ON Sunday I asked if we could trust Norwich. The answer was yes – and they didn't let us down.
Tonight I ask the same question about Newcastle – but the answer is different.
Alan Pardew's men are on a terrible run and even at home to Wigan it's difficult to put much faith in them.
Newcastle are as big as 11-10 at BetVictor with but that's because they have suffered four defeats in a row – including losses at home to West Ham and Swansea.
Pardew's squad has been rocked by injuries and he's still without the likes of Hatem Ben Arfa, Johan Cabaye and Steven Taylor while James Perch is banned.
Wigan arrive on Tyneside on the back of a thrilling 3-2 win over Reading and they'll have backers at 29-10 with Stan James.
It tempts me but maybe the best shout is for a draw at 12-5 with Skybet because the Latics aren’t convincing enough on the road. They have won two and lost four but there have been two 2-2 draws in the last three meetings of the sides at St James's Park.
So consider the draw or you could keep Wigan on side by taking draw no bet at 7-4 with Paddy Power or draw no bet or supporting them plus one goal at 4-5 at Betfred.
In normal circumstances a Newcastle win would be the way to go but they haven't been their usual selves and may struggle until star turns Cabaye and Ben Arfa return.
But up front they still have deadly duo Demba Ba and Papiss Cisse and they could test a makeshift back four missing Ivan Ramis and Antolin Alcaraz. Skipper Gary Caldwell will face a late fitness test and if he fails to make it that's three centre-halves down for Roberto Martinez.
Ba is 9-2 with bet365 and Paddy Power to score first while Cisse is 11-2 at Skybet. To score at any time the pair are 13-10 at Paddy Power and 13-8 at sportingbet respectively.
Wigan of course possess a threat of their own and last week's hat-trick hero Jordi Gomez will be looking to add to his tally. He is 11-1 with bet365 to bag the opener and 11-4 at BetVictor to score.
Arouna Kone is 11-4 at Paddy Power to net while Franco di Santos, who sparked the recovery against Reading, is the same price.
With so many decent strikers on the pitch and a string of defenders missing there should be goals. Both teams to score pays 8-11 (various) while over 2.5 goals is 9-10 at bet365 and William Hill.
There is one FA Cup tie tonight and Cheltenham should beat Hereford to set up a meeting at home to Everton.
The League Two side have won their last two at home and are a biggest 4-6 with Coral, William Hill and BetVictor.
Hereford deserve respect after beating Shrewsbury in the last round but that was on home soil and they're missing a few first-choice players, with top scorer Ryan Bowman facing a fitness test.
In La Liga Sevilla are 4-5 with Ladbrokes and Coral to beat Real Valladolid at home and it looks worth taking although they have some selection problems. Sevilla have won four of their last five at home while Real have lost their last two on the road, 3-0 at Real Betis and 2-1 at Getafe.
Recommendations
Super Single
Wigan draw no bet
(7-4, Paddy Power)
Sevilla
(4-5, Coral, BetVictor)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
4FOLD
Dynamo Bucharest
Chletenham
Newcastle
Sevilla
TREBLE – Astra-Erciyesspor-Aalborg
SINGLE – Guingamp
BTTS
Gilwice-Warsaw
Genclerbirligi-Trabzonspor
Ashdod-Hapoel
Cottbus-Berlin
I hope your right with regards Seville, feeling slightly more confident now I am waiting on them to complete a five timer .. MKDONS,CARDIFF,LEYTON,NAPOLI,RANGERS and SEVILLE fingers crossed tonight then, niceone Paul ;)
Gregg, on current form Sevilla should win but have few injuries and suspensions so I’ll feel more confident once I see the starting line-ups.
Six timer :)
I also like the look of seville.
Danny did u see ma 6 for the night. What u think how much would u put on it if anything
Aalborg
Cheltenham
Guingamp
Dordrecht
Astra
Sevilla
What u think Mr fix it would u ever do a punt on a line like this
the 6 fold pays 18/1 Aalborg is the dodgy wan oan it take them aff an stick a 5 note on the 5fold at 9/1 the dutch mob are a bit short at 2/5 considerin the mob there playing last 4 away have drew 3 and won 1 should still beat them but having a home record w6 d2 l2 in the last 10
A have Aalborg at 1/1
Cheltenham at 4/7
Guingamp at 10/11
Dordrecht at 2/5
Astra at 3/ 10
Sevilla3/4
Will the last 2 games not be better prices in shop an also the dutch game
a dont hink so mate ave always thought you get better prices online
Danny, in general you will get better prices online but not always. That’s because bookies like you to sign up for an account.
your spot on Paul a was a sucker for all the free bets they entice you in with
Is that why you get the fixed odds coupons online but not so much in shops?
John, you get loads of fixed odds coupons in shops.
Must get myself to one of the big shops, better odds on the fixed odds coupons
John, we’ve already said better odds usually online. Fixed odds is the general term we use for all football betting.
