Nov 10: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

JOHNB came up Trumps on Wednesday with a winning Nap and eachway double – as well as his 10-1 American presidential punt on the big orange loon who is now heading for the White House.

So it was 4.16pt profit on the nags for our man who is now 18.34pts down for November.

Johnb’s Thursday Tips

Southwell 1:55
I’ll Be Good 7-1 NB bet365

Chelmsford City 5:55
Ninety Years Young 5-2 NAP bet365

Double 27-1 bet365

Antepost Tips

1000 Guineas 2017

PROMISE TO BE TRUE 20-1 betfred

2000 Guineas 2017

CHURCHILL 20-1 (now 8-1) bet365

2017 Derby

CHURCHILL 33-1 (now 20-1) racebets

2000 Guineas 2017

BLUE POINT 14-1 racebets

Johnb says: “I have already advised Churchill for next year’s 2000 Guineas & Derby – he has been really impressive this season and my view is he will get even better next year.

“Blue Point on the other hand is harder to call for how he will progress next year. If he trains on then in my view it’s a straight fight between Blue Point & Churchill but in the Derby Churchill is the only horse for me – he gives me the same excitement as Golden Horn did.

“But to answer my question earlier the most impressive horse I have seen this year is BLUE POINT with Churchill and Annie Power a close second and third.”

70 Comments
  1. Profile photo of leando
    leando 1 month ago

    12.55 Southwell

    Little Choosey 11/4

  2. Profile photo of rookie
    rookie 1 month ago

    14.05 L Norse light 5/1
    16.55 C Nostalgie 6/1

  3. Profile photo of davyb
    davyb 1 month ago

    double court 12.45 tow
    tara view 1.35 lud
    white royal 2.25 south
    andanotherone 2.55 south

  4. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 1 month ago

    Can’t really take credit for 10/1 Trump as he was only 5/2 when I advised him, I managed to get 5/1 but he did drift out to 7/1 last night before he took Ohio.

    I did say though that his main targets to to take away from were Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan which would have been a big fourfold, Michigan is the only one yet to be confirmed as it’s only a 13,500 advantage to Trump from about 4.5m votes
    Every mainstream media outlet said that Trump couldn’t win without Florida, I said if he won Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan then he wouldn’t need Florida but what do I know when all the experts were saying he needed to win Florida

    Reuters said Hillary Clinton had a 90% chance of winning?

    • Profile photo of double carpet
      double carpet 1 month ago

      A lady had 180K on Clinton at 1/8 with Will Hill.
      Now theres stupid and then theres this lady
      OUCH !!

      • Profile photo of recoba
        recoba 1 month ago

        Yeeash!
        Sure Mrs Clinton would reimburse here for her fantastic support and seeing as it’s a lady. 😏

        • Profile photo of punterpounder
          punterpounder 1 month ago

          how do you aquire that kind of money in the first place

        • Profile photo of punterpounder
          punterpounder 1 month ago

          how do you aquire that kind of money in the first place seems like every big political event sees people go a little crazy I still feel sorry for that kid who blew his student loan betting on a remain result.

  5. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 1 month ago

    Mailshot 7/1 – 2.25 Southwell – ew

    Ballyhill 15/8 – 2.35
    Ludlow – nb

    Ejaaby 11/8 – 5.25
    Chelmsford – nap

  6. Profile photo of tipsultan
    tipsultan 1 month ago

    Well Done all winners yesterday..

    3.05- Ludlow- Still Believing @ 11/2 (NAP)

    3:55 Southwell-Sir Geoffrey- 8/1

    12:45 Towcester- Double Court- 10/3

    Good Luck

  7. Profile photo of ciaran1988
    ciaran1988 1 month ago

    3.25 Southwell – High Command
    5/2

    5.25 Chelmsford- Ejaaby 11/8

  8. Profile photo of gengar
    gengar 1 month ago

    3.05 Still Believing 6/1 nap
    12.25 Princess Peaches 7/1
    3.15 Always On The Run 5/2
    2.35 Moscato 13/8 nb

  9. Profile photo of on the bob
    on the bob 1 month ago

    Good to see the thread going strong.

    2.tips. Both level stakes

    Sout: 2.25 white royle 4/1
    Chelmsford 5.25 high waves 5/2

    GL all

  10. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 month ago

    Posted last night still believing 3.05 8/1 > 4/1 now!!!

