DOES anyone believe lightning strikes twice? Who remembers what happened in the Norwegian league last weekend?
That’s right – all eight matches saw both teams score and over 2.5 goals.
Today sees the final round of matches so could it happen again? I feel it’s worth a fiver of anyone’s money but in all seriousness what’s the chances. In fact the chances are about one in 29 with 888sport offering 28-1 for both to score in all eight matches that kick off at 5pm.
There’s only one issue at stake and that’s at the bottom – either Start or Mjondalen will be relegated with the other facing a play-off. Both face tough matches with Start entertaining champions Molde and Mjondalen at Viking.
As I say I might fire a fiver on the eightfold but more seriously I’ve tried to pick out four matches that could see both to socre or if you prefer overs.
Mjondalen lost 2-1 at home to Aalesund last weekend and have conceded the joint highest number of goals in the league (66) so should struggle at Viking. However, if they don’t net they’re down.
Add Stromsgodset, whose 29 matches have totalled a league high 107, at home to Valerenga and Haugesund v Tromso. Haugesund scored three in a 4-3 defeat at new champions Rosenborg last week while Tromso netted three in beating Bodo/Glimt. Make it a fourfold with Bodo/Glimt at home to a Stabaek side fighting for second spot with Stromsgodset although both have booked Europa League places.
I’m adding a 1pt over 2.5 goals fourfold that will appear on the top tips. Take the two Bundesliga games – Dortmund v Schalke and Augsburg v Werder Bremen and La Liga games involving Barcelona and Real Madrid.
Since losing 5-1 to Bayern it’s been six wins in a row for Dortmund with the last five going over 2.5 goals. Schalke’s last two league games went under but before that four went over. Anyway this is more about Dortmund who could win with both scoring.
Augsburg defended terribly in drawing 3-3 with Mainz last week and while they beat AZ 4-1 in the Europa League it could have been 4-4 as the Dutch hit the woodwork three times. Their last three at home to Werder have finished 4-2, 3-1 and 3-1 so let’s hope it goes with stats.
Barcelona haven’t lost in 12 to Villarreal and the last five meetings at the Nou Camp have gone over 2.5 while five of Madrid’s last seven at Sevilla have gone that way including two 6-2 wins but 2-2 defeats on their last two visits.
Norwegian btts (all 5pm)
Bodo Glimt v Stabaek
Haugesund v Tromso
Stromsgodset v Valerenga
Viking v Mjondalen
1pt Over 2.5 goals fourfold
Dortmund v Schalke (2.30pm)
Barcelona v Villarreal (3pm)
Augsburg v Werder Bremen (4.30pm)
Sevilla v Real Madrid (7.30pm)