IT'S tempting to go with big guns Chelsea and Liverpool on Sunday – but there is a case for leaving them alone.
That's the difficulty of Premier League betting these days where increasingly most sides can beat any of the others.
Chelsea travel to Everton and Liverpool head for QPR and I'm tempted by two aways even though neither is a given.
There is no doubt Chelsea have steadied the ship under Rafael Benitez and look ready to kick on after four successive wins.
A trip to Goodison is one of the toughest of the season but the Blues won't need to worry about the physical presence of Marouane Fellaini.
Everton remain unbeaten at home and bookies are finding it difficult to separate the pair but I'm willing to take a chance on BetVictor's 8-5 offer on a Chelsea success.
Plenty of people will make the case for a draw anyone who wants to sit on the fence can back two top sides at 23-10 with bet365 to cancel each other out.
Fernando Torres’s Liverpool past will ensure he is the target for the boo boys and he is 13-2 at BetVictor to score first. On current form it's he or Juan Mata at 8-1 with Paddy Power and BetVictor.
Torres is 9-5 at Paddy Power net at any time while Mata is 11-4 at Coral.
Liverpool were really poor last time out as they crashed 3-1 at Stoke and will need a huge improvement at relegation-haunted QPR.
Harry Redknapp’s side have suffered back-to-back defeats and will need a miracle to escape the drop.
Liverpool are the better side but I don't know if 1-1(various) is big enough to back them at Loftus Road.
QPR are hardly worth a look at 3-1 with Skybet having won just once all season while the draw pays 14-5 with BetVictor.
Liverpool have conceded on their last five trips to London while QPR don't keep man clean sheets so consider both teams to score at 4-5 with the likes of William Hill and bet365.
The one game in the SPL sees inconsistent Dundee United entertain a battling St Mirren side.
On Boxing Day the Buddies did well to draw 2-2 at Inverness and they'll need to be at their best against an Arabs outfit who'd be doing better if they could shore things up at the back.
United's last two homes games have been draws – 1-1 against Dundee United and 4-4 with Inverness after leading 3-0 inside 10 minutes.
So boss Peter Houston will be desperate for them to go one better and I reckon they can edge the victory. United are 1-1 at William Hill and I fancy both teams to score at 8-11 with Betfred and Stan James.
Skipper Jon Daly is United's best bet for a goal and is 6-4 at boylesports to net at any time while Saints top scorer Steven Thompson is 5-2 with Skybet.
Recommendations
Torres to score
(9-5, Paddy Power)
Both to score at QPR
(4-5, William Hill, bet365)
Daly to score
(6-4, boylesports)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Top Treble
Novara to win
brescia to win
Liverpool over 2.5
Long shot
novara win
brescia win
lirvono win
liverpool over 2.5
chelsea over 2.5
bari over 2.5
dundee utd win
central coast mariners win
port vale win
coventry win
Going with Mata to score first at Goodison.
Chelsea to win, QPR/Liverpool to draw.
If I were to pick scores, it would be Everton 0-2 Chelsea and QPR 1-1 Liverpool.
Chelsea won’t win at goodison Everton double chance is the way to go
Mat, it’s a game that could go either way but it’s silly to say “Chelsea won’t win”. They might win, they might not, but you can’t rule it out.
Mata and gerrard wincast double. 9to2 both at betfred!
Chelsea to win 2-1 or 3-1.
Am on £20 Torres anytime Chelsea win at 4s, and £20 Suarez anytime Liverpool win. £20 straight pool Chelsea double and £10 on the wincast double and prob stick a few quid on the defenders to score first close matches take a set piece to break up. Chelsea great bet!
Cant help but think the chelsea game will end 1-0 either way or 0-0 – over 1.5 to much of a risk? what do u think? cheers
Sorry should say 1-0 or 1-1
I’m not touching Liverpool but I fancy Chelsea at 6/4. Torres and Chelsea at 4/1 with Hills is also appealing. That’s my bets for today. Good luck everyone!
