I've posted thoughts on the outrights, Golden Boot and team top scorers and next up it will be Group winners.
My only Sunday tip was a double on Belgium and under 2.5 goals at Mexico v Uruguay but finally Copa America took off and two Mexican goals in the final five minutes scuppered the bet.
On Monday there are some more friendlies to look at with qualifiers Italy, Iceland and Poland in action.
In the early hours of Tuesday morning Copa America continues with Argentina v Chile – a repeat of last year's final – and Panama v Bolivia. At first glance there should be plenty of goals in the Argentina game and I'll have a look at some of the markets.
The friendlies haven't been good to me at the start of the month with three losers out of three on the accumulators. This will be my last tip before the Euros so I'm looking to wipe out the losses with a double.
Poland are fielding a strong side barring Robert Lewandowski and should beat Lithuania. But it's better to go with over 1.5 Pole goals and I'm adding both to score in Argentina v Chile which is a repeat of last summer's Copa America final and should be a good one.
I've also added a Euro 2016 first-round fivefold running from Friday to Tuesday and paying 8-1.
Remember to check out We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.
2.5pts Daily Double
Poland to score 2+ (5pm)
Argentina v Chile btts (3am)
(2-1, bet365)
June Super Singles Total
Loss: 1.7pts
(3 bets, 1 winner)
Loss: 5pts
(3 bets, 0 winners)
1pt Euro 2016 1st Rd fivefold
France to bt Romania (Fri)
Poland to bt Nth Ireland (Sun)
Germany to bt Ukraine (Sun)
Spain to bt Czech Rep (Mon)
Austria to bt Hungary (Tues)
(8-1, Ladbrokes)
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the 1st Cops America match to go over 2.5, I had every chance to cover but didn’t take it. arrrghhh
the 1st Cops America match to go over 2.5, I had every chance to cover but didn’t take it. arrrghhh
poland win to nil 1.72
seoul v jeju btts 1.90
seoul v jeju
btts in both halves 17.00
half stake
@hampy what’s ur confidence in the Korean game as I know u love a bet in Asia
sorry its abit late laskillful been hectic in work. id say im at least 70% confident pal. in the btts obviously the btts in both halves is a longshot
btts a winner
btts both halves just short of a seoul goal in fh.
got on btts in 2nd half. great game
I saw the odds shortening, but bank was low. placed Wat I had. thank you
fiji vs vanuatu
pick: vanuatu (AH +1) – 1.84
vanuatu are better than odds suggest, lost just 1 from last 6 against fiji
gl
@Flandroy
——————————————-
2-3 WIN
post from friday
gl
——————————————-
Nigeria u23 were 11/1 to win, I’m looking at it thinking no way! :(
Poland to win to nil
5 points @8-11
Any Scandanavian experts feel Halmstad will win today? Have them and Poland left to win in an acca
halmstad look solid mate should win dont think will be highscore line 1-0 l,2-0 maybe so i went with straight win
Odds are very generous for some reason -1ah 2.20
Makes me suspicious!
Thanks mate. Odds do look generous though and noticed h2h wasn’t great too
In play – Seoul vs Jeje over 2.5 goals at 4/5.
Cover available at around 3/1. I’m letting it run.
Won after 56 mins ?
March: Bets 113 Wins 49 Losses 63 Push 1 +3.05 units
April: Bets 176 Wins 86 Losses 82 Push 8 +16.85 units
May: Bets 145 Wins 73 Losses 71 Push 1 +15.8 units
June: Bets 13 Wins 6 Losses 6 Push 1 +1.3 units
Bet 14 in play 20 mins 0-0
Over 2.5 Seoul v Jeju
Odds 2.10 1.5 units
Bet 15
Both score yes Seoul v Jeju
Odds 2.00 1.5 units
Win WIn :) :)
Mr F – could you post a Bets and Challenges thread for June 6th onwards please ?
tonys, just use the latest one – I’ll add one when I get round to it.
Vietnam v Singapore
Last 7 over 8 years have seen Vietnam win 2 with 5 draws, although a draw looks the likely outcome I am going for Vietnam not to lose @ 2/9
AKADEMI HIF VS. HÖGABORG
The form points to not losing and I am adding that Akademi @ 1/2nfor a “safe” looking double.
