Derby County are currently enjoying a strong home form and will be keen to secure another positive result against Norwich, which are struggling to find consistency after a mixed run of results.
Derby's season so far has been straightforward – dominate at home, lose away. Paul Warne's lads maintain a 100% win rate at Pride Park, winning all three Championship matches to date, with a 5-0 goal difference. Fortunately, we don't have to talk about their away performances as the stats are ugly.
Few people expected the Rams to continue their dominance at home after getting promoted from League One with only 4 defeats in 23 matches. But the team is on a streak of 10 wins in a row in all competitions.
Norwich sit right next to Derby in the table and share an identical goal difference. Even their away performances have been similar – Norwich won one of the four away games they played this season.
We should probably set the 4-0 to Crystal Palace aside, of course. But they only beat Coventry in the Championship and lost to Swansea and Oxford United.
How the bookies view it: Best value this weekend?
Somehow, Norwich have the upper hand over all bookmakers, despite playing one of the toughest home sides in the league. Betano give them 29/19 to win at Pride Park. Alternatively, you can bet on Derby at 7/4 or the draw at 22/9.
Recent head to head: Finally back to the same league
This is a rivalry that often defies all logic, with both sides sometimes winning or losing as underdogs. Both sides have also been changing divisions in recent years, so the last match between them was in 2021. Norwich won the last one 0-1 but lost the previous two. Overall, the Rams won four of the last ten H2Hs, Norwich won two, and four ended in draws.
Players to watch: Derby's new stars
Midfielder Kenzo Goudmijn and winger Kayden Jackson have been an invariable part of Derby's success stories thus far, spending almost every available minute on the pitch this season.
Goudmijn scored a goal in each of the last couple of home matches while Kayden Jackson scored in three of the four games at Pride Park this season. Norwich rarely leave empty spaces but Jackson is the man to watch out for in the coming weeks.
Probable line-ups
Derby County: Widell Zetterstrom, Nyambe, Nelson, Cashin, Mendez-Laing, Adams, Ozoh, Goudmijn, Elder, Yates, Jackson
Norwich: Gunn, Cordoba, Doyle, Duffy, Fisher, McLean, Nunez, Sainz, Crnac, Schwartau, Sargent
Anything else catch the eye?
While we have no recent H2Hs to look at for signs or notable tendencies, the majority of the previous games between these sides had low scorelines.
Combined with some key stats from the performances this season, we expect this match to end with less than 2.5 goals. Darby have had an average of 1.7 goals per home game this season while Norwich have had 1.3 per away match.
There is a high possibility for a draw but we see Derby as one of the most valuable picks this weekend. Anyone looking for high odds should consider a Derby win. As for those who prefer safer picks, consider the Draw No Bet market as the Rams currently sit at 19/20 at Betano.
This England Championship match between Derby County and Norwich will be played on Sep 28, 2024 and kick off at 12:30. Check below for our tipsters best Derby County vs Norwich prediction. You may also visit our dedicated betting previews section for the most up to date previews.