I think newcastle are due a win and think cheltnham will take care of hereford, i think sevilla game will be btts
Mr Broke It, no doubt Newcastle are a due win but it might not come until they get all of their players back. The price is attractive no doubt but I can’t bring myself to back them.
Put a small bet on Hereford scoring 2 or more goals, 11/4 with paddy power, just thinking it’s the FA Cup so who knows what might happen
just a wee treble for tonight
newcastle
seville
guingamp
£20 pays £135
also went with a wee btts line
cheltenham btts
genclerbirligi
Aalborg
cottbus
£20 pays £165 also did £10 accum on my 4 btts and my treble
hope for a good monday night and the christmas presants taking care of.
Newcastle game hard to call, but same as u paul i fancy goals. Had a £40 free bet in my 888 account so put it on 4 or more goals @ 9/4. Good luck all :)
Knottsy, goals is our only hope now I think. Red cards change games and that one’s done for Wigan. Very dodgy decision though.
Done a daft little bet on ht/ft.newc/wigan reverse.newc/draw.wigan/draw and the same with hereford game.15p doubles.could get potentially £200 for £3 bet.you never know.
Newcastle v Wigan draw Sevilla Cheltenham treble
Btts-Newcastle Sevilla Cheltenham cottbus
Good luck lads!
Newcastle 1 Wigan 1 @5/1
Arouna Kone to score anytime @9/4
Re tomo night football, olympiakos look a good bet at home to arsenal after seeing the squad they are taking to Greece. 9 regulars are left at home and 5 of the 18 man squad have never played. They are 15/8 on my paddy coupon but just checked online and only 6/4 now – maybe price dropping already. Bearing in mind the form think its a great bet
Darren, it’s clear Arsenal aren’t interested in the game. Even before the team news I was thinking about Olympiakos who have won 9 of their last 12 at home in Europe.
Bowman starting for Hereford, come on lads, get me the 2 goals i need :-)
Newcastle
Cheltenham
Seville treble!
Pretty sure betfred done double delight today on the Newcastle game. Pretty good for those who backed Ba
Newcastle was a home banker
Tony, Newcastle weren’t a home banker and you know it. Very easy comment to put up after Wigan get a harsh red in 12 minutes and concede a penalty. Without the red it would have been an even game.
Darren G, only thing is olympiacos have nothing to play for, already guarenteed europa league, but its really tempting.
Seville getting raped
Mike, it’s Monday night football at it’s worst.
seville comeback is on
fancy a AC Milan Malaga Dortmund treble tomorrow 10/1 @betvictor.
think city will rest some of the team for Sunday as already out, Milan are getting better wi el sharawy on form and Malaga at home to Anderlecht, AC and Malaga already qualified for last 16 but that top spots still up for grabs.
Craig read this earlier. “Stephan El Shaarawy is one who could be rested while Mathieu Flamini and Massimo Ambrosini could come into the midfield in place of Nigel de Jong and Riccardo Montolivo as Milan make changes.”
Four fold tomorrow Olympiacos,Dortmund,Malaga,Real madrid,….£20 stake returns £275.
cheers for info Paul, thought they would’ve wanted to top group but anyone in last 16 gonna be a decent team, will check team info tomorrow night before placing it
Craig, that’s the best policy, check team news. Milan will probably win but bound to rest a few.
what are the btts everyones going for tommrw?
im thinking of dortmund,real,ac and malaga all to win?
Dave, my tips will be up in the morning.
I’ve gone for Dortmund, Malaga and Dinamo Kiev treble, £10 returns £84
Anybody think Chelsea can win like 7-0 to wualify??
George, have you been drinking? Can I have some?
ok thanks mr fix it, i shall look foward to the tasty tips ;)
Hi Paul I like to browse the web for tips and always check your site and find it very useful for info don’t know if you would do this but could you tell me what other sites you use for tips and info please
Craig, I don’t follow any specific tipping sites because if I did that would be cheating really. For team news I look at BBC sport or simply search under individual fixtures on the net. Apart from that I try to keep up to date with form and results. Soccerbase and sportinglife are good for stats.
Just looking at the champions league games, not many teams playing for 2nd place so i’m wondering if it’s wise to just go with the conference and the english games
John, I’ll go over the CL scenarios with some team news tomorrow. English games are in the Johnstone Paint Trophy which are tough to predict but might be good for btts.
Games at Telford and Lincoln
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5
Maybe not but it was only a matter of time before the magpies won. An a think Wigan are mince away from. Home played well against city last week. But that’s like a cup final.
Tony, I agree Newcastle had to win at some point but we’ll never know what would have happened if Wigan hadn’t suffered that early sending-off. My problem with the comment is that at 3-0 you say “Newcastle were a home banker”. That’s easy to say then but earlier you posted your sixfold which didn’t include Newcastle.
Ano a dont think a was meaning to say Newcastle were a home banker. A was drinking buddy and hit out with the stupid comment. Did fancy Newcastle but not enough to back them. The six fold was a waste