I SAID Saturday’s card was one of the toughest of the season and I think results proved that even if I did land winners at 13-10, 41-10 and 45-1.
It’s pleasing to pick a winning Super Single and Bury edged a 1-0 victory over Port Vale while the English both teams to score treble won at 41-10.
I was one goal (Aston Villa) from four draws but trebles were advised and paid 45-1. I don’t include draws in the stat – but maybe I should. Cover on the Euro treble was advised but not taken by me and a first-half red for Real Sociedad probably beat it.
I’ve picked out some tips for Sunday but as I’m off tonight I’m still doing a bit of research and will put some more in the morning.
In Scotland there are two big matches – Hearts v Aberdeen and Celtic v Dundee – and I’ve posted a separate preview.
There were some poor results involving teams in midweek European action including Man City, Arsenal, Real Madrid, Valencia, PSG and PSV so it’s something else I need to factor in.
In the Premier League the three games involve sides who played in the Europa League and Champions League last week. Liverpool rested half a team for the trip to Bordeaux and should edge out a lively Norwich side.
Man United head to Southampton after the disappointment of defeat at PSV and losing Luke Shaw with a broken leg. United still flatter to deceive and a draw looks about right.
The game that interests me most is Spurs v Palace. There are a couple of reasons to go against Spurs – firstly they played on Thursday and secondly they are struggling for goals with just four in the Premier League and none yet from Harry Kane.
Palace have started the season well with three wins and only defeats against Arsenal and Man City. They won at Chelsea and look good on the counter and in fact have lost just two of their last 10 away games in the Premier League.
For me they look big at a best 16-5 with Coral and that allows me to take them as the Super Single on the double chance (not to lose) at a shade under evens.
Second Sunday tip is a both to score treble starting with Hearts v Aberdeen and reasoning for that is on the Scottish thread. Add Carpi v Fiorentina and Stuttgart v Schalke. Carpi games just now look full of goals and the three on their top-flight debut have totalled 14.
Stuttgart’s last six have seen both score and Schalke are always worth a goal or two especially the way Klaas-Jan Huntelaar has started the season – and he netted another double in the Europa League in midweek.
Saturday’s two Serie games saw both teams to score and last weekend that market came up in all but two matches. It might be worth a 0.5pt or so but btts in seven of the eight on Sunday (I’m leaving out Bologna v Frosinone) pays 98-1 at 10bet.
For the Top Treble I’m starting with an old favourite Bodo/Glimt at home to Sandefjord. They are in great form having beaten Start 5-1 last week but they key stat is their last 11 have gone over 2.5 goals so go with that.
I’m slightly reluctant to take Barcelona on the handicaps, especially after Real Madrid beat Granada just 1-0 yesterday, but it’s difficult to ignore stats that show Levante have lost 7-0, 5-0 and 5-0 on three of their last four visits to the Nou Camp.
They’ve started the season poorly too with one point from three games and they’re unlikely to score so 3-0 Barca would do it for the -2 handicap tip.
Complete the treble with Marseille to beat Lyon. Marseille have been sublime at home, scoring 10 in two games against Bastia and Troyes, and face a Lyon side who have made a stuttering start to the campaign with just one win in four matches.
This the riskiest part of the treble with Marseille 23-20 at Betfred but I feel they’re up to the task and it’s worth a point.
2pts Super Single
Crystal Palace not to lose (1.30pm)
1pt Both to Score Treble
Hearts v Aberdeen (2.15pm)
Stuttgart v Schalke (2.30pm)
Carpi v Fiorentina (5pm)
1pt Top Treble
Bodo/Glimt v Sandefjord over 2.5 goals (5pm)
Barcelona -2 (7.30pm)
(4-1, Paddy Power)
September Super Single record
22 bets (9 winners, 13 losers)
36 bets (5 winners, 31 losers)
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and previews.
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