July 9: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

MRF_RacingTips_Racebets

IT was a better day for Johnb with a 4.25pt profit and he is now 19.75pts down for the month.

He’s picked a big outsider as his Nap so I wish him luck.

Let’s see all your tips and chat here – and we’ll deal with the children who are being, well, children.

Johnb’s Saturday Tips

Newmarket 4.0
War Decree 7-2 NB racebets

4.35
Eastern Impact 33-1 NAP racebets

Double
War Decree & Eastern Impact 152-1 racebets

Eastern Impact (NAP 33-1)

I was impressed with this horse in this race last year when third to my tip MUHAARAR, This year’s race is slightly easier and Eastern Impact is only 4lb higher.

Eastern Impact loves Newmarket having run six times, winning three by Sh, 1/2l & 3/4l and a 2nd beat a nose, 3rd beat 1 & 1/2l & 4th beat 2 & 1/4l.

More importantly though is Eastern Impact has raced three times on today’s July course, last year in this race when 3rd beat 1 & 1/2l and 2nd beat a nose and a win.

Ran well last time when beaten 2 & 3/4l by Magical Memory but that was first race of the season and this race is at his favoured track.

Antepost tips

2000 Guineas 2017
CHURCHILL 20-1 (now 12-1) bet365

2017 Derby
CHURCHILL 33-1 (now 16-1) racebets

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59 Comments
  1. Profile photo of luke a
    luke a 5 months ago

    Unlucky today John. If ifwecan had got its head in front, you’d be looking at a nice little profit. Still, plenty of time to turn it around. Good luck with tomorrow’s selections.
    I find Saturdays hard to pick winners. Usually a good day to go smaller stakes on each way multiples. Hoping to get a chance to look at the racing and make my own selections again. But may focus on just a few meetings

  2. Profile photo of elvis parsley
    elvis parsley 5 months ago

    33-1 nap ?
    Any reasoning John or is this a loss chaser bet.
    Don’t mean to sound picky, but with good reasoning I might have a nibble but if its a loss chaser I will do each way if that makes sense which invariably doesn’t with me.

  3. Profile photo of elvis parsley
    elvis parsley 5 months ago

    How do you reply to a certain post then ?
    Or do posts now go automatically at the bottom

  4. Profile photo of luke a
    luke a 5 months ago

    Focused on the 4 UK daytime meetings. Ended up with a win only super Yankee consisting of prices ranging from 3/1 – 9/2. And an each way super Yankee, consisting of prices ranging from 6/1 – 14/1.
    I shan’t bother listing all 10 horses, as that’s far too many.
    Good luck all today

  5. Profile photo of townie
    townie 5 months ago

    Tipperary 4.55 sempre medici 3/1
    Hamilton 8.45 livella fella 5/1
    also on your nap john b
    g l a

  6. Profile photo of llamados28
    llamados28 5 months ago

    16:35 Newmarket Don’t Touch 16/1 GL all

  7. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 5 months ago

    Alex just seen your post on yesterday’s thread,
    It was my pick MUHAARAR that just got up to win last year to beat TROPICS by a nose,
    EASTERN IMPACT who loves this course was 3rd and I was impressed and there is nothing like the class of MUHAARAR in today’s race

  8. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 5 months ago

    Eastern Impact (NAP 33/1)

    I was impressed with this horse in this race last year when 3rd to my tip MUHAARAR,
    This years race is slightly easier and Eastern Impact is only 4lb higher
    Eastern Impact loves Newmarket having run six times, winning three by Sh, 1/2l & 3/4l and a 2nd beat a nose, 3rd beat 1 & 1/2l & 4th beat 2 & 1/4l

    More importantly though is that Eastern Impact has raced three times on today’s July course, last year in this race when 3rd beat 1 & 1/2l and 2nd beat a nose and a win

    Ran well last time when beaten 2 & 3/4l by Magical Memory but that was first race of the season and this race is at his favoured track

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 5 months ago

      Last years Darley July Cup with Eastern Impact 3rd behind MUHAARAR & TROPICS

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 5 months ago

      That was meant to say EASTERN IMPACT is off the same weight as last year obviously with it being a group 1 but is now rated 4lb higher than last year

      • Profile photo of brady
        brady 5 months ago

        Thanks for the good explanation John on hI’m 2pt ew sky bet paying 5 places

      • Profile photo of elvis parsley
        elvis parsley 5 months ago

        Any idea why stable jockey is on the other Fahey nag ?