    Nice 13/2 winner last night so treated myself to a Chelt double

    More of that 2.25 sat 9/2
    Leoncavallo 2.30 sun 10/1

    Good luck all

  11. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 1 month ago

    Morning all

    NAP FOREST BIHAN 7/4 2.15 tow
    NB LILLIAN 3/1 2.45 tow
    EW SEPTEMBER ISSUE 8/1 1.55 south
    EW PARNASSIAN 9/1 2.25 south

    Best of luck to all

  12. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    can any one tell me what price gordon elliott is to be champion trainer at cheltenham

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 1 month ago

      No odds yet but you can ask a bookies for a price and they will give you one,
      I don’t think he has any chance because when it comes to laying horses for a certain time of year then it’s Mullins all the way
      Elliott should be about 6/1 but knowing the bookies the will probably only give 7/4 ish

  13. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 1 month ago

    Morning.
    Nap.High Command.3.25.Southwell
    Nb.The Feathered Nest.2.25.Southwell and Volatile. 4.55 for good measure.
    gl

  14. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 1 month ago

    Great tips yesterday, Like DCS September Issue and expect Bin Suroor to scoop up at Chems ford
    Onwards

  15. Profile photo of uksevern
    uksevern 1 month ago

    could someone explain how a tissue price is formulated pls… thanks on anticipation

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 1 month ago

      Tissue prices are irrelevant unless they are your own because different people have different opinions which is why you hardly ever see different tissue prices being the same,
      When you are studying a race you should be working out a horses chance of winning as a percentage and then converting that to a price to make up your own market,

      Years ago when the bookies realised they couldn’t price up correctly some would let you take a tissue price from the racing post or Sporting Life until the bookies realised that the racing journalists were just as bad at pricing up,
      Nowadays bookies just underprice the majority of horses and stick on a best odds guaranteed sticker to let money determine a price,

      Anyway when you see a newspaper with odds under the race, those are tissue prices,

      Tissue prices are made up from ratings converted to probability,
      If you think the favourite has a 50% chance of winning then your tissue price would be 1/1
      If you think a horse has a 40% chance of winning then it would be 6/4
      Any price above those odds is a value bet

      But when you price up a full race all the percentage chances of the horses should never add up to more than 100%
      being slightly under isn’t a problem but never over,
      Bookies will price up over the 100% because that’s their profit

  16. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    tipsultan sir jeoffrey nr now

  17. Profile photo of tipsultan
    tipsultan 1 month ago

    adding 2.15 Towcester- Forest Bihan

  18. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    nap song of the night 12-45 T 7/2
    nb midnight gypsy 3-35 L 3/1
    always on the run 3-15 T 3/1
    linger 4-05 L 4/1

  19. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 1 month ago

    NAP New Road Side 6/1 1.55 Southwell
    NB Vanderbilt 6/1 4.55 Chelmsford GL

  20. Profile photo of teggy11
    teggy11 1 month ago

    Southwell 12.55 stun gun 4/1
    Southwell 12.25 Davey boy 15/2
    Southwell 1.55 new road side 6/1
    Southwest 2.25 the feathered nest 3/1 bet365

  21. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 1 month ago

    Morning all,

    Today’s racing looks precariously difficult. Nevertheless, I have managed to dig out 3 bets for some intrest, it is worth stressing these will be for VERY small stakes.

    1.15 Towcester – Angus Glens 13/2 EW

    As shown yesterday backing horses from smaller yards can present punters a chance to capatalise on value prices as the “fashionable” stable’s horses often take the wrong percentage out of betting markets. This could be the case with Angus Glens. The 6yo gelding romped home by 9lenghts last time at Warwick under the steering of David England. With decent 7lb claimer Phillip Donovan taking over today I feel if he can get the horse settle, there is every chance of a good showing.

    2.05 Ludlow – Norse Light 5/1 EW

    Norse light ran a good race last time Hundington finishing a length down in second. He showed a impressive turn of foot on the flat and after a few runs over fences his turn looks near. He was a course and distance winner over hurdles, the good ground should suit and with the superb Aiden Coleman in the saddle I will be having a nibble at 5/1.

    5.55 Chelmsford – Heavenly Cry 9/2 EW

    Heavenly cry is worth a small interest in the 5.55, this 2yo gelding has ran some respectable races at the Essex course, with his short head second 2 starts back looking like strong form. He was allowed to dictate from the front that day and that seemed to suit and he was only headed in the final stride. Last time out he wasn’t able to get into the lead early on and seemed to expand too much energy attemting to. With a feather weight today if Jo Gordon can get this horse into the lead from the jump I am hopeful he can make the places.

    Thanks and GL all

  22. Profile photo of busstop
    busstop 1 month ago

    Morning all 20/1 e/w saved my day yesterday.

    Just had a quick look and Some great winners on the thread yesterday .