Just put £20 EW Torres FGS at 7/1 with willy hill!
am also trying
torres 1st goal score @ 100 units
suares 1st goal score @ 100 units
dundee utd win @ 20 units
brescia wins @ 100 units
livorno win @ 50 units
novara wins @ 100 units
final stake of 2012 wish me luck guys.
Chelsea
Sassaolou
Livorno
Brescia
Ascoli
Verona
Dundee utd
what u think about these two mrfixit
pro vercelli win @5.00
arouca win @3.80
Jeff, I said earlier Serie B isn’t a league I know much about. I need to keep up to date with Serie A and other major leagues so don’t have time to look at lower levels outside the UK.
thanks for the info man. im new here dnt knw much about the rules :p
chillax
Gone for my gut and went for
Chelsea/qpr double
Torres/Suarez/daly anytime treble
Torres/Suarez 1st scorer dbl
And Everton /qpr /Dundee utd Btts treble
Good luck all
I regret backing Torres! Distan has got him in his pocket!
jumping ahead to new years day
Crystal palace at home to Wolves, 10/11 with BET365
Wolves lost 0 2 to Ipswich yesterday and the report says they were shockin and did not have a shot on target, and Ipswich are a mid table team
Palace were 21/20 earlier this mornin
QPR double chance for me @ 5/6…steal as I cant see Liverpool winning (only my opinion)
also got Dundee Utd @ 10/11 and Everton game btts @ 4/6 (already up)
Torres a big let down
Livorno not doing good
Torres must be one of the worst strikers/finishers in the bpl, embarrassing to watch him on the ball
got my top treble well done suarez 1st goal scorer
Was on livorno too in double wi sassulo at 6/4 but stuck £20 on double chance at 13/8 when they went 2-1 down. Had £10 suarez 1st gl at 4/1 wi PP and double the odds cos he scored again so no bad day so far, went fiver over 5 5 gls and fiver on a gl in 1st 10 mins of 2nd half, may do single on verona or wait to get some in play action
Bet a lot of guys have btts to score today in the 3 games. So hope they score. But they have no chance to win the game!
£10 on verona single at evens and if they win will have bet on darts tonight
QPR goal would be nice but cant see it.
Mr fix it did you get my email?
Just thinking of BTTS bets, not much money to be made unless you do big accumulators for reasonably big stakes, alot of guys on here seem to know their stuff, new years resolution….listen more :-)
I don’t tend to go for big accumulators, always 1 that lets you down you can guarantee it. Not really into BTTS either for that reason, you have to put on 5 / 6 teams and for a tenner that gets you around £150 – £200.
I like to stick to singles, doubles and the odd treble on the football, but then i bet big too.
Nice double today Chelsea and liverpool, didn’t touch anything else though.
My mate had a lovely double of Fat Frank and suarez, 2 goals or more.
Just stick to doing Doubles, whatever you can afford and then play with winnings…. put a tenner on a double, get £40 back, put that on an evens single etc….. easier way of going forward then big accumulators !
Big accumulators aren’t for the hardcore gamblers, they don’t even touch them, i know people that won’t even touch a treble, just stick on doubles all the time, and if you look through the fixtures at weekends, you always find at least 2 great evens shouts to put on.
Thot Chelsea pool was good double, £20 paid £10″ but if Torres scored woulda had Torres Chelsea n Suarez Liverpool. Still profit!! Keep FRANK LAMPARD!!
Would never have thought of putting on a Lampard double, put a small stakes bet on Chelsea to score 3 at half time, 6/1 and lost by 1 goal
I meant i put the bet on at half time for them to get 3….lol
I really fancy an MVG 6-0 against wade tonight @17/2, and Taylor is going to beat Barney, Barney always plays scared everytime he plays Taylor.
Taylor 6-3 @5/1
Taylor 6-4 @5/1
Worth abit on both of them !
