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I won't be touching the Sue Smith yard for some time, not until they land a fair few winners. Prairie Wolf was weak in the market, eventually going off as the outsider of the four who ran, and weakened very quickly before turning for home, going from competing to then be in last spot in a matter of strides.
I can't comment on the second runner as he runs just before midnight, so hopefully he runs a big run at the Breeders' Cup.
Rizzel's Tips
Leader In The Park 13/8 – Ascot 1.30
For me, this race has to be between the new two chase debutantes hailing from the Ben Pauling yard. Of that pair, I've gone with Leader In The Park to come out victorious.
Samarrive and What Path already have experience over fences, but neither of them have exactly pulled up any stumps, so I think it is best to go for a newcomer who could be a on lenient mark now jumping a fence. I decided to look past the Nicky Henderson runner as I didn't quite rate his performances over hurdles as much as I did Bad, and Nicky's yard is running a little below average at present. Bad had some good handicap form last year, including at this track, so it's very interesting that the first stable jockey, Ben Jones, has opted to ride the bottom weight, Leader In The Park, and that was a big indicator that this horse was the one to be on.
I really like it when trainers spend little time with their horse's over hurdles and they send them chasing with a limited amount of runs, and that's something which is happening with Leader In The Park. When a horse has only had four runs over hurdles and then they get chucked into a good race (on paper) like this, it tells you that they have always seen this horse as a chaser, but also they clearly think he's on an attractive mark, and then when the stable jockey is on board, that's the cherry on top of the cake.
Twig 13/2 – Wetherby 2.22
These type of races where it's a Grade 2 at the start of the season can often chuck up a few surprises as many in the race aren't ready for the race, with this being their first run out and a prep etc. So, at a bit of a price I thought Twig was worth a chance, now he's reverting over hurdles after a great season over fences.
It's actually surprising how well Twig did last year, as I didn't think he was capable of finishing as runner-up in the Ultima at the Cheltenham, especially on heavy ground. He is a 9-year-old, but a very lightly raced horse, so it might be the fact that he is still improving, which sounds ridiculous. He was prolific in the PTP world, all of his wins being on good ground in that sphere. He then made a good impression when running over hurdles, winning on good ground, so the ground for today's race will be spot on for him.
Last year, he proved himself to be versatile on the ground, but he also took his form to a new level. Ben Pauling had a cracking season last year, and had recently moved his stable, so maybe Twig was a big beneficiary of that. I think he can prove himself to be dangerous in this race despite being on the lower end of the ratings.
Williethebuilder 13/8 – Wetherby 3.32
I don't think this race is particularly strong, and it might look more competitve than it actually is. Personally, I think Williethebuilder has a very good chance of winning this, and that's probably why he is being so respected in the market, as many share the same opinion as me.
He was unlucky not to win last time out, not because he made a mistake late in the race, but more that he bumped into a horse who has shown an improved level form and was still lightly raced. We don't know how strong that form is as the winner hasn't run since, but going from those in behind, I think it can be rated as a good run. The third-placed horse runs earlier in the card, in the same race that I've tipped up Twig, but that's a tough race so I don't think you can read too much into it, but based on that run I think back in a handicap it won't be long before he is winning.
Last year Williethebuilder ran in some strong novice races, including the Grade 2 early into the season at Cheltenham, which saw him finish a respectable 4th/8, and then ran a decent race in a handicap at the same venue. His form did take a dip after that, but he did have a wind-op over the summer and it seemed to have worked nicely at this track last time out on his seasonal reappearance, so I think with that run under his belt he should be able to win a race of this level before progressing into tougher races.
Rosario baron 1-33 compiegne 🇫🇷 9-4. Bet365
French gold cup chase winner this year, won a listed hurdle on season debut and could repeat.
Hermes Baie is the danger as a specialist top notch hurdler but hasn’t had a run yet this season
All those 1111s scare me hopefully one more will be added today !
Race 1 Pune (8:00) red dust 5/2 this will NOT be getting beat ! 💰
Race 4 Pune 9:30 – ashwa kangto 8/1 e/w
Welcome to Saturday racing 😂
2:50 Newmarket – smoken 13/8 shit priced nap
Malystic 2.05 ascot Ew good luck
goblet of fire 3.32 nap
Not the dreaded goblet of piss !!!
o is it that one dazzman 1979 maybe this time might be goblet of champagne today mate
Hopefully azz . All the best with your picks
eydon 3.27 NB well done all winners yesterday
never let go 12.00 ew
Morning All. Its a usual tough Saturday for betting but some good racing to watch . Picked a few bets below but keeping it sensible today.
ASCOT
15.15. .Fiercely Proud. .4/1
16.20. .Youdecide. .5/1. .E/W
WETHERBY
13.15. .Kings Threshold. .5/1. .E/W
AYR
14.29. .Whistle Stop Tour. .2/1
15.39. .Myretown. .10/3
GL ALL .We will need it
Lakota blue 12.25 granddad’s cap 12.40 ew my kiwi girl 12.48 ew neon moon 3.45 ew
This is Elliott’s time of year .
How many Winn will he have today .
My picks
12-25 Lakota Blue 7/4
1-00 no bet Romeo should win this
1-35 Kala Conti 11/4
2-40 Gerri Colombe should take all the beating in this
3-20 pinkerton
Elliott could go through the card
Lakata blue must be after losing a leg out to 11/2 now 🤔
Tedley 1-25 wetherby 2-1
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Beacon edge 2-22 wetherby 3-1.
