Tonight, Bernabeu, 7.45, live on ITV
CAN'T believe Barcelona threw it away against Chelsea last night after being 2-0 up against 10 men.
Barca boss Pep Guardiola was lavish in his praise of the Blues' but their backs-to-the wall displays for 180 minutes weren't great to watch.
The second semi tonight could be a thriller because Bayern Munich can't defend like Chelsea did – and also they have conceded an away goal which could be crucial.
Bayern hold the edge after beating Real Madrid 2-1 at home but that away goal could be crucial for Jose Mourinho's side and the Portuguese will be desperate to set up a showdown with his former club.
Mourinho's men will have been given a massive lift by their weekend win against Barcelona that virtually secured the title and I'm on them to qualify at a best 4-6 with Paddy Power and others. The Germans are 6-5 at bet365 and Skybet and to reach the Final and have the added incentive that it will be at their own stadium.
To win tonight you can have Real at 8-15 (various) with Bayern 6-1 at boylesports and the draw 10-3 (various).
Real have won five out of five at home in the tournament this season but last time they faced Bayern at home in 2007 lost 3-2 to go out on away goals. Over 3.5 goals can be backed at 13-10 with unibet.
Cristiano Ronaldo outshone Messi in El Clasico and is 3-1 at Paddy Power to break the deadlock. Paddy Power were offering losing stakes back on the usual markets if Lionel Messi had scored first last night and they're doing the same with Ronaldo tonight.
So if you're thinking of taking someone such as Karim Benzema, who has hit seven in the Champions League this season, or Gabriel Higuain then you'll get your money back if Ronaldo beats them to the punch. Both are 11-2 at various bookies.
And then of course there is Mario Gomez who netted the winner in Munich and is also 11-2 (various) to score first and 11-5 at Ladbrokes to net at any time.
Gomez has banged in 12 in nine Champions League ties but of course chances are likely to be at a premium tonight. Paddy Power go 7-2 on Gomez and Ronaldo scoring.
The German striker's goal in Munich came in the 90th minute and Frank Ribery's winner at the weekend against Werder Bremen also came in 90 minutes so Paddy Power's 7-5 for a goal after 81 minutes tonight must have a chance. Chelsea did it on the break yesterday as Barca pushed for clincher.
Finding value in this game is difficult because the over 2.5 and over 3.5 goals and both teams to score are too small so keep an eye on the inrunning markets.
Ronaldo to score first
Ronaldo and Gomez to score
(7-2, Paddy Power)