2 points double @ 0.83/1
June total B2 W0 L2 -4 points
Scandanavian five-fold:
Orebro SK U19 vs AIK U19 – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
FK Jerv vs Fredrikstad – FK Jerv win
Assyriska Foren vs GAIS – over 2.5 MG’s
Halmstad vs Syrianska FC – Halmstad win
KSF Prespa Birlik vs FC Hollviken – KSF Prespa Birlik win (starts at 12:00 pm)
20/1
Good luck all
hong kong or draw and fc seol goal before 80mins double in play 20 returns 92
Annoying as hong kong won 5-0 last time they met.
yeah and stats looked like they could at least get a draw let alone be beaten 3 nil
Poland – Lithuania – Poland to score in both halves @ 1.95 – (NAP)
Italy – Finland – Italy to win by 1 goal @ 3.65 , by 2 goals @ 4.00 – (NB)
——————————————————————————————
Combo @ 13.51
– Italy – Finland – Italy to win by 1 goal @ 3.65
– Argentina – Chile – Argentina to win by 1 goal @ 3.70
Unibet
Morning gents, quiet card and one for the early birds…
COPA AMERICA (3.00 KO):
Argentina v Chile – on paper, Argentina are by far the strongest squad in the tournament and are rightly favourites.
Chile themselves are no slouches though and this will potentially be one of the toughest games both teams play.
3 selctions to consider:
ARGENTINA WIN & BTTS…9/2
(2 POINTS)
OVER 5 ASIAN CARDS…1.775
(2 POINTS)
OVER 10.5 CORNERS…EVENS
(2 POINTS)
Good luck with all bets.
Bit of news on Poland match. Nawalka will be putting out a strong first team. Fabiański back in goal but a midfield of 5 and milik up front. No Lewandowski.
Poland will win this and milik might be good for anytime goalscorer.
andrzejstarba, cheers – I read that team news and had already decided to back Poland in a double.
Not that it matters but u got ur days on ur 5fold acca wrong :-D
jinx, I’ll sort it.
Krychowiak back in midfield too so that’s good
nite owl, not withstanding the previous 2 h2h’s both being under 1.5 taking a punt on this
mexico btts no draw 11/5 WON
that’s a bit better……….
Hi Harry. Are you out of bed yet?
Rosenborg 2 VS Stjordals Blink
Rosenborg 2 Seem a very good price 13/8 to beat Stjordals Blink
Stjordals Blink have been well beaten in there last 5
BOOM easy money
€5 try your luck bet returns 125
poland game over 2.5 goals
italy -1
malaysia game over 2.5 goals
estonia women game over 1.0 1.5 1st half goal line
austria women game over 1.5 fhg
turkey women game over 1.5 fhg
Not updated stats for 2 and a bit weeks and although I enjoyed a great end to May with a series of decent priced Night Owls, June has been an absolute shocker.
Rather embarrasingly, I lost a combined total of 14 pts yesterday alone. A combination of poor judgement, lack of discipline and rotten luck. Not good enough and the last 6 days have knocked my figures for 6 ?
Updated stats:
BETS PLACED: 300
WIN/LOSE: 118/182
(1 push and 1 void)
PROFIT/LOSS: -26.5 (was +17.9 on the 31st May ? so gives an indicator of how poor the last week has been.
I don’t include any cover bets in my stats and they would make for a better picture if included but still some way off a + balance.
Off to stick pins in my eyes for a bit of light-hearted fun after that.
Bet 16 treble
Poland win
Over 1.5 mg assyrinska v gais
Under 3.5 mg halmstad v syrianska
Odds 2.00 1.5 units
Lose. Poland ?
Afternoon gents
Although its been quiet in terms of matches, the matches that ha e offered early goal markets have been extreamly profitable
Taking one match tonight
Poland v Lithuania KO 5pm
First goal before 10 mins
First goal before 20 mins
First goal before 30 mins
Is there a staking plan with these mate?
Thanks for tip Mr F, put double of £20 on Poland >1.5 team goals and Argentina vs Chile >1.5 mg, returns £40
Going to wait for team news but quite fancy Poland over 2.5tgs @ 11/8
Lew ain’t even starting, someone on here said before they were going strong so i assumed he would be starting but is ain’t
harrybaines, andrez and myself both said Lewandowski wouldn’t be starting.
Poland
-1.5 asian handicap
Odds 1.80 stake 8.7 PTS
Poland win to nil
5 points@8-11
Poland to score both halves
3 points@4-5
As strong as Argentina are I think chile are strong enough to force a draw.
Chile double chance 8/13
Bragantino to beat Avai 10/11
& Brisbane v Fremantle – Fremantle to win 3/4
GL
In play
Poland 1/2
Poland over 1.5 TGS 11/8
70 mins result POLAND 21/20
Poland to score both halves was a loser but still have win to nil going to now break even
However staked an extra £20 like this at HT…
£6.50 on 1-0 returns £21.13
£5.50 on 2-0 returns £24.75
£4 on 3-0 returns £40
£3 on 4-0 returns £78
£1 on 5-0 returns £91
6-0 = killing myself
£10 challenge bet 8
Atviadbergs u19 v Djurgardens U19 O2.5mg
£25.35 pays £30.98
*LOST* and that sums up the nature of betting whatever the odds.
