ManCItyvAstonVilla_Tackle

MONDAY night's live TV offering from the Premier League features QPR v Aston Villa (8pm) and having studied this game from all angles I can't come to a firm conclusion about the result.

That might be the mark of a rubbish tipster – that's up for you to decide – but I hope it's more to do with the nature of the game and two sides who are tough to call.

QPR's season has been fairly disastrous with just four points from eight outings but at home they've been difficult to beat and were so unlucky to lose to Liverpool 3-2 last time out.

Villa started the season well but were then hit by a rotten run of fixtures and they've lost four in a row without scoring to Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City and Everton. To be fair Paul Lambert's side won't be judged on those results and it's games like QPR away where they'll be targeting points.

Lambert's men have netted just four league goals this season with Andreas Weimann and Gabriel Agbonlahor the only ones on target and that's why the return to Christian Benteke is welcomed. He looked rusty against Everton and that's to be expected after a long lay-off but the manager says QPR's defence will be spooked just seeing his name in the line-up.

QPR's defenders may also be spooked by seeing Rio Ferdinand in there although Loftus Road boss Redknapp has come to the defence of the veteran by insisting he's not to blame for the side's struggles.

So picking a winner is tough and while I slightly favour Villa I can't get away from the fact it could be a draw – or even a home win if QPR show the same commitment they had against Liverpool.

Villa are boosted by the return of Phillipe Senderos to partner Ron Vlaar in defence but Fabian Delph will be missed in midfield.

Opta stats reveal Villa have lost nine of their last 10 Premier League games against London sides and that's a worry.

Maybe the best bet is under 2.5 goals with two of England's three lowest scorers meeting (Burnley are joint worst with Villa) and that pays 4-5 with McBookie and BetVictor. Could it even go under 1.5? That's 9-4 at bet365 but an early goal would hurt that one.

I hate to be so doubtful when looking at a game but for me that's my only bet. If pushed I'd look at Agbonlahor to score at 13-5 with bet365.

Recommended Bet

Under 2.5 goals
(4-5, McBookie, BetVictor)

Leagues Tipped:
Avatar of Mr Fixit

Mr Fixit

5773 articles

Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.

24 Comments
  1. Avatar of egzonn6
    egzonn6 10 years ago

    So wrong tip , these 2 sides always score a lot of goals when playing each other , you’ll see , good luck

    • Avatar of Mr Fixit
      Mr Fixit 10 years ago

      egzonn6, it’s not wrong until it’s beaten. Anyway I’ve made it clear anything can happen tonight in that game.

  2. Avatar of Gary
    Gary 10 years ago

    Over 10 corners 4/5 bet 365

  3. Avatar of thechief
    thechief 10 years ago

    Haha didn’t see this thread, so will post here too :)

    Evening guys QPR V Aston Villa

    The Monday night football looks a tough one to call between two struggling sides and both will think they can pick up the three points. It could easily end 0-0 however I think it could be an open game.

    QPR played pretty well against Liverpool, especially Bobby Zamora. How Eduardo Vargas cant get a start is beyond me, the Chilean came off the bench to score twice against Liverpool and surely Harry starts him in place of Charlie Austin. If he starts I will be on him to score at 3/1 Bet365.

    QPR have scored two goals in both their last two home games against Liverpool & Stoke while villa have conceded at least two goals in their last four games. I think it will be an open game so I am taking QPR o1.5g at 6/4 Coral.

    VARGAS TO SCORE 3/1
    QPR TO SCORE O1.5g

    Good luck if your having a bet

  4. Avatar of Speedy
    Speedy 10 years ago

    Will be close 6 all !

  5. Avatar of double carpet
    double carpet 10 years ago

    Going to try btts and draw
    best of luck

  6. Avatar of thechief
    thechief 10 years ago

    Speedy that would be quite the game!

    DC, if it is 2-2 and Vargas scores I would be happy with that :)

  7. Avatar of jenster
    jenster 10 years ago

    Ive bet 2-2 at 14/1

  8. Avatar of weebanger
    weebanger 10 years ago

    over 2.5 goals for me 11/10. Pressure on Villa to score and that’ll produce an open game with s few goal… That’s my thinking anyway. Good luck

    Main bet over 2.5 goals
    Small bet QPR 2-1

  9. Avatar of bigmick
    bigmick 10 years ago

    you may laugh at this prediction, Q.P.R to win 5-1. give me a shout when its over to congratulate me. good luck all. btw that pays 150/1 with skybet.

  10. Avatar of double carpet
    double carpet 10 years ago

    Chief
    if he starts he must have a great chance of slotting one home

  11. Avatar of hasheyb
    hasheyb 10 years ago

    Time of first booking under 30 mins 5/6 paddy power 9 pts
    villa -2 18/1 betfred. stranger things have happened. 1pt

  12. Avatar of plums
    plums 10 years ago

    Not a tip, because I think this is tough to call. I do think there’s goals here though and it will be an open game. 3-2 to the Villa, Benteke to score!

  13. Avatar of Stormin
    Stormin 10 years ago

    4-4 written all over this

  14. Avatar of Steve
    Steve 10 years ago

    All over villa. Better counter attacking side, QPR all over the place, most of the team hate rednapp

  15. Avatar of Ramey
    Ramey 10 years ago

    And the winner isssssss. Of course mrf
    Standard m8 wd

  16. Avatar of Archie
    Archie 10 years ago

    São Paulo v golas golas have won last 3 times against São Paulo . Winning 2-1 , 1-0 ,0-1 and drew 2-2 so going for a goods win by 1 goal at. 7.5 also going for goins win at 5.5 small stakes and goins or draw at 2.25 . Last bets for today .

  17. Avatar of john m
    john m 10 years ago

    first goal 5-6 before 36mins san Paulo game

  18. Avatar of Granah
    Granah 10 years ago

    “So wrong tip , these 2 sides always score a lot of goals when playing each other , you’ll see , good luck”

    Well played son. Nice one Mr F. Had myself a fourfold of Shakhtar, Malmo, Nancy DNB and QPR DNB. Nancy came from 1-0 down with 15 mins to go to win 2-1! On a good run since the weekend, not sure on the cup games though. Good luck for tomorrow everyone.

    • Avatar of Mr Fixit
      Mr Fixit 10 years ago

      Granah, I got lucky to be honest as QPR missed some good chances to make it 3-0. But on a match I found tough to call I’m happy my one recommendation was a winner.

  19. Avatar of Ramey
    Ramey 10 years ago

    Unlucky archie 10mins gone 2-0 down

  20. Avatar of Thepuntersman
    Thepuntersman 10 years ago

    I had money on QPR 3-0 and 4-0 came so close 22/1 and 80/1 only had a tenner on each , but the plus side is mr f saved me with the under 2.5 keeping me in a slight profit … Cheers guv you the man

  21. Avatar of Archie
    Archie 10 years ago

    Ramey so right not the start I expected . After 37 min no shots on target . Not looking good

  22. Avatar of egzonn6
    egzonn6 10 years ago

    Well looks like I had the wrong thought , good job mr f

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