The 2026 ATP Finals begins on Sunday, and now that the draw is complete, we know who will face whom in the group stages and each player's path to the knockout stages and beyond.
The tournament brings together the best eight tennis players in the world for one final tournament to finish the year, with $405,000 on offer for every match each player wins. The eventual tournament winner is guaranteed $2,412,000, with $5,171,000 up for grabs for an undefeated champion.
Check out the tournament's odds and our predictions below.
ATP Finals 2026: Outright odds
- Carlos Alcaraz – 10/11
- Alexander Zverev – 4/1
- Ben Shelton – 6/1
- Daniil Medvedev – 10/1
- Rafael Jodar – 10/1
- Arthur Fils – 12/1
- Frances Tiafoe – 25/1
- Flavio Cobolli – 33/1
ATP Finals 2026: Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz to win the tournament undefeated
After looking sluggish at the US Open, Carlos Alcaraz has hit top form over the past couple of weeks and has looked electric on the indoor hard courts.
He comes into the tournament on a nine-match winning streak after winning both the Erste Bank Open in Vienna and the Paris Masters. Across both tournament wins, he overcame Shelton and Medvedev along the way, not dropping a set in either clash.
With Sinner out, he is the outright favourite to win the event, and we can see him doing so without losing a match.
Alexander Zverev to reach the final
To reach the final of the ATP Finals, Zverev will need to avoid a semi-final with Carlos Alcaraz. To do that, he will need to top his group, which is more favourable than the other group.
Alongside Zverev in the John McEnroe Group are Arthur Fils, Ben Shelton and Rafael Jodar. Zverev's hardest challenger will be Shelton, but the German boasts a 6-0 record against the American, and recently beat him in the US Open final.
Flavio Cobolli to win no games
Although he isn't the lowest-ranked player at the ATP Finals, Cobolli's game is least suited to indoor hard court, as can be seen by his recent results.
The Italian has played seven matches on indoor hard courts since the US Open and has lost four of them, so he is not going to be confident ahead of matches against the world's best players.
To compound matters, Cobolli is in the harder of the two groups, where he will face Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev, and Frances Tiafoe.
ATP Finals 2026: Where to watch
The 2026 ATP Finals are being shown exclusively on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom. If you are not a Sky Sports subscriber, you can sign up for a Now TV pass to access the tournament.
Andy is tipster who has been calling Golf tournaments for several years across many different platforms. He has covered all tournaments from the Asian Tour to the Masters. He's also a keen football fan and is an expert on European football.
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