Gonna be another great night of darts !!
New years day i’m on:
CARDIFF
HULL
Double
—————–
And…….. will wait on the horses till new years day morning to see whats on and off ! More heavy rain tomorrow, so expect alot of meetings to go, and alot of the football in the lower leagues and divisions 1 / 2.
milesey you so right am going to stick to doubles bcos i lost big time on trebles this half of the season, i got well on horses today.
will also want to know terms push on horse racing ?
well it doesnt mean i wont try my trebles but will just stop to be greedy.
Flyboivince, there’s no email from you. Try sending to mrfixit@dailyrecord.co.uk
Did you get my email with my bet365 username for my free £10 ?
Milesey, admin deal with those so hopefully they have it.
What horse meetings did you do today ?
I didn’t do any, just a double on the football, and didn’t watch either game, just got score updates while out shopping with the missus.
Thank god i have a nice night to have a few jd’s and watch the darts.
Milesey
Home run won
if you let me push
beat the bell push
mater flight push
bussa won
misley what the meaning of the term push?
mr fix it i sent you a new email to the the given email you just provided
Mr Fixit will probably be able to tell you more about push betting then myself ?
I thought that was on a parlay bet !
Parlays are a very popular kind of bet – they have a good potential for big payoffs compared to the size of the wager, and they are quite a simple form of bet.
To place a parlay, you bet on two or more teams to win their games – all of the teams must win, or at least tie, for you to win the bet. If one of the teams loses, then the bet is lost.
There are two different kinds of parlay. You can wager against the point spread, or against the money line. When wagering against the spread, the payoff is fixed, with the payout increasing the more teams you bet on. The payoff can range from 13-5 on a 2 team parlay to 600-1 on a 10 team parlay. This means that if you bet on two teams, you can win $13 for each $5 you bet. If you bet on 10 teams and win, then you will get $600 for every $1 you had wagered.
Bets against the money line do not use fixed odds, instead your overall payoff is calculated based on the odds of each team. This is because a spread assumes a 50-50 chance on each team, while money line bets just require the team to win or lose – without points being taken into consideration.
A money line parlay will, in simple terms, take the amount of your bet and place it on one team, then re-calculate your bet for the next team, until the bet has been placed on all of the teams. This can often work out better in terms of payoff than a points spread parlay, especially if one of the teams is not favoured to win.
Point spread parlays are usually not worth betting on, as they offer a weaker payout than the true odds for the parlay. Your chances of winning a three or more team parley are quite low, and the payoff does not reflect this. The 600-1 payout on a ten team parlay may sound attractive, but your real chances of winning are more like 1000-1.
You may get better payouts on a money line parley, and it is worth running the numbers before betting to find out, but in general, a straight bet is the best idea. It only takes one loss to lose an entire parley bet – if you lose a straight up bet then all you have lost is the wager for that game – you have not, in the process, lost any other wagers you made at the same time.
PARLAY PUSH
In the event that any part of the parlay bet is voided or is a push (as in the example below), the parlay bet will still stand and any winning selections will be carried forward to the remaining selections, as in the case of the following Treble:
•Bet 1: Chelsea (-0.5) – Chelsea win.
•Bet 2: Manchester United (-1) – Manchester United win 1-0.
•Bet 3: Arsenal (-0.5) – Arsenal win.
As Manchester United only win 1-0 with a (-1) Asian Handicap, that part of the parlay bet is a push. Therefore, the “Chelsea win” bet is carried forward to the “Arsenal win” bet and the parlay bet becomes a winning Double on Chelsea and Arsenal instead of the initial parlay bet of a Treble. The push part of the bet is calculated by multiplying the carried over stake by 1.
4.1 Double
A Double consists of one bet involving two selections from different events. Both selections must be successful to guarantee a return.
4.2 Treble
A Treble consists of 1 bet involving 3 selections in different events. All must be successful to guarantee a return.
