Cairnzy & Rizzel's Racing Tips

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It was a profitable day on Friday with the George Boughey stable debutante winning nicely under Billy Loughnane. As expected, the horse was ahead of the handicapper and won with plenty left, and the horse did very little when hitting the front.

Fakhama also ran a belter and landed us some place money at 16/1 at York in the Listed race. Kevin Stott had her positioned beautifully and she travelled nicely, as well as showing battling attributes when coming under pressure. The short-price favourite wasn't great, and it was the right decision to take her on.

As for the other two selections, they were very disappointing, especially Individualism. The Charlie Johnston horse ran a stinker, and I don't think that was a true showing as his gas tank emptied and emptied very quickly. The Shadwell John and Thady Gosden runner didn't progress how I expected, and the winner was comfortably beaten by many lengths by my selection last time out, so once again horse racing maths chucked up a strange result.

Cairnzy has been busy with real-world stuff and hasn't got the time to research the races and put up some selections for Saturday, so it's just the two fancies from Rizzel. As always, let us know what you fancy in the comments.

Friendly Soul 7/2 – Ascot 2.25

This is actually a very good-looking Group 3 for the Fillies and Mares, with a case to be made for a fair chunk of the runners. I am banking on a return to form for Friendly Soul who was lifeless at York last time out, but that was far from the real Friendly Soul that we saw the time before Newmarket.

Similarly to the Godolphin runner, Friendly Soul is extremely lightly raced with just three runs under her belt, and if you are willing to forgive her odds-on defeat at York in a Group 3 back in the middle of May, you've got to say she has a huge chance based on her performance the time before that. I thought she looked like a real top-draw filly at Newmarket when winning a Listed race, she did everything right that day, which must've come as a surprise as she was hardly fancied in the market, winning at odds of 10/1. Kieran Shoemark has been getting a lot of stick since becoming the Gosden main jockey, but he gave her a belting ride the time before last. He got her to the front and got her in a beautiful rhythm and when Kieran asked her to go and stretch, she did and showed a good turn of foot and then battled hard to the line, beating the runner-up by 1.25L, with the others being miles behind. Her turn of foot when entering the dip on the Rowley Mile gives me optimism that today's drop in trip will be no problem for her as she is coming back to a mile, but I'm hoping for similar tactics from the Newmarket race, which should ensure it's a stamina test, which she has the upper hand on the majority of these.

The form of the Newmarket race looks decent as the runner-up has franked the form by finishing 3rd/12 in a Group 2 at Royal Ascot, and then went to Hamilton in a Listed race where she thumped horses rated 104 and 107 by 4.5L and 6.5L, and that is closer than it should've been as she was eased down. The horse back in fourth of the Newmarket race is a stablemate of Friendly Soul and she has since finished a much closer 4th in a Listed race and then was 2nd/30 in a Royal Ascot handicap, just behind Soprano.

If the real Friendly Soul turns up, the 3/1 floating around could prove to be massive odds.

Passenger 13/8 – York 3.15

I'm more than happy to back Passenger at 13/8 in this four-runner race, and that might seem strange given he is carrying a penalty and sees him with a lump of weight on his back against some very useful horses, but I think he is a very classy horse.

I have always been a huge fan of Passenger since his run in the Dante on this track last year where he would've and should've won if getting a clear run, and he would've won by a number of lengths as he was cantering all over that Dante field, which in hindsight has turned out to be a decent bunch. Before touching on those horse in the Dante, it's best to mention his run in the Derby as it wasn't a great effort. In my opinion, it was too soon for him, for such an inexperienced horse to go to the Derby where the occasion can get to a horse, as well as the undulations of Epsom where the track can be tricky for horses with a limited amount of runs, I think he could easily have been excused. He put that right when winning a Group 3 at Windsor later in the season and this year he returned with a career-best at Chester when beating a good field in a Group 2.

