a lot of beating but I backed HVL a while ago and although he was beaten by his stable companion lto he was giving 6lbs and the ground was heavy. I’m hoping the ground dries out a bit today otherwise I’ll be looking for an alternative.
Gold Cup
Winner A Plus Tard
Horses Backed GDC, Conflated 33/1 ew
Really hope GDC can win but the way HDB has his yard this week I have to have my doubts. I’m sticking to what I’ve backed and we’ll see what happens but I’m not confident.
Hunter Chase
I’ve backed Vaucelet as I hope David Christie can have a winner.
Mares Chase
Winner ADV
Horses Backed ADV
ADV is the most talented horse in the race but she jumps to her right which is a concern. If that can be kept under control she should win this race.
Martin Pipe
I’m going to wait until post time on this one as I’m still not sure what to back.
BOL and
HAPPY ST PATRICK’S DAY
Hope you’re okay DC. Please keep us informed.
Hope everything works out for you DC mind yourself and good luck today with your bets.
Hope all is OK today DC. 👍
Cheers guys.
I’ve 11 days of treatment left to go then we see what the results are.
Things seem to be going in the right direction though, so I’m confident I’ll pull through. It’s just getting tough now as the end draws near as I have to be fed through a tube as its too sore to swallow anything.
Sending you best wishes mate . Thank you for all your contributions, your a good man 👍
Wish you all the best DC
You are a part of the thread , we need you here : – )
Hopefully all goes well DC.
Thanks again for your write ups, your tips and your winners.
Get well soon
Happy St Patrick’s Day to all….whether here in Ireland, the UK or even the moon. Have a great day and weekend
🙂 🇮🇪
Lossiemouth 7/4 nap
Hunters Yarn 11/2
Search for Glory 25/1 ew
Galopin Des Champ 11/8
Billaway 6/1
Impervious 13/8
No fancy for the last
good luck all
Hopefully its another whitewash for the Irish today
sorry that should be the Brits not the Irish
3 good winners today plug
Nice one👍
4.50 Papperedmesel (e/w)
Hi All
Gold Cup time
Win
R. 5 – Vaucelet
R. 6 – Impervious
Each Way
R. 4 ( Gold Cup ) – Bravemansgame
R. 7 – Imagine
Horse to be placed
R. 3 – Dawn Rising
R. 7 – Might I
Best of luck , for the Finale , after busy days I need a break , back in 2 Weeks .
See ya !!
blood destiny 1.30 gin coco 2.10 ew.. rock my way 2.50 ew ..braveman’s game 3.30 dandy Dan 4.10 ew magic daze 4.50 ew west to the bridge 5.30 ew well done all winners yesterday
silks
15 – Zenta @ 8/1
Win
13.30 Cheltenham – Triumph Hurdle – Money Back As Cash If You Lose
Good Humor 8.00 Wolves GL All ,well done all winners yesterday
1.30 Gala Marceau (nap)
2.10 Pembroke
Singles and doubles.
Add these for a Canadian
2.50 Favori de Champou
3.30 A plus tard
4.10 Billaway
Hopefully a good end to a great week – £450 up so far
Very poor today
Pied Piper 5/2
To be Placed
2.10 Cheltenham
Monty’s Star 9/2
To be Placed
2.50 Cheltenham
Billaway 6/4
To be Placed
4.10 Cheltenham
Treble
47.12/1
Good luck all
Path D’oroux @ 11/1SP
Win – 14.10 Cheltenham – County Hurdle – Paying 8 Places instead of 4
14 – Seabank Bistro @ 11/1
and
Dawn Rising @ 14/1SP
Win – 14.50 Cheltenham – Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle – Paying 6 Places instead of 3
Brilliant Gold Cup
GDC is special but what a ride by Paul Townend.
And Conflated makes the frame to pour some icing on it !!
Indeed DC.
We have 2 beasts on the prowl right now.
Galopin des camps and constitution hill.
They could be top dogs for another 2-3 years if they stay fit
So true , Paul Townend get better and better every Year , I was hoped he beat me not with Impervious : – ).
And he make never mistakes at last Jumps , crunch time at Races .
Gonna be very interesting to see which route they take with CH.
Surely he has to go chasing to become a true great ?
Istabraq is a prime example.
Never went chasing and a few lesser horses have been mentioned as greats because they did both disciplines.
Istabraq would be in arkles category if he won big chases too.
do ” THEY” see us coming or what !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Tmoz press ur luck 11.1
no ordinary Joe 5.30 ew well done all winners today
No Ordinary Joe @ 10/1SP
Win – 17.30 Cheltenham – Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle – Paying 6 Places instead of 4
great minds azz??
i hope
yup spurs 55 well done mate
yeah azz a decent return against stake or roi as its called
my best day was yesterday did good on the donkeys last night and had seddon in the magners plate yesterday
onto the donkeys tonight
bol
few bob as well
17:30 Cheltenham – 2m4f Hcap Hrd
Firm Footings
25/1
i did better on the donkey stuff
how much did “they ” make over the last few days ???
million at least between them all
anyone’s guess i suppose
on we go
Well done to the winners today.
Been a great wee watching and nothing major profit wise but not down for sure.
Onwards to USA 🇺🇸
Tampa Bay -R6..Sogno De Capione. 16/1:***
Paddy Power.
Short as 8/1 with others and with only 2 places for Ew I’m on the win and TO PLACE at 13/2
🇺🇸 some stinkin thinking for the above ⬆️
Noted this after his win on US debut which was last June. Notes read along lines of…
Bad start, came from back and hit the front corner,headed by horses each side but picked up gamely with turn of foot last furlong to win by 6l! 😯 👌
Different jockey and not sure why it’s been off but at 16/1 he’s got speed figures that match up at least.
Gulfstream -R8…Ski Patrol. 5/2
Santa Anita-R2…Bella Renella. 7/4
R6….Alice Marble 7/4/****
Aquaduct -R6…Midtown Lights. 2/1
GL all
Jamie ness 7 timer !
Some trainer but care to elaborate Dazzman he rides all over west USA ot that his son the jockey you mean?
Jockey and trainers one last factors I look at when studying a horse form before backing it .
Sorry I meant Jamie Rodriguez laurel park haha I never betted on any of them tonight every time I thought surely not again and was waiting for the sting but it never came !
Ah right mate…no idea with Ness bit there but even if you said at Laurel Park I’d still needed to check which shows how much importance a jockey jockey means to me as without realising it he’s helped me out no ends with what’s some going looking at it.
. Had some good early race success In the USA and Albertiano R2 got the ball rolling for a Trixie and watching it with odds in running going to 9/2 I’m thinking wtf and why but if you have a minute get a watch of it. 👌
I had Irish lace 9/2 in the last at laurel ! It was bound to win today of all days ! Never mind onto 2 moro 💰💰💰
All these great minds on this site and they still beat us big time
Good job it’s only entertainment or we’d been down the food bank
a group called flutter entertainment are taking over the online gaming world i heard today
had a google and
their portfollio includes
paddy power
skybet
betfair
sports bet
pokers stars
timeform
sporting life
tombola
we have no chance after seeing that lot
Speak for yourself I’m the exceptional exception to any rules and regulations! 😉
It’ll Certainly not helping that’s for sure!
🇺🇸 Charles Town -R1 …NO: 6. 18/2 Ew Bet365
Elfsugemabrilte ot something I’d it’s name and crazy price for 3 places with Bet365