EFL Championship promotion odds

As each week passes, the EFL Championship promotion odds chop and change. This provides opportunities to back some dark horses or shoot for the favourites throughout the season.

Speaking of which, we’ve provided our thoughts on who will achieve that goal. All will be revealed here, but to start with, here are the main contenders to reach the Promised Land next spring, and the longest odds currently against them.

Best EFL Championship promotion odds – top 10 favourites

For clarity, the odds for EFL Championship promotion are totally different from the EFL Championship winner odds. Of course, these describe two different markets, as three teams gain promotion, while only one will win the league.

Team Odds Last PL / 1st Div campaign

Leeds

1/8

2022/23

Burnley

4/6

2023/24

Sheffield United

8/13

2023/24

Sunderland

6/4

2016/17

Middlesbrough

3/1

2016/17

West Brom

10/1

2020/21

Blackburn

25/1

2011/12

Norwich

30/1

2021/22

Bristol City

33/1

1979/80

Coventry City

33/1

2000/01

Best value picks

As the current top three all provide poor value for punters, it is best to consider some dark horses that will certainly have a chance of gaining promotion through the playoffs. Here are some of those picks.

Coventry City – 6/1

Frank Lampard has been a revelation since taking over the Sky Blues, seeing them shift from being relegation candidates to promotion chasers in the space of half a season.

Now sat on 59 points and with six wins from their last eight matches, there appears to be a real buzz at the CBS Arena, an atmosphere that could just help Coventry City back into the Premier League.

Across the entire season they have by no means been the strongest of the teams currently occupying a play-off spot, but they have as good a form as any coming into the last push for a coveted top six spot.

At 6/1, Lampard and Coventry could just surprise everybody.

Sunderland – 2/1

A former top flight heavyweight, it has been a long while since Sunderland were in the Premier League. However, with Regis Le Bris at the helm, and a young, vibrant squad behind him, they have every chance of sneaking back into the big time through the play-offs.

72 points accrued this season, Sunderland have been mightily impressive, with their latest win coming in the shape of a tightly contested 1-0 scoreline over Millwall.

Although they have no hope of automatic promotion at this late stage, truly anything can happen in the play-offs. At 2/1 odds, the Black Cats offer decent value for those looking to back a dark horse.

Burnley – 8/15

From the teams currently occupying places 3-6 in the table, Burnley are evidently the strongest going into the last few games of the season. 

The Clarets have conceded just 11 goals all season, and remain just adrift of the automatic promotion places merely on goal difference

Burnley defeated Bristol City 1-0 this weekend, which saw them keep pace with the title-chasing Leeds United and Sheffield United.

Scott Parker’s team will be confident of winning promotion through the play-offs if they are unable to gain an automatic place. The club are 24 points ahead of seventh place Middlesbrough, and have shown themselves to be considerably more robust than their fellow promotion-chasers. Punters may see Burnley as a more secure option considering their defensive exploits this season.

Our verdict on EFL Championship promotion

While it is obvious that two of either Leeds, Burnley or Sheffield United will be promoted back to the Premier League, the third and final spot is truly anyone's guess. It may seem a left-field guess, but Coventry have truly turned things around in the last four months, and their end-of-season form could just be the difference maker when it comes to facing up against strong opposition in the play-offs. Do not count them out despite their poor start to the 2024/25 campaign.

Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.

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