May 3: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

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IT’S one tip from Johnb on Wednesday as he doubles down on Mondialiste at Ascot.

The 7-2 shot is our man’s joint Nap and NB as he looks to bounce back with a winner after a second and a third on Tuesday left him 7pts down for May.

Well done everyone who posted a winner and special mention to Alanm who landed a full house for a cracking 30pts profit.

Johnb’s Wednesday Tip

Ascot 4:20
Mondialiste 7/2 NAP/NB paddy power(double stake)

Antepost Tips

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55 Comments
  1. Profile photo of luke a
    luke a 2 months ago

    What would appear a decent day for me, actually wasn’t all that great. Really need to back all my picks in singles, as well as the small stake multiples.

    Each way Yankee
    6.40 Power Power 13/2 now 5/1 PLACED
    7.10 Abjar 4/1 now 7/1 NOWHERE
    8.00 Gabrial The Thug 6/1 now 7/2 WON
    8.40 Mighty Zip 7/1 now 2/1 NOWHERE

    Win Yankee tonight
    7.30 Masterson 11/10 now 5/4 WON (DEAD HEAT)
    7.40 Ickymashoo 5/2 now 3/1 LOST
    8.10 Zac Brown 5/2 WON 3/1
    9.00 Prince of Time 2/1 now 5/2 WON

    Since Friday I have now had two 2/3 trixies, and two 3/4 Yankees. Not seeing huge profit due to not always backing in singles too. Think I need to start readjusting the way I bet.

    • Profile photo of juicin
      juicin 2 months ago

      Hi mate, if you do not think 3/4 on a yankee is a decent day, then you cannot be doing things correctly. You need a 100pt bank for your multiples and a relatively level stake. Then of course, it is important to return profits to your bank, not go out and spend them, negating your hard work.

      Let’s say you had a 20p yankee yesterday, that would have returned a profit of £9.63, not a lot to go shopping with but it is another free 4x20p Yankees.. where you could possibly hit a bigger 4/4. I would also increase my chances of losing by adding longer priced horses, a risk vs reward balance that a betting calculator could help you weigh up.

      Remember the odds are smart tacked against the punter enough, so to bet without are plan only contributes towards filling the bookies pockets. Not earth moving advice but best of luck mate.

      • Profile photo of juicin
        juicin 2 months ago

        Smart tacked = stacked… my predictive text almost makes me want to smash every tablet in existence.

        • Profile photo of luke a
          luke a 2 months ago

          Thank you for your replies. Yesterday I placed 50p unit stakes on the win Yankee, which returned £19.77. So a profit of £14.27. However, I also placed that 25p each way Yankee, which returned a loss of £4. On top of this, I also placed 4 x £2 trebles and a £1 4fold on 4 well fancied horses ranging from 6/4 – 2/1. Only 1 won, making another £9 loss. And finally, a 75p each way trixie, which returned nothing, so another £6 loss. So a £5 loss on the day overall. Obviously where I went wrong yesterday is glaringly obvious. Too many multiples. Admittedly though, my knowledge and interest in flat racing is much less than jumps. So yesterday was more a bit of fun for interest than anything serious. I’m off work at the moment, and have been for 3 weeks now, so racing is getting me through most days! If I wish to make regular profit from racing, then I certainly need to start taking advice like you have given, and take the betting more seriously rather than so many “fun” bets. For me personally, I feel much more confident with jumps racing than I do with flat turf racing. I even feel I have better chance of returning profit from AW racing than flat turf. Especially this early on in the flat season.
          thanks again for your replies.
          best of luck today

          • Profile photo of ray_ez
            ray_ez 2 months ago

            Ive done that before. Frustrating as hell. I put it down to experience. I know this is a nothing reply dude but i feel your pain.