Bet 9
Iceland v Leichenstein O2.5mg 2030hrs
£10 pays £13.63
Banked: £50
In reserve: £15
Bets: 8
Won: 7
Lost: 1
Hi guys ..
Didn’t get a chance to post earlier, but this is today’s Acca 4 interest, 2 have already came in so gd start anyway lol
Halmstad win 1/2 Won
Assyiriska btts 3/4 Won
Poland to win to nil 8/11 (in play now) 0-0
Fk Jerv win 8/11 inplay now 0-0
Italy 2-3 Mgs evs
£10 =£156.63
Gd luck whatever ur on today?! ?
Poland are playing awful, hope they get it in gear the second half
harrybaines, some of us will never learn with friendlies – like me. At least I expect the worst and simply hope for the best.
Hi,
Wondered if anyone could help me that has a bet fair account.
I got an email today saying I had reached VIP level and got a £100 free bet.
I’ve been doing better recently and am mostly on the exchange market.
Wondered if anyone else has experienced and if it meant I had been earmarked now I’m doing better?
Thanks in advance
The Dr
drjabobs, they are usually loyalty rewards going by how much you have bet or how many bets you have placed.
Argh I see thanks mrfixit!
Match bad but stats say yes so poland game over 0.5 goals
5 pts
Harry does it again.
Disallowed!
Id be a rich man if it wasnt for disallowed goals!
Is that a joke??????? Should of been a pen but didn’t give it but they score anyway and gets disallowed? Anyone just see that?
How is this guy a ref? anyway i want what he is on
evening all, is anyone able to find the Iceland team line up for tonite? struggling here cheers
I’m waiting for hull to call this one. Lucks gotta change
Iceland 0 Liechtenstein 0 anyone ??
Surprised how well Lithuania played today, didn’t really ever look like conceding
toe, a fancy a fair few Iceland goals in the game but would prefer to see teams first…………..
Yeah got to be goals. Are national team like Icelandic league where you can guarantee a win by throwing money at a goal in last 10 mins ?
No but not to say they won’t!
Been done over by a few of these friendlies recently and have been again tonight so that’s £100 down the sh**ter, silly me for staking on a friendly never again!
Gonna try and build back up off a tenner ready for the euros!
nathanl, that’s my last friendly bet – bring on the Euros.
Friendlies are often a chance for second string players, but judging by the Poland game its also an opportunity for some of Fifas worst referees to officiate.
Didnt see it, r u saying the goal shldve stood iyo?
Beyond belief. Hard to believe what happened
Should of gone with my head when i saw Poland race to 9-0 corners at 3/1 in the 50th minute while leading 5-0
Harry still 2 friendlies left more then enough to get your money back!
Scenes on that goal situation, 100% goal. He didn’t foul him when he ran past him and then if it wasn’t a pen by the keeper it was a goal anyway, ill try get a reply so i can show bluemooner it.
Hopefully, gonna try something a little risky to get my money back
elvis, would like to think Iceland go for it tonite before going off to the euros ye never know but……..
toe, ave never bet on Iceland national team late goals before tbh just usually put them in accys to score as the normally do………..
taking a wee punt on this anyway but will be putting a bet on Iceland if its a decent line up
Italy o2.5mgs, iceland o3.5mgs 3/1
Italy 1-0
Iceland 2-0
I am thinking 1-0 as well mate, ain’t placed it though
https://mobile.twitter.com/icelandfootball?p=s
Bet 17
Argentina win
Odds 2.3 1.5 units
Bet 18
Both score yes Argentina v chile
Odds 2.1 1.5 units
spewing with poland not winning to nil would of been on the verge of 205 won off a 5. doesnt help seeing goal should of stood in pretty much everyones opinion
Poland disallowed goal. If it was a foul on the away team player the ref would of blown earlier. Was a goal @bluemooner1894
https://youtu.be/hPLO4S4kIwg?t=4m52s
Just watched ur utube link, that ref shud b banned 4life!!
Harry could you give us your thoughts on the Euros, who do you fancy?
Not sure yet mate, i’m not a euro’s type of guy. I like stats and there isn’t really any for the Euro’s
Bet 19
Panama win
Odds 2.15 1 unit
Bet 20
Both score yes Panama v Bolivia
Odds 2.50 1 unit
inplay fredrikstad to score 2.75
Was just about to put £100 on under 2 goal line in the Italy game but the head just told me to avoid right before placing. Hope they win about 8-0 so i feel better.