The form of the Chester win looks good as the runner-up has since won the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot in taking fashion, pretty much winning it doing handstands. Going back to the Dante, the form looks strong as White Birch who was the runner-up has since finished 3rd in the Derby, and this year has won a Group 3, 2 and 1, beating Auguste Rodin on his latest start, which is undoubtedly a cracking piece of form, yet when Passenger was racing against him in the Dante, he would've made him look ordinary.

Horse Racing Tips
Friendly soul
Ascot - 2:25 pm

7/2 @ Bet365

Passenger
York - 3:15 pm

13/8 @ Bet365

32 Comments
  1. recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸 🧢

    Trebles
    4 Folds
    Acca x 1

    Colonial Downs -Race 8…Incinerator 4/1
    Race 9…Tres Francais 9/4
    Evangeline -Race 5…Diamond Country 2/1
    Race 7…Run Bryce Tun 15/8
    Race 8…Alterana 7/4

    Wee bit before these kick off so likely catch them on ATR replays tomorrow

    GL yoll later tomorrow 👍

    1
  2. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Goliath 3-40 Ascot.
    20-1 ew extra 4 places.

    Graffard sends this over from France.
    Ran a cracker in the group 2 Hardwicke at royal Ascot.
    Improving with each race, this is a massive jump in class so I can only think the trainer thinks he’s competitive or why bother.

    As for a winner Augusta Rodin either wins or fines last he’s that quirky.
    The Appleby horse rebel romance is 5/5 in the UK .
    Bluestocking is an improver.
    So hopefully Goliath comes 4th 🤣

    20
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Or 1st maybe 💥

      4
    • Mike33 2 months ago

      Well done. Fantastic pick.

      2
  3. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Chancellor 4-15 Ascot 11-8 NAP 🏇.
    was hoping for nearer 2-1 but was so impressive on debut I’d have taken EVENS to be honest..

    2
  4. hibee1 2 months ago

    No time today so very quickly

    The Glen Rovers 2pm 9/4 .Connections have been openly bullish with this. This opening mark is very lenient according to them. Yard have something close to 50% strike rate at the track. Last 5 season they are 3 from 4 here. Sent all the way from down here at Newmarket up to the North East. 1.5 points win very confident bet

    Tryfan 2.30 Newcastle 4/1. 0.5 point win. Favourites form doesn’t stack up. Up again another 8lb. Have to take it on at the price. Tryfan highly regarded by trainer. Expects him to be 90+ rated this season. Few hard luck stories so far. Back down in trip today. Ran in a much better race last run fading in the final 2 furlong. Should be there or thereabouts.

    10
    • hoggie93 2 months ago

      Cracker mate 👏👏

      2
  5. double carpet 2 months ago

    Friendly Soul 10/3 2.25 ascot

    Just didn’t handle york so putting a line through that run. Hopefully today he can get out of the gates and boss things from the front.

    Duraji 13/2 ew 3.25 gowran

    Stayed on strongly to win his maiden. Just the 2 runs so far so still open to plenty of improvement and being a full brother to Ghaiyyath should be fine with the step up in trip.

    I’m leaving the King George alone, too many if’s, buts and maybe’s for me.
    If I was to have a bet I’d probably try Sunway ew at the odds. Stayed on well in the Irish Derby and we don’t really know if the older horses are superior to the 3yr olds.

    It’s my Grand Daughters 1st birthday today so off to do the Grandad thing and spoil her rotten ❤️

    BOL

    9
    • hibee1 2 months ago

      My 4th great grand child was actually born this morning at 1.12 am. So it’s his literal birthday or you could even say he is 0 today haha. Gotten me a day off work. Hope the little one has a wonderful day. And, not that it is of any importance, I hope your bets go close for you.

      7
    • double carpet 2 months ago

      Duraji now a NR so just the 1 bet today.
      There’ll be plenty of opportunities next week for bets with Goodwood and Galway so will leave it at that.