            • Profile photo of luke a
              luke a 2 months ago

              I’ve gambled like this for too long mate. No wonder I’ve rarely made regular profit!! I don’t have as much knowledge as several people on here, but I do have enough to know better lol. I see horse racing as more “fun” than serious betting. To be fair, it’s the same with football betting for me too. Small stake multiples hoping for a decent payout, rather than bank building singles/doubles. I just feel to make those types of bets worthwhile I need to put more sizeable sums down, which takes away the fun element. But then the profit long term is likely to be better than all these losing multiples, with only a few showing decent profit. Pros and cons to both. Discipline is so key to long term profits

  2. Profile photo of barton4life
    barton4life 2 months ago

    Thoughts on Blue Point tomorrow in the 3.45 at Ascot? There’s definitely money going for him as he shortened from 2/1 to 6/4 today.

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 2 months ago

      John
      Doesn’t mondialiste course form worry you.
      3rd of 8
      14th of 30
      11th of 13.
      Finished 11 of 13 when last seen in Dubai.
      Do you think he will be fit and is the ease in grade the reason for your confidence.

  3. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 2 months ago

    Evening all,

    Today wasn’t my day as the saddle slipped on Bahamian Sunrise shortly after leaving the stalls and Plead went down by a head. That’s now two days in a row where everything has gone against me -hopefully that’s the end of it. I’m putting up one early value bet for tomorrow and may add to it in the morning.

    16.10 Wolverhampton – Jalela 11/10

    This horse went straight into my tracker after a debut full of promise in the Wood Ditton. She raced up with the pace throughout and looked likely to go on and beat the boys within the last furlong before being reeled in late on. The finishing distance doesn’t tell the whole story as she was hampered late on by the winner (otherwise It would have been much closer). The speed figure for that race is impressive and I think it’s a piece of form to keep on side. She returns to the track today over a slightly longer trip and on a new surface, both of which on breeding will suit. Drawn well in 5 and racing against fillies only everything looks in place for a big run with normal improvement expected. 11/10 rates as value in my early book as I have her down as a 4/7 shot. Therefore, I am happy to play 7.5 points to win @ 11/10 this evening – but as always nothing is assured. The main danger is Spinnaka, but the time figure from her race on the Rowley mile was not as good as the one recorded by Jelela, and while she may improve for the step up in trip she has a wide draw to overcome.

    Many thanks and GL to all

    (Points will be updated in the morning).

  4. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 2 months ago

    Shame the nb decided to give everyone a massive head start NAp won which is the main thing keeping up the profits ….

    Anyone in the ascot area had much rain today one has caught my eye these little storms that pop up are producing a lot of rain last few days…

  5. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 2 months ago

    NAP mittens 2/1 4.00 Pontefract 3Pts
    NB Maleficent Queen 13/2 3.10 Ascot 1Pt
    Double 1Pt

    May +25Pts

  6. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 2 months ago

    NB Maleficent Queen 15/2 3.10 Ascot 1Pt

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 2 months ago

      8-1 on sky bet Alan.
      Tough race this.
      Vent de force at 33-1 looks overpriced on form of 2 years ago. Appears to be stable 3rd string today on jockey bookings though.
      Came 2nd in this 2 years ago with today’s fave pallasator back in 9th
      .

    • Profile photo of alanm
      alanm 2 months ago

      One late one Bloodsweatandtears 4/1 7.35 no points but strong info.GL

  7. Profile photo of snurky2
    snurky2 2 months ago

    March +61.4
    April -10pts
    May now +1

    Ascot 15:45 ascot blue point 11/8 3pt win nap

    looks to have found a great race to start his 3yo career, has some impressive form and sectional times over 6f, he can take this and go on to better things .

  8. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 2 months ago

    Mondialiste NAP/NB

    I think the course form is pretty decent for Mondialiste, 3rd of 8 Mondialiste was still 6 lengths clear of 4th,
    14th of 30 in the Royal Hunt Cup, the draw went against Mondialiste but he did finish 3rd of 15 on the stands side
    Then 11th of 13 in the Queen Anne Stakes, it was a top class field and the ground was too soft,
    He should be race fit after a run 39 days ago and I think it’s a bit embarrassing that the bookies haven’t made Mondialiste favourite, he was the Arlington Million winner just nine months ago and he was put up by me to win the Arlington race at 4/1
    If it was a handicap he would be giving weight away but instead he is getting 3lb from the favourite Ennaadd
    With the stalls on the stands side you are better being drawn high, Mondialiste is drawn 2 but with only 7 runners it shouldn’t be a problem