    Ludlow

    15.05 BIG CASINO

    15.35 MIDNIGHT GYPSY

    Towcester

    13.45 TANIT RIVER

    14.15 PINKIE BROWN

    14.45 LILLIAN

    And now im under orders to go shopping

    gl all

  23. Profile photo of uksevern
    uksevern 1 month ago

    thanks for that JB

  24. Profile photo of tommy400
    tommy400 1 month ago

    Royals and rebels 235 50s into 16s

  25. Profile photo of eye on the prize
    eye on the prize 1 month ago

    3 different selections on here for 155s looks like it might have to be combined forecast/tricasts then 👍

  26. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    thanks johnb but i think elliott will have a good chance with o leary after giving him a load of good horses from the mullins yard ive just asked the bookies but they havent got any prices yet

  27. Profile photo of bozz
    bozz 1 month ago

    Hi everyone

    s 2.25 tailors row 8/1
    s 2.55 fleeting glimpse 3/1 nb
    s 3.25 premier currency 16/1 ew
    s 3.55 prisom 3/1 nap

    good luck everyone

    happy days

  28. Profile photo of teggy11
    teggy11 1 month ago

    Stun gun get in

  29. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 1 month ago

    Afternoon all well done winners yesterday
    Elusivity 1.55s 20/1
    Monzino 3.25s 100/1
    Alpha tauri 3.55s 12/1
    Fantasy gladiator 6.55c 33/1
    Majestic Myles 7.25c 14/1
    Ew singles & ew lucky 🍀 31 GL all

  30. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 1 month ago

    each way 5 fold

    1.35 Ludlow- Happy diva 15/8

    2.15 towcaster- forest bihan 11/8

    3.05 Ludlow- still beliving 7/2

    3.15 towcaster- mystifiable 2/1

    5.55 Chelmsford – 90 years young 7/4

    £2.50 e/w acca

  31. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 1 month ago

    each way 5 fold

    1.35 Ludlow- Happy diva 15/8

    2.15 towcaster- forest bihan 11/8

    3.05 Ludlow- still beliving 7/2

    3.15 towcaster- mystifiable 2/1

    5.55 Chelmsford – 90 years young 7/4

    £2.50 e/w acca @Ladbrokes (fobt)

  32. Profile photo of tipsultan
    tipsultan 1 month ago

    1.55 southwell Rural [email protected]/2 looking good

  33. Profile photo of uksevern
    uksevern 1 month ago

    brilliant.. good start busstop..

  34. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 1 month ago

    Alpha tauri 3.55

  35. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 1 month ago

    New I’d get it eventauly stevecee after yesterday cheers

  36. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 1 month ago

    horse of the day tommorrow

    2.05 Cheltenham

    Barters hill 15/8 @bet365

  37. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 1 month ago

    Nice one ew thief and azz
    Alpha Tauri

    Also The plug with Linger

  38. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 1 month ago

    Cheers DC good tipping yourself well done all winners today wooooo I’m off down the pub illsithey

  39. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 1 month ago

    Well done ew thief azz and D/C great tipping guys onwards

  40. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 1 month ago

    Ballyhill wins nicely in the end , come on the double

    Well done all winners so far

  41. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 1 month ago

    Always worth a look at Ew thief’s and another big priced winner,azz the wigan highlighted,good stuff and of course regulars with winners,Peter, busstop,dc,the plug, teggy and anyone I’ve missed thanks for posting,Healthy thread. Onwards
    Stars in the post

  42. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 1 month ago

    Cheers DC Alanm dougiec nice double yourself sir well done all other winners on we go

  43. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 1 month ago

    Well Done to all winners today ,a wee bit of profit on my 20/80 ,on we go ,tomorrow,Wholestone 6/1 seems fair because he can certainly run but his jumping is a worry .
    Looking forward to seeing More of That on sat GL.

  44. Profile photo of spurs55
    spurs55 1 month ago

    nina carberry just announced she is off the rest of the season to have her first child

    best wishes to all

  45. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    just the one winner today 4/1 got a few pound back well done to all who gave winners it was a tough day on to tomorrow

  46. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    Monbeg river 1-30 Cheltenham Nap 10/1
    Baden 2-40 ” Nb 11/4
    Fayette County 3-50 j j codd could not have a better amateure on board one of the best in the business ,he is one of our local lads here in wexford , 8/1
    barters hill 2-05 cheltenham 15/8

  47. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 1 month ago

    Jet setter 15/2 – EW
    11.45 lingfield

    Lake view lad 9/4
    1.05 Newcastle – NB

    American hitlist 13/8
    4.45 Wolverhampton-NAP

  48. Profile photo of statto
    statto 1 month ago

    hi guys not sure if people will see this but thanks for all winners especially johnb!

  49. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 1 month ago

    Cheltenham yayyyy!!

    12.55 – astracad
    1.30 – impulsive American
    2.05 – Barters hill NAP
    2.40 – crosshue boy (ew)
    3.15 – air Horse one NB
    3.50 – what a moment treb

    Singles and a Yankee on 1.30 , 2.05 , 3.15 , 3.50

    Good luck all

  50. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 1 month ago

    November 21.34pts down

    Fridays Tips

    Newcastle
    2:50
    Si C’etait Vrai 6/1 NAP bet365

    Cheltenham
    3:15
    Debece 7/1 NB bet365

    double 55/1 bet365

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