Heavyweights Daniel Dubois and Filip Hrgovic go toe-to-toe in a fascinating clash this Saturday, part of the highly-anticipated 5 vs 5 event in Saudi Arabia. The winner of this bout might get a chance at fighting for the IBF heavyweight title next, so both will be keen on securing the win here. With the stakes high, let’s have a look at our Hrgovic vs Dubois prediction.
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Tale of the Tape
Filip Hrgovic comes to Saudi Arabia for the fourth time in his career this Saturday night. Having scored three big wins in his past three visits to the kingdom, the Croatian fighter will be confident of extending his 17-0 record. The Hrgovic vs Dubois odds place him as the ultimate favourite as well, sitting at 2/5 (1.40).
Daniel Dubois doesn’t have an invincible record to flaunt, but he has won 20 out of the 22 fights he has contested so far. The Dynamite is at 3.10 (21/10) to hand Hrgovic his first career defeat. Dubois is ranked 10th in the latest The Ring rankings, while Hrgovic comes in at sixth.
Hrgovic vs Dubois Hot Tip: Hrgovic to Win by Stoppage in Round 11
Dubois has lost twice in his career, and on both occasions, he went down in the late stages of the fight. We expect him to put some early pressure on Hrgovic before the Croatian fights back and defeats him by stoppage late in the fight.
Hrgovic vs Dubois: Key Stats
- Daniel Dubois is five years younger than Filip Hrgovic, so should be a little lighter on his feet.
- Even though Dubois is the younger of the two, he has featured in five more fights than Hrgovic.
- Dubois boasts a fearsome knockout ratio of 95%, while Hrgovic isn't far behind with an impressive 82% knockout percentage.
Fight Odds and Win Probability
Filip Hrgovic: 2/5 (1.40) – Implied probability 71.4%
Daniel Dubois: 21/10 (3.10) – Implied probability 32.3%
Draw: 20/1 (21.00) – Implied probability 4.8%
* Hrgovic vs Dubois betting odds from bet365, subject to change.
Keys to Victory
While this fight has the potential to continue until the final bell, it could end just before the fight goes the distance. Our Hrgovic vs Dubois prediction is a late stoppage win for Hrgovic, given the vulnerability Dubois shows in late stages of fights. He is five years younger than Hrgovic, but given the Croat’s incredible stamina levels, it should not make much of a difference.
Filip Hrgovic: Weather the Early Storm
Despite compiling an undefeated record of 17-0, Filip Hrgovic has missed out on a world title shot thus far. However, victory over Dubois this weekend could well propel him into contention finally.
The task at hand, however, is far from easy. Dubois is an agile fighter, with incredible punching power. Hrgovic, however, has the technical acumen to survive the early onslaught. If he manages to take the fight to the dying rounds, he should be able to take advantage.
Daniel Dubois: Keep Hold of the Momentum
Our Hrgovic vs Dubois prediction has Dubois as an underdog. That said, he has enough reason to believe he can put a dent in Hrgovic’s title aspirations.
Dubois can draw inspiration from his performance against Oleksandr Usyk. Even though Dubois got knocked out in the ninth round, he fought valiantly against a world class fighter. Hrgovic is unlikely to present such a formidable challenge.
If Dubois can get off to a good start, the key will be to retain momentum. Allowing Hrgovic a way back into the fight might not bode well for the Briton. So, he needs to make the most of any dominant periods in the fight.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
