BELARUS remain European football fans’ go-to place for live action and Greg's stats study paid off for me last weekend.
Millions of fans live streaming won’t have been impressed by the quality on show but will have spotted refs love to show cards in the first five weeks of the season – and on Friday men behaving badly, otherwise known as Smolevichi, were at it again with four cautions out of a match total of seven.
I highlighted two bookings bets last week and came up with a 9-4 winner and 4-5 loser.
Some teams are averaging a total of eight cards a game – both sides – and that’s incredible.
Slavia Mozyr are first up in Belarus today (1pm) as they try to maintain fine home form against FC Minsk.
The visitors haven’t won here for seven years and face a side unbeaten at home since last October. Minsk have lost three in a row in the league and have conceded most (nine).
Away from home they’ve won three games in a year and on form and h2h stats Slavia look a good bet at 11-10 at bet365.
Both teams average three cards a game so 60+ booking points has a chance with Sky Bet at 4-5.
Next up at 3pm it’s Gorodeja v BATE and a surprise home win has a chance. Oleg Radushko’s men are in fine form with three wins to nil and haven’t lost at home to BATE since 2011.
BATE have lost three of their previous four away fixtures and with Gorodeja a big price at 11-2 with Ladbrokes I’m on them draw no bet at 10-3 with bet365. This is instead of bookings because as Greg's updated table shows they are two of the best behaved in the league. Check out the table and remember to listen to his latest podcast.
The third game sees champions Dynamo Brest at home to Shakhter Soligorsk at 5pm. Brest have lost just one out of nine against the Miners and have won the last two 2-0 with a third paying 9-1 at BetVictor.
Dynamo lost just once last season and have lost once at home since last July so it’s easy to see why Shakhter are huge underdogs. Brest should take the points at Ladbrokes at 23-20.
Booking points are set high for this one so consider over 1.5 match goals, over 8.5 corners and over 25 booking points at 6-5 with Sky Bet.
On Sunday Slutsk v Belshina offers up the chance of a cardfest and Slutsk are 2-1 to have most bookings.
There were more good tips on esports and stay-at-home darts on Friday and I even caught some of the action on BBC online.
Typically I tuned into a 0-0 and to laugh as before extra time started the summariser said he hoped both players – Maupay and O'Neill – were staying hydrated. O'Neill sure did as he won thanks to a Golden Goal.
Bets to Consider
- Gorodeja dnb
- Slavia Mozyr
After last weekend’s Easter holiday the pools have a normal look about them. I’m going for the traditional eight from 10 with games such as Everton v Southampton and Arbroath v Dundee two of my top picks.
The Premiership should have split by now so the top-flight games won’t be listed. Here are my choices and you need to have your selections placed by 2.25pm today.
Pools Picks (perm 8 from 10)
- Sheff Utd v Chelsea (6)
- Spurs v Arsenal (7)
- Charlton v Wigan (12)
- Derby v Leeds (13)
- Stoke v Brentford (20)
- Tranmere v Oxford (31)
- Cambridge v Crewe (34)
- Cheltenham v Salford (36)
- Colchester v F Green (37)
- Newport v Northants (43)