No doubt it will probably land as i’m not on it, especially if its unders
Peno = Goal.
That would of annoyed me
Wee small stake evening Trixie…
Aleef…7.45. 4/1
Sepai…8.15. 5/1
Athollblair…8.30. 9/2
Iceland v Liechenstein – over 1.5 1st half goals pays evens and could be worth a small punt
(1 Point)
More interest/value potentially in corners markets in-play as will no doubt be a few
Panama vs Bolivia – over 1.5 Bolivia TG’s 4/1
There’s some big prices available on this match, 12/5 just for overs for example but I think Bolivia can net twice here. In last years Copa America they gave a good account of themselves by drawing with Mexico and defeating Ecuador by scoring three times. Only three months ago they slotted two past Colombia in World Cup qualification so I think they’ll be well up for this match on a big stage.
I think this is a good shout. Although I don’t know a lot about Panama, Bolivia could find the net twice. Arce is also 4/1 to score anytime and he likes a pen. Hope it comes in.
Cheers snowster, BTTS at 13/8 seems quite generous as well.
Although Panama have only scored 1 in 5, Bolivia don’t tend to keep clean sheets either so btts looks a decent price – I am going to do a bit on each and a bit on arce. Cos I like his name. (Prob a 0-0 now!!!)
Scandanavian five-fold:
Orebro SK U19 vs AIK U19 – over 4.5 first half Asian corners (lost)
FK Jerv vs Fredrikstad – FK Jerv win (won)
Assyriska Foren vs GAIS – over 2.5 MG’s (won)
Halmstad vs Syrianska FC – Halmstad win (won)
KSF Prespa Birlik vs FC Hollviken – KSF Prespa Birlik win (lost 2-2)
20/1 LOST
Bet 3: Double (more lies !) Iceland vs Leich, > 1.5mg; CD Moron or draw, £7.23 returns £9.08
looks a fairly decent Iceland line up
took o3.5tgs 5/4
Just got on this at 6/4 before they scored. Hopefully a few more will follow soon
theres yer 2nd hull WD……………..
Just watched that link, I feel bad for anyone who lost money, blatant peno!
Iceland might ease the pain!
dc GL too…………..
Cheers crane. Surely Iceland can score a goal in second half hope they don’t leave it as late as the club sides do tho
TFC ACADEMY VS. DERBY CITY ROVERS (21.00)
Derby’s games have seen under 3 goals in just 1 of 14 games whilst only 1 in 11 of Toronto’s games have gone under 2.5.
The last 2 H2H’s have been 3-0’s and a good chance we’ll see a few here.
OVER 2.5 MGS…3/5
(3 Points)
Ball-bag…1-1
Iceland v Liechenstein – over 1.5 1st half goals pays evens and could be worth a small punt
(1 Point)
**WON**
More interest/value potentially in corners markets in-play as will no doubt be a few
Shame no markets up as 6 already
Going to take a speculative point on over 5.5 mgs at 2/1
Not sure about the Argentina and Chile game being a high scorer. There must be plenty of money out on no Goalscorer and 0-0 as prices have been cut. For a no
Goalscorer prices are as short as 5/1. Skybet go 6/1 on 0-0 yet they price up no Goalscorer @ 17/2. Tell me how that one works. I think the Panama vs Bolivia match has a bore 0-0 draw written all over it. It’s 4/1 for 0-0 with Skybet who go 11/2 for no Goalscorer.
Recommended bets
Argentina vs Chile
No Goalscorer @ 17/2
Panama vs Bolivia
No Goalscorer @ 11/2
2 X singles and a double
Double returns £617.50 for £10
Evening Chris, difference in prices between ‘0-0 market’ and ‘no goalscorer market’ will factor in an own goal 1-0 or 0-1 scoreline hence a bigger price.
Good luck with the double.
Think it’s a mistake Hullshaker because the prices are usually the same. But if it was because of what you said the no goalscorer would be the shorter not bigger price.
iceland game btts 3/1. sml stakes happened 3 in last 4 between these.
italy to win between 66th and 75th min 7/2
italy win nice wee win .
covered Iceland u3.5tgs 11/2 at 3-0 on it heavier than I should be for a friendly tbh an took cold feet………
They took there time what’s the chances of nicking another goal or is that pushing it
Good save with the Italy unders Harry. Its always safer to bet on overs then under’s imo
If it stays 2-0 i’d of got my stake back but it wasn’t a winner so that’s all that matters :)
I want someone to score as they would if i had money on haha
Come on Italy, get a last min goal so i would of lost my stake as well
Hey Ho watta ya know!