With the Non runners this fatty Elliott invader looks to have a good a shout as the other 3 here.
1-15 wetherby ⬆️⬆️
Both these won .
Off to footy now ⚽
good luck peeps
CITY OF TROY OR AN AMERICAN HORSE LATER ????
opinions please guys 👍👍
Sky Bet have boosted City of Troy out to 3-1, which is a red flag.
Hewick 2-40 down royal 🇮🇪
13-8 betting without gerri Colombe @william HILLS.
Match fitness may help last year’s king George winner sharpen up for a repeat tilt on boxing day.
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Pinkerton 3-20 down royal 15-8 SKYBET 🏇 NAP 🏇
This year’s Galway plate winner ran a cracker on the flat last week which serves as a pipe opener for this race.
Found a fifty is a better horse but hasn’t had a run and gives a stone to Pinkerton
Endless escape 3-15 ascot.
20-1 bet365 ew extra 6 places
5th 😁.
Caernarfon 0 penybont 2 the latest score in a cloudy north Wales.
bond spirit 4.50 ew well done all winners today
forever young 9.41
Same that jap horse forever young
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Del Mar -Race 4….Ways And Means 10/3 ****
Combo tricast NO: = 9-6- 10 and 4
Race 5…Cognurn 13/8
Race 7….Rebels Romance 11/4
Breeders Cup Classic…Race 8…Fiercnouss 3/1
Back later with combo Tricast
Race 10…Muckilkin. 4/1 **+
Back with write ups and coupl Looong shots a forecasts extra for minimum stajes and hopefully maximum profit!?
GL all and well done to winners today
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Kathmandu at 5/1 ** be a play in Race 3 but Auld Fluffy Socks is getting back of the boards and definitely capable fresh
Go a play with forecast/Tricast.
Race 3…. Combo tricast No: 1 -2- 10 and 9
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Race 5…Cogburn BEST 7/4 ****+. Be close to odds on I think by the off and 4/5 USA Tote
If sh breaks well she should be gone and clear with most others getting going to late over 5 Furlongs
Long Shot Race 5…Howard Wallawitz 40/1 Ew
4 places Bet365 (5 places 25/1?)
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**Dang it I should have checked!
Unibet doing money back as Free bet if 2nd or 3rd(£10 max) for Del Mar Race 4
Ways And Means should least be Top 3?
He’s currently 5/2.
GL Yoll 🧑🎄 😊 🇺🇸 🐎 💩 🫡
Alice verite 8.21 ew
wingspan 9.01 ew
Was going to put that up myself for an Ew AzzWigan 👍
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On ‘Rebels Romance’ but Luxembourg will get his ground here and must have chance at 6/1
Wingspan’ has terrible draw on a tight track BUT should be closing late which seems to be the way even with sprints are going tonight.
He’s 16/1 4 places at William Hills
Ew Play…
Race 8…Highland Falls 20/1 Ew ** 4 places Skybet
Race 9…War Like Goddess 5/1 ** Willy Hills
Race 11…Domestic Product 9/2 ***+
**Willy Hills were offering 4/5 there on Thorpedo Anna up to 20 minutes before the race while everyone else was 1/2 or shorter 🤔
WISH I seen it earlier as him and Lake Victoria last night as close to bankers as you’ll get. Stuck £12 on it should went 120!! 😋
GL
Each Way Yankee @ Del Mar
Luxembourg 21:01
Newgate 21:41
Content 22:25
Nakatomi 23:05
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Like Nakatomi RoithRover23 it’s a horse I’ve kept tabs and doesn’t win often but has finished in the money 3 times in 18 attempts and 2 them were 4th
He’s usually not an Ew price but 8/1 and Skybet go 5 places
On Nakatomi Ew ⬆️
Also …
Race 11..More Than Looks 8/1 Ew *** Skybet bet 4 places.
Was off a year before coming back in G2 company were he’s had a bit of seconditis but still lightly raced and distance looks good shout
Terrible ride from Ryan Moore on Luxembourg. Boxed in, didn’t give the horse a chance!
Great ride by Jose Ortiz on ‘More Than Looks’ who drifted to 14/1!
Redemption in the final race at Del Mar!! Thank you recoba for More Than Looks, excellent tipping!
**Apologies I’m thinking of CONTENT when saying “he will get his ground “ in mentioning Luxembourg above 👆 no matter
Content has they 2 big zeros in his figures for last runs but they were on heavy or worse obviously and obviously hates it.
Redemption in the final race at Del Mar!! Thank you recoba for More Than Looks, excellent tipping!
Red eye redemption! But can you redeem a lifetime of losses in one night ? I think not 😂😂
You could in one night Dazzman but be som going I like to go monthly and yearly the rest is nonsense history.
Was a great Friday and decent Saturday so one weekend at a time Dazzman and be spare money in my bank account one day! lol
Won £3100 n change start of September for approximately £10 bet so least this year will finish well in profit but you can bet your a$$ that won’t happen every year 😉
Don’t think about lifetime and last week loses Dazzman it’s pointless and not a problem.
Checking profit/loos yearly is bad enough!! ⛔️ 👀 ❤️
Don’t enjoy losing and every now again I’ll make an arse of it and say “never again!” 🙄
Also the years not done yet 🤔 😂
Your a mad man haha 😂
You would know mom frer 😉 👍