  9. Profile photo of tipsultan
    tipsultan 2 months ago

    Pontefract

    3.25- Ravenhoe- 4/1 (NAP)- 2 points
    5.45- Space war- 6/1- 1 point

    Good luck all

    May: +2.00 points

  10. Profile photo of fivebarone
    fivebarone 2 months ago

    Well done yesterdays winners

    great day for me 3 winners 5/1 4/1 7/2

    4.20 Asc Firmament 7/2

    3.35 Wol Ballard Down 4/1

    3.25 Pont Gambit 9/4
    5.10 Pont Red Gunner 9/2

    6.35 Brig Tommys Geal 10/3

    now + 30.5 points to 1 point wins and 5 winning days on the run .(its horse racing so t wont last)

    best of luck with your bets today guys

  11. Profile photo of generous
    generous 2 months ago

    Winner yesterday (only bet all day) intimately 750 w
    Gluk all.

  12. Profile photo of juicin
    juicin 2 months ago

    My best tracked day on the site yesterday, clawing back 10pts, now sit around -13pts.

    0.25 yankee 2.75pts and 1pt singles on all, 6.7 5pts.

    #235a – Icespire 6/5
    Very short, even for a frankel filly but a winner is a winner, big chance from top connections.
    #310a – harbour law 7/1
    Only 2 fresh horses in this race and dalgleish/makin has been very good to me but i think the selection is the value selection, despite giving away weight to the field, yard going great guns.
    #400p – mittens 2/1
    Without knowing I picked alan’s nap yesterday and today is no different, let’s hope for the same result.
    #345a – blue point 6/4
    Strong favourite, 45k purse which should see him giving it his best.

    • Profile photo of juicin
      juicin 2 months ago

      Not a great day but not the end of the world and a couple of lessons learnt!

      Icespire lost on the bob of a head despite coming from the back and seeing its initial route blocked, I made a mistake backing it in the single as a winning 6/5 doesn’t justify the initial risk for me.

      We ask too much of harbour law it seems coming back from the break, top weight, raced wide for periods, didn’t look in racing shape either. Not one to dismiss yet.

      Mittens! Looked like we had every chance, we have simply been done by the distance, the extra 2f have not helped at all (this time) and I can only say she is one to mull over next time out.

      The straightforward pick – blue point obliged as most knew, returning at 13/8.

      We lost 4.12pts today, points up tomorro, approx -17. Well done winners.

  13. Profile photo of jazzerbhoy
    jazzerbhoy 2 months ago

    Stormbound won so easy last time out at this track I think he’s worth following up.
    Stormbound nap/nb 7.35 Brighton

  14. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 2 months ago

    Blue point wins today has been halved in price overnight too 3.45

    Battersea took my eye last night but not keen with firm in the description….seevwhat the jockeys think later

  15. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 2 months ago

    A lot of good races today. A couple I was interested in been covered by the site ,

    Compas scoobie 11/10
    8.20 Yarmouth -nap/nb

  16. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 2 months ago

    We have the true favourite now

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit
      Mr Fixit 2 months ago

      Good luck with it. Guy down the bookies who often gives me winners says Frosting in the 6.20 at Yarmouth is a good thing.

  17. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 2 months ago

    Oriental relation 5.45
    Icespire 2.35
    Blue point 3.45

    Round robin today not the best prices though

    Decided to have a little nibble on batersea at 5/1

    Good luck all

  18. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 2 months ago

    14-35 Ascot
    Blending 13/2

    4 points win

    Good luck everyone today
    Thread is smashing it last few weeks

    😀

  19. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 2 months ago

    Ascot
    2.35 Prosper 5/1
    3.45 Blue Point 6/4 NAP
    4.20 Mondialiste 5/2
    4.55 Selection 5/2 NB

