LOOKS like the whole world was on Dundalk handicaps on Friday night – I tipped them -1 and -2, the Racing Post went -1 and another site familiar to many of us also went -2.
Form and stats pointed to more goals but that’s the way it goes sometimes and I was also missing goals in my Top Treble as it fell at the first hurdle as VVV and Top Oss drew a blank after 10 meetings in a row over 2.5 goals.
My Super Single in Friday’s Daily Record was St Johnstone +2 against Celtic and that came up easily – and I’m sure plenty would have been on after Saints fan Greg Browning agreed with the view. I put the tip on the site as well as Perugia to beat Serie B champions Carpi so it wasn’t all bad.
Saturday’s Super Single is Aston Villa draw no bet at Southampton. Villa are just about safe after an amazing turnaround under Tim Sherwood and they travel to a Southampton side who have lost three of their last four as they try to clinch/avoid a Europa League place. Spurs are in the same boat and in even worse form and if Hull hadn’t lost to Burnley last week I’d also be keen on them at a fancy price.
Villa are a best 17-4 with bet365 and BetVictor and on current form it’s too big. Saints are missing Fraser Forster, Jay Rodriguez, Dusan Tadic and Morgan Schneiderlin and the big keeper’s loss has coincided with a defence becoming quite leaky and a Saints outfit who have netted 12 in six games can take advantage.
Saturday’s card is a tough one in the UK and the continent and I’m not posting my usual selection of Daily Record tips, partly because this gives me an extra day to check team news, etc and because of a fewer number of fixtures I’ve mixed Saturday and Sunday games in the newspaper column.
My Top treble in the Record is Bayer Leverkusen, PSG and Barcelona (Sun) so I’m changing Barca for Monaco. Bayer have lost just once at home this season and should see off a Hoffenheim who are one of the few in the Bundesliga with nothing to play for (a Europa League place is possible but unlikely). Bayer won’t finish worse than fourth but could still pip Moenchengladbach to third.
PSG need just a point at Montpellier to clinch the title but on current form should take all three. PSG have been sensational since exiting the Champions League, scoring 17 in four successive wins. It’s worth noting four of their last five visits to Montpellier have finished 1-1 but that would be a surprise this time.
Monaco are short but okay when added to a treble. They are close to wrapping up third spot and a Champions League place and shouldn’t have any problems at home to relegated Metz.
There will be a lot of focus on the Bundesliga today with big games at the top and bottom. To Bayer I’ve added Bayer Munich, Augsburg, Wolfsburg and Moenchengladbach for five homes/aways.
Bayern face a Freiburg side fighting a drop battle but having exited the Champions League with their heads held up high they should stop a domestic rot that’s lasted three games. Wolfsburg are in pole position to finish second and their home form and Dortmund’s poor results against better sides suggest the Wolves will be too strong.
Finally, Augsburg were close to being the Super Single for their home match with Hannover. They are 13-10 at William Hill to beat the relegation-threatened side and stay in contention for a Europa League spot which would be a great feat. And remember they won at Bayern Munich last week.
3.6pts Super Single
Aston Villa draw no bet (12.45pm)
2.4pts Top Treble
Bayer Leverkusen (2.30pm)
German Homes/Aways (all 2.30pm)
Perm any 4 and all 5 (6 bets)
Both teams to score/over 2.5 goals
Altach v Red Bull Salzburg over 2.5 goals (3pm)
Lille v Marseille btts (8pm)
Inter v Juventus (5pm)
May Super Single record
16 bets (5 winners, 11 losers)
May Top Treble record
13 bets (6 winners, 7 losers)
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