      1
  6. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Dilawar 12-40 clairefontaine 11-8 Ladbrokes 🇫🇷
    More than good enough to win this, got to get over his seconditis though

    pay to learn 13-50 clairefontaine 4-1.
    Favourite hamavi has run in better races but 5 pound weight pull gives this a squeak

  7. double carpet 2 months ago

    Cheers Hibee
    Family is what life’s all about. Racing is just an enjoyable pastime
    GL today

    5
    • hibee1 2 months ago

      Sure is DC. Family and my animals is all that is needed.

      Designated taxi driver for the family today so I’ll best get going, Have a good one gents

      4
  8. recoba 2 months ago

    🇬🇧
    With you on Friendly Soul DC. 👌
    Have it on with Paddy Power’Money back as free bet if finishes Top 4 @ 16/5 (£10 max bet)
    1.50… Simmer 6/4. Money back if 2nd or 3rd Skybet
    Added for multiples…

    3.40…Augusta Rodin 6/4 *****
    3.15…Passenger 9/4
    4.15…Chancellor 7/4
    Elnajmm 7/4

    Small stakes ⬆️ on them them in trebles ,4 folds, 5 folds and an accumulator just in case!!

    GL all today 🍀 🐎

  9. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    Bevan 12.40 France well done all winners yesterday

  10. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    middle earth 3.40

  11. recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸

    Alfred G Vanderbilt Stakes G1
    Saratoga -Race 6 …Skelly 11/8 ***+ Coral
    Nakatomi looked good in Meydan on comeback fading in final furlong so combination forecast/tricast with Skelly and Baby Yoda
    No: = 6- 1- 4
    G2 Jim Dandy Stakes. Race 10…Sierra Leona *** 11/8 Coral
    If and it’s a big IF after last run – Fierceness turns up its probably just between Top 2 or he could win with Bet365 offering 9/4 best I see,Seize The Gray is a good closer and Batton unexposed
    Reverse Forecast and small combo tricast No: = 6 -1 and 2

    GL

    1
    • recoba 2 months ago

      Meant to say straight double pays 4.67/1 ⬆️ Coral Bet

  12. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    shimering 1.50

    1
  13. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    devoted queen 2.25

  14. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    Roger Henry 2.00

    1
  15. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    never dark 2.05 ew

  16. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    master of combat 4.35 ew well done all winners today

  17. recoba 2 months ago

    Easy as DC 👍 🇬🇧 🇮🇪
    UK stuff started so well but Acca looking a bust but mustn’t grumble with the 2 singles

    🇺🇸
    Ew Trixie and small singles

    Gulfstream -Race 1…Slimjimm 8/1 Ew ***
    Favourite one to beat and 15/8 would been okay but now 11/10
    Race 6…Caspisci 16/1 **+ Bet365 or 12/1 Coral bet for extra place
    Ellis Park -Race 9…Pendulum 11/2 ***+

    GL yoll 🫡 🇺🇸 👩‍⚖️

    1
    • recoba 2 months ago

      Yahtzee 🎲 🇺🇸 ⬆️

      2
    • recoba 2 months ago

      🇺🇸
      Ew Trixie…
      Pendulum NR and SO close with the 16/1 which been tremendous Ew double BUT plenty profit

  18. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Just the one winner today but it was a 20-1 winner.
    Had worse Saturdays 🤣🇫🇷

    3
    • hibee1 2 months ago

      Great shout really well done.

      Well done DC as well, 1 bet 1 winner.
      2 thrillers from my bets, one just gets up other just caught on the line. Apologies for missing anyone else out

      1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Hope you had some decent money on it

  19. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Old Elvis will be on the goblets of piss tonight with his winnings 😂😂

    1
  20. echo42 2 months ago

    Good work today guys, and congrats Hibee.

    1
  21. recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Saratoga-Race 11..Willintoriskitall 4/1 ***+
    Race 12…Summer Whitl 6/4 **

    Small double too.

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