My 5fold Acca downed by a bloody dodgy decision by the ref to rub out the goal by Poland that I was looking for!
Grrrrrrrr ?
0&U ?
Sry posted above by the way ..
Someone just posted a tweet on twitter showing a bet slip with bet 365 Italy race to 9 corners at 4/1 pre-match. Considering Finland conceded 17 last game i would of been all over that with some hefty stakes.
looks a fairly decent Iceland line up
took o3.5tgs 5/4 WON
Italy o2.5mgs, iceland o3.5mgs 3/1 LOST
Nice, i was tempted in the 70th minute but no stats so avoided
H, please do not respond to my posts in future I am less than interested in what you have to think about my bets and engaging with you in any way shape or form, I have assured mr f and admin that I will avoid you going forward to keep the peace and hope that you will have the courtesy of doing likewise, thank you……………..
Fair enough
Nice one with over 3.5 pal…2 short of my speculative in-play…shame no corner markets…16 in the end.
Iceland w vs Macedonia w 8.30pm
No GL up yet but expect plenty!
Anyone on the card markets for the Argentina Chile game later on then??
evens for argentina over 20 points.
5/2 for card b4 15 min.
think it’ll be cards on the nite owl tonite…………….
cheers hull, a did take the 11/2 cover but glad a did tbh erse would of been twitchin at the end there………..
Argentina win btts @9/2 – 1 point
ferro v los andes btts evens , this has come in last 5 games ,
and btts in panama v bolivia game.
just under 9.2 in a double.
do double and 2 singles
I’m on the Ferro v Los Andes btts evens 3 points,I checked that aswell,good luck
you to webber . good to wake up to a bit of nice profit.
Chile RT7 corners 9/2
Panama game BTTS/OVERS 13/5
Fiver double pays £99
nite owl, not a market I usually dabble in but giving it a go as seems to be a plethora of cards so far other than the USA Columbia game
panama over 40 points, argentina over 50 points 6/4 on pp (yellows 10 and reds 25 with them)
put wee tenner bet on this in shop at lunch
panama btts no draw 5/2 £3.50
argentina btts no draw 15/8 £5.00
double 10/1 £1.50
sorry sausage finger strikes again. its just under 3.5 for double. apologies again.
Argentina v Chile
A penalty to be award – 7/2 Skybet
Looking at the stats of the referee, this has to have a chance!
Speculative educated punt so bet sensibly if anyone follows :)
I’m on the following in the Panama/ Bolivia game. Hoping the Bolivia have taken their shooting boots
Bolivia o1.5 tg 9/2
BTTS 6/4
Arce (Bol) FG 9/1 & ATGS 4/1
Smallish stakes – as a bit of a punt!
Come on Bolivia Newton-John!!
Loss
Win
Loss
Win
Decent profit due to btts and Arce atgs coming in!
archie, I looked at that ferro game earlier and picked out o3.5mgs its 7/2 but so a bit of a punt just left it as put a bet on in shop today or would of had a stab GL………………..
cheers craneguy, might follow this bet for sml stakes, cheers
Following general concensus tonight with an O1.5 double in the copa @ 6/4
Cheeky small bet on Aguero and Sanches both to be carded at 8/1
Taking 11 or more corners Arg v Chi at Even money.
The bookings bet is pretty much a blind pop which I liked the look of.
All skybet.
Good luck all
Evening gents. Not had much time to get on over the weekend apart from this morning but that was for NBA reasons. The BTTS bets went down like a lead balloon so I’ve decided to go steady until the Euros. Do think there is value in this tonight. The cards have already been mentioned, but I’m goin to take Gary Medel for the Chileans who will be dealing with the likes of Aguero and Messi so will likely be keeping tight.
Gary Medel (Chile) Anytime Booking @ 19/10 @ Unibet – 1 point
last one, just noticed torres starts for panama has scored 22 in 14 for Zamora will take him fgs 11/2
LOST took the wrong panama forward he ho……………..
bolivia argentina £20 dbl pays£195
main bet 8 points argentina over 1.5tg 6/4
good luck all
dbl lost single won
Junped on HT amd FT corners, was still getting 9.5 ft and 5.0 ht after a corner in 2nd minute, bow 2 in 5 mins
Alves I know you are a corner man like me. The even money line for the Panama game was the lowest I have seen in quite a while at 9 corners. I thought this game might be a crazy end to end affair and so it is proving.
Took over 8,9,19,11 and 12.
Currently on 8 corners with 40 mins to go. Looking good sir.