TWO weeks from tonight, judgement night in Cardiff will take place where two -players will leave the Premier League phase and bookmakers have Huybrechts (1/5) and Klaasen 2/7 as favourites for the drop.
Dave Chisnall at 2/1 is next priced and after a double victory in week 5 with MVG absent is short on the implied percentage of 33.3% of relegation. Huybrechts with Lewis, Anderson and Wright is a goner in our eyes and Klaasen has Wade, Lewis and Taylor.
The total 180s in the last two weeks has landed over the 32-33 line set most weeks and Unibet bet 11/13 on the 33.5 line this week.
This weeks fixtures:
Wade Vs Klaasen
- Wade leads 21-5 (Last 4 a zig-zag win/loss; a good omen for Jelle?)
Both players need the win for different reasons, with Wade keeping pace with the top four and Klaasen to fend off relegation. Klaasen is buried according to the layers at just 2/7 for the drop and is 2/1 with most firms to upset the machine, who is 11/10 and 7/2 the draw, which incidently is the shortest price draw on the card.
The bet for this game is what both consistently achieve in their matches. Both to pocket 80 or better checkout is evens with Hills and the pair both got this last week, and Wade is well known for his out finishes, deadly on tops and double 10!
Wright Vs Chisnall
- Chisnall leads 11-8 (Wright has won 4/6 games spanning back to 2016 World Championships)
The newly crowned UK Open Champion Peter Wright beat Wade in an edgy encounter last week nailing just two maximums in a blandish game based on the stats. Snakebite is a general 8/13 with Chisnall 100/30 and 4/1 for the draw. On paper the draw is BIG at 4/1 on the basis Chisnall will need another point in my view to get over the line and has the scoring power to make this happen. The rejuvenation ended last week being convincingly beaten by Anderson despite back to back victories the previous week to leave the St Helen's thrower in a much stronger position to avoid the drop.
Wright and Chisnall may spark a crowd reaction tonight as both will be playing in neutral ground and think the spectacle of another visit to Holland will take its toll. Looking at the maximum line for a best of 12 has layers at 11/10 for fewer than eight maximums and if anything like last weeks displays makes that target a more balanced target than backing 8/11 in places on eight or more.
Barney Vs Anderson
- Anderson leads 18-14 (Anderson has winning streak of 11)
Anderson has not been beaten since Barney beat Gary on 30/04/2015 in the Premier League format having drawn the previous league encounter. With Barney on home turf the moment may affect the five time world champion more so than the previous double time world champion Anderson. With Gary throwing 180s for fun netting the most maximums is a turn off just under evens on the basis of crowd reaction.
Anderson's natural reaction to the crowd and his fluid throwing technique has Betfred best 8/11 for four or more maximums on the night. I expect the game to go 11 or 12 legs so on the 180 ratio with Anderson recently has a fair chance of landing.
Huybrechts Vs Lewis
- Lewis leads 10-6 (Huybrechts has won just once in the last 11)
Lewis's great record goes back to 2013 with just one defeat in this time. The one league encounter ended in a tie with the result no good at 4/1 for the Belgian. With Jackpot having family issues at a priority this has not stopped some great displays in the last few meetings. Kim has been unlucky missing out on a draw in the MVG game last week and suffering two successive draws in the process.
Lewis powered to a great win over Phil last week as well as a credible draw with MVG 2 weeks prior. A no bet for us this week on players needs for the game.
Taylor Vs MVG
- Taylor leads 31-22 (Taylor won 4 of last 6)
MVG has not lost in five meetings in nearly three years in the Premier League. It was April 2014 where the last defeat occurred. The same campaign where MVG won the World Championship then stunned Taylor on the opening night of the campaign 7-0.
The Dutchman is a very short 5/2 ON for the game despite not throwing first with Taylor at 5/1 and the draw the same price.
MVG was back last week after a back injury forced him out of the league meeting two weeks ago as well as the UK Open event. MVG is short priced at 2/5 with punters possibly attracted to the draw at 5/1. Despite Taylor retiring he will still give MVG a game as he wants to prove a point. If MVG tends to dominate the game I expect Taylor to pass a 97.5 average in a high scoring game, with some room for error from Taylor on the doubles.
Recommendations
- Wade/Klaasen – over 80 checkout each 1/1 Hills 1pt
- Wright/Chisnall – U 7.5 180s – 11/10 Betfair sportsbook 1.5 pts
- Anderson – over 3.5 180s – 8/11 Betfred 1pt
- Taylor – over 97.5 average – 5/6 Hills 1pt