    3.25 Trinity Star 6/1 3.25 ponte

    BOL

  20. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 2 months ago

    sir dancealot 3.45 johny cavagin 4.35 whispered kiss 4.45 vegas boy 5.05 ew l15 well done all winners yesterday

  21. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 2 months ago

    Selections and write ups already done for tomorrow just waiting on odds but hoping the bookies have missed something obvious

  22. Profile photo of fraser51
    fraser51 2 months ago

    All about Blue Point for me today, should continue improvement for an impressive debut season

  23. Profile photo of snurky2
    snurky2 2 months ago

    Get in blue point! 13/8 best odds as well :) well done all winners today and good luck all with runners left!

  24. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 2 months ago

    Blue point nice little drift at the end just need oriental to save the day now

  25. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 2 months ago

    May 9pts down

    Lingfield
    3:10
    Authors Dream 2/1 bet365

    Redcar
    4:00
    Teodoro 6/1 NAP/NB paddy power (double stake)

    Double 18.25/1 paddy power

    Authors Dream
    No surprise to anyone that I have again gone for Authors Dream, I thought the horse was unlucky last time after being tipped at 10/1 before being gambled into 2/1 favourite, he was slow away last time and was still challenging for last place turning for home, he also had to come very wide round that last bend and was getting bumped, but he went on to lead a furlong out and was only just caught late on, the front two had pulled away from the others and with a better start and more luck in running he should be winning this as he is the horse open to more improvement, a change of jockey sees him running 6lb higher but that shouldn’t be a problem

    Teodoro
    There have been a few recently but Richard Kingscote ride on Teodoro last time out was so bad at trying to disguise the fact he was only out for a run that it was, it’s things like this that I like taking advantage of but because he did it so badly I think even the bookies could see it
    If connections wanted to land a touch then they did exactly the right thing last time buy dropping him in distance when actually he wanted to go up in distance which he is on Tuesday, last time he was held up at the back in a slow run race and when the tempo quickened before the home straight he was just given a hands and heels ride, the step up to 9f will suit better, two runs ago he was beat by Stradivarius, never travelling well and weakened but also eased a furlong from home, on debut he was beat by another tip of mine recently in Atty Persse so his chances on form look excellent on Tuesday and on a low mark of 69 he looks well in here (more news to follow)

  26. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 2 months ago

    Well done to the winners today. Blue Point seems to have been a popular choice so well done if you were on.
    One tonight i just have to have an ew on is

    UNTIL MIDNIGHT 10/1 PP EW 8.20 yarmouth

    Drops down to class 5 for the first time since winning in that class off a mark of 73 and is off 67 tonight with Lulu Stanford taking a further 5lbs off its back. Fav looks strong being unpenalised for latest win but at the odds will take my chances
    GL

    • Profile photo of recoba
      recoba 2 months ago

      Remember waiting in Until Midnight for a full house on a Yankee 2nd last run and it was a 2nd after doing the dressage coming out the stalls but finished really well. Last run not too baddest DC so Ew at 10s looks good to me . 👍

    • Profile photo of earl
      earl 2 months ago

      Lulu is also on TASAABOQ 7-50 Yarmouth, a solid EW at 7-1 given that it won there twice in March and the competition looks no better tonight

      • Profile photo of earl
        earl 2 months ago

        Correction, won twice at Wolves in March. Still fancy it. C’mon Lulu

        • Profile photo of spurs55
          spurs55 2 months ago

          see she was booked to ride 10
          (4)
          The Happy Hammer (62) (Non Runner)
          J: Lulu Stanford T: E Stanford
          ????
          who knows

    • Profile photo of double carpet
      double carpet 2 months ago

      Slight profit

  27. Profile photo of jimba
    jimba 2 months ago

    Big well done lads with Bluepoint, was on. Happy days☺

  28. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 2 months ago

    One more for tonight

    Harlequin rock 7.20 Quinn’s birthday yesterday too

  29. Profile photo of spurs55
    spurs55 2 months ago

    10
    (4)
    The Happy Hammer (62) (Non Runner)
    J: Lulu Stanford T: E Stanford

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