4.3 Accumulator / Parlay
An Accumulator is one bet with four or more different selections. All selections must be successful to guarantee a return. An Accumulator with four selections is referred to as a Four-Fold, or 4-Fold; an accumulator with five selections is known as a Five-Fold, or 5-Fold, and so on up to Ten-Fold, or 10-Fold.
4.4 Trixie
A Trixie is a combined parlay bet on three different selections, consisting of 4 separate bets. It is broken down into 3 Doubles and 1 Treble. There must be a minimum of two successful selections to guarantee a return.
4.5 Yankee
A Yankee is a combined parlay bet on four different selections, consisting of 11 separate bets. It is broken down into 6 Doubles, 4 Trebles and 1 Four-Fold. There must be a minimum of two successful selections to guarantee a return.
4.6 Super Yankee (or Canadian)
A Super Yankee is a combined parlay bet on five different selections, consisting of 26 separate bets. It is broken down into 10 Doubles, 10 Trebles, 5 Four-Folds and 1 Five-Fold. There must be a minimum of two successful selections to guarantee a return.
4.7 Heinz
A Heinz is a combined parlay bet on six different selections, consisting of 57 separate bets. It is broken down into 15 Doubles, 20 Trebles, 15 Four-Folds, 6 Five-Folds and 1 Six-Fold. There must be a minimum of two successful selections to guarantee a return.
4.8 Super Heinz
A Super Heinz is a combined parlay bet on seven different selections, consisting of 120 separate bets. It is broken down into 21 Doubles, 35 Trebles, 35 Four-Folds, 21 Five-Folds, 7 Six-Folds and 1 Seven-Fold. There must be a minimum of two successful selections to guarantee a return.
4.9 Goliath
A Goliath is a combined parlay bet on eight different selections, consisting of 247 separate bets. It is broken down into 28 Doubles, 56 Trebles, 70 Four-Folds, 56 Five-Folds, 28 Six-Folds, 8 Seven-Folds and 1 Eight-Fold. There must be a minimum of two successful selections to guarantee a return.
4.10 Block (9)
A Block (9) is a combined parlay bet on nine different selections and consisting of 502 separate bets. It is broken down into 36 Doubles, 84 Trebles, 126 Four-Folds, 126 Five-Folds, 84 Six-Folds, 36 Seven-Folds, 9 Eight-Folds and 1 Nine-Fold. There must be a minimum of two successful selections to guarantee a return.
4.11 Block (10)
A Block (10) is a combined parlay bet on ten different selections and consisting of 1013 separate bets. It is broken down into 45 Doubles, 120 Trebles, 210 Four-Folds, 252 Five-Folds, 210 Six-Folds, 120 Seven-Folds, 45 Eight-Folds, 10 Nine-Folds and 1 Ten-Fold. There must be a minimum of two successful selections to guarantee a return.
Na still no luck lol loverno and a stuck £20 on qor that was madness mr rednapp got his work cut out way team
m v g
M V G 9 DART FINISH ,. get in !!
BRILLIANT !! MVG ! MVG ! MVG !
Fuckin magic from van gerwen thier
nearly 2 9 dart finishes in a row !! WOW ! MVG, done MVG for the 9 dart at the beggining of the championship @11/2 big pay out coming in !! LOVE IT !!
2 would have been brilliant from van gerwen
20quid double chelsea. liverpool. get in.
Mvg 1/4 worth a bet? I don’t know the score though
4 – 3 MVG 1/9 to win now
@flyboivince
A quinella is commonly used in horseracing and is similar to an exacta or perfecta, in that the punter must select the winning two horses. The difference is that the winning two horses can be in any order.
*Do you do these ? very profitable on races where there are 2 good horses but your not too sure in what order they will finish in !
Mitchell i got my top treble for the day , thanks milesey
I’m getting on :
Taylor 6-3
Taylor 6-4
both @5/1, gonna put abit on each !
