RAFA BENITEZ picked up just one point from his first four games in charge of Newcastle so a victory against Swansea on Saturday was the perfect birthday gift.
Sunderland's win at Norwich at lunchtime meant Newcastle had to win although 3-0 flattered them against a side who missed a few chances.
The birthday celebrations only ended when Benitez realised his side were facing Champions League semi-finalists Man City on Tuesday.
The win over Swansea closed the gap on Sunderland to two and Norwich to three but time's running out and whatever happens two of the three strugglers will join Aston Villa in the Championship.
Benitez will have been made aware of his side's record against the Etihad side. Man City have won 12 Premier League matches in a row against Newcastle and if they make it 13 that will equal the record of 13 straight victories against one opponent – that was Man United v Wigan.
City have won six of their last seven at St James's Park and the last six Premier League meetings have gone in their favour by an aggregate of 23-1.
No wonder bookies have City no bigger than 8-13 (William Hill) with Newcastle 5-1 at 888sport and the draw 7-2 with Betfred.
More bad news for Rafa is the form of Sergio Aguero. The Argentine hit a hat-trick at Chelsea on Saturday and has netted 10 in eight games versus Newcastle – more than he's scored against any other team apart from 10 against Spurs.
I'll be on Aguero at 5-6 with William Hill to score – just like Jordan – and he is 3-1 at Ladbrokes and William Hill to break the deadlock. On-form Kevin de Bruyne could also find the target and is 2-1 at 888sport.
I'd be happier backing City to score 2+ rather than win and that pays 3-5 with McBookie.
There's nothing for it but a positive approach from Newcastle who can't afford to lose and with City again without skipper Vincent Kompany both sides could be on target.
Newcastle are better organised and showing more fight under Rafa but the Swansea success was his first and this will be a much tougher test against Champions League semi-finalists who need the points to stay on track for the top four.
Recommended Bets
Aguero to score
(5-6, William Hill)
Man City and over 2.5 goals
(5-4, Betfred, Paddy Power)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Is it just me or are William Hill not offering any odds on Man City goal scorers? I can only back Aguero and Man City wincast.
City to rest going to back Newcastle dc small stake everything about this season l, this game says city but tonight I’m going with Rafa
Afternoon gents – posted last night on today’s intent and it’s no surprise that it involves late goal at Newcastle! Legaue 1 and 2 were my two favourite leagues this season for winners but it’s bwen tough licking them here since the end of Jan! You are getting around evens for over 2.5 goals on most games which is good value considering you were getting much shorter pricees earlier in the year! Will post a treble
Man City to score 2+
Sheffield Wenesday to Win
Double pays 5/4 (Bet365) (NAP)
Newcastle v Man City
No explanation needed here! A Toon home game usally means one thing – a late goal – and more often than not a late late goal! There’s also been a late goal scored in 10 of their last 11 at home to city
Back inplay late goal – may need to wait a bit later than normally to get around 5/6 or if you want a bigger prices wait until 80 mins! Don’t take the pre matxh markets as the Inplay time is lower than the set time ( currently 76 mins 5/6) reckon you’ll get the same price or around it at 72mins
Sheff W v MK Dons
Chesterfield v Doncaster
York v Portsmouth
Over 2.5 match goals treble
Pays 5/1
Like I said super Rafa double chance 13/10 cheers bet 365 hope you all got on