9 DART Finish MVG you beautyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy !
I told you all beginning of the Darts Championship to get on it @ 11/2, they should pay out now for he has done it, but guess no money coming till the end of the game and all bets all settled !! BIG BIG MONEY !! think i’m gonna get a few tickets for the euro’s on tuesday, 25 uk millionaires !
Decent win on verona earlier in play -1 & over 3.5 gls at ht and had Wade +2.5 legs. Gone for 6-3 6-4 taylor and taylor most 180’s for a bit of value at 12/5
Barney needs to get it together or he is going to get steam rollered 6 nil here. Looks scared like he always does when he plays Taylor !!
@milesey I select mt best horse I think will win and put him on places . I will need more explaining on your quenilla .
31 Dec 12 Vesper Bell (IRE) Win £ SP
12:35 Punchestown – Buy Your 2013 Annual Membership Beginners Chase
31 Dec 12 Simenon (IRE) Win £ SP
13:35 Punchestown – Follow Punchestown On Facebook Hurdle
31 Dec 12 Fatcatinthehat (GB) Win £ SP
14:05 Punchestown – Festival Hospitality On Sale 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle
31 Dec 12 Hazariban (IRE) E/W £ SP
14:05 Punchestown – Festival Hospitality On Sale 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle
Going to check the odds first thing tomorrow on FATCATINTHEHAT and HAZARIBAN in the 14.05, for going to take them as 1,2, in any order !
Eell done flybiovince ,loverno done me big time but spilt milk anyway new years day lol but well done but a did say dundee utd not playing well sold too many good players
Like I said Mitchell I rather go for a over 2.5 , am working on my New Year’s Day games and also some horse racing .
New yr day coupon, up over a ton yday so put £6 on arsenal west brom spurs Peterborough Swindon coventry morton and btts at leeds/bolton for £312.80, gatta go fur it. Off to spend ma hogmaney watching the singing kettle live up livi as its wee mans 2nd bday, spoilt rotten for 2nf time in less than a wk
Craig, Peterborough done us big style on Saturday but keeper was sent off conceding a penalty after a short passback after 10 minutes so put it down to that. I remember the days of going to the Singing Kettle – nightmare!
Flybiovince keep me posted way ur tips
PP refunding all losing bets at 2 races today, not read t and c’s but will be up shortly on Twitter & FB
Ipswich 13/8 v Brighton 13/8
Get on both and hope it doesn’t end in a draw !!
Btts Ipswich v Brighton hope so anyway a have it on
800 on both and make 500, thats the aim of the game anyway !
Great start Vesper Bell WINS @ 3/1
————————————-
31 Dec 12 Vesper Bell (IRE) Win £
12:35 Punchestown – Buy Your 2013 Annual Membership Beginners Chase
31 Dec 12 Simenon (IRE) Win £ 5/1
13:35 Punchestown – Follow Punchestown On Facebook Hurdle
31 Dec 12 Fatcatinthehat (GB) Win £ 8/15
14:05 Punchestown – Festival Hospitality On Sale 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle
31 Dec 12 Hazariban (IRE) E/W £ 6/1
14:05 Punchestown – Festival Hospitality On Sale 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle
FATCATINTHEHAT and HAZARIBAN 14.05, 1,2, in any order !
FATCATINTHEHAT down at the last !! was 10 lengths clear, not even funny but oh well hahahahahahahahaha, HAPPY NEW YEAR !!
oooh Sh*t!!…back luck Milesey :-(
Ya fancy MVG for Darts Milesy?? 10/11??. The fellas on fire. Watched Taylor make a tw&t o hissel last night…apologising this morning..”Raymonds a big lad and he hurt me when he squeezed my hand etc” hahaha :-) Taylors no exaclty built like a jockeys whip hissel is he?? Changing of the guard 2moro I hope. Hope MVG stuffs him. I’ll go 7-4 MVG
Took your simenon tip! Didn’t do to well haha!