        • Profile photo of brady
          brady 5 months ago

          Garrity was on him last year and considering how well it went keeping them together

        • Profile photo of Johnb
          Johnb 5 months ago

          Because Richard Fahey is pretty loyal to jockeys, Hamilton has ridden Don’t Touch all but once and Garrity has ridden Eastern Impact last 6 times including in this race last year

    • Profile photo of
      5 months ago

      PROFORM POSITIVE STAT > Newmarket 4-35: Jack Garritty has had double his expected winners from his rides at Newmarket, he rides Eastern Impact at 38.0 in the July Cup.

  9. Profile photo of alex
    alex 5 months ago

    Quite right John I remembered a 50 /1 shot coming close and that must have been Eastern Impact. I think Rookie or someone here may have given it a shout. What do you make of Jungle Cats chances, it seems a big price?

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 5 months ago

      Yeah big price for Jungle Cat, OK form with distance and going to suit

  10. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 5 months ago

    Posted last night

    Cunco 9/2 nap 4.00 Newmarket

    Aventinus 13/8 nb 2.10
    Ascot

    Double 14.44/1

  11. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 5 months ago

    Tracker double today

    South seas 4.00
    Muthmir 4.50

    And ew round robin on jb nap as well

    Good luck all

  12. Profile photo of theamazingfrankel
    theamazingfrankel 5 months ago

    A lovely Nap/Nb winner yesterday, keeping the form on the thread up.

    Nap: Newmarket 4.35 – Air force blue 8/1 E/W –
    Air force blue was the class horse of last season and has been useless this year. However, with the drop back in trip and the perfect ground I think we may see its class again. O brien always has a trick up his sleeve and when airforce blue came out first this year, Moore said it was the best horse he was going to ride this year. Hopefully will see a lovely win.

    NB- Sharia Queen 3/1 Salisbury 9pm –
    Atzeni only ride at salisbury, looked very good last time out and should have the measure of this race. Easier contest, I believe it will win.

    E/w of the day – Early Morning 11/1 York 3pm.
    Had a good word for this one, few inside words saying should have a good run.

    Gl all.

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 5 months ago

      The thing about Air Force Blue is that we now know last years form wasn’t that good and others have now trained passed him, I wasn’t that impressed with him last year and wasn’t taken in with the hype
      Which I did mention on here last year

      On their day any horse can win any race they are in but the reality is that Air Force Blue should be 20/1+
      Bookies having him at same odds as Twilight Son and Quiet Reflection is nothing but scandalous and in any other business they would be reported to trading standards
      I suppose O’Brien has to try something different with this horse so good luck, if mine doesn’t win hope yours does

      • Profile photo of theamazingfrankel
        theamazingfrankel 5 months ago

        Not sure about 20/1 + as that would be insane odds. Air force blue was nearly 13/1 I think initially? just been backed in. I just think it deserves another chance, and could easily win this race. Quiet Reflection would be my second pick if I wasn’t going with the blue.

  13. Profile photo of coop192
    coop192 5 months ago

    Morning campers, another busy day ahead. Don’t you just love the racing?

    2.50New Spiritous 3/1
    3.15Asc Mutakayyef NB 11/2
    3.25New Silent Attack NNB 4/1
    4.00New War Decree NAP 15/8.

    Lucky 15.

    Off n racing 2.15 New Dabyah 4/1 £25 win Sky money back if horse finishes 2/3.

    Have yourself a lovely E/W patent with Sky Bet paying 5 places in the big 3 races. Godolphin firing at the moment, Carry on Deryck 10/1 4.15 York Jungle Cat 20/1 4.35 New Flash Fire 11/1 5.10 New.

    Happy Punting.

    • Profile photo of coop192
      coop192 5 months ago

      BOOM Good old Frankie does the business again, backed into 3/1 FAV cruising even with Amabilis chasing him home. A six figure purchase at the sales last year, son of Sepoy. Will appreciate the quick ground.

      4/1 10 runners in the field, sky bet offering money back 2/3. Pinching money, bookies made a MAJOR RICK there.

      Happy Days.

  14. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 5 months ago

    Morning all
    Nap Gershwin..4.25 Ascot
    Nb…Gabriel Kaka.3.00 York,balloted out of the big one,add Royal Birth 2.45 Ascot.
    Gl today

  15. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 5 months ago

    Had 2 for Chester but apparently it’s chucking it down,now soft and expect good few n/rs

  16. Profile photo of stevie
    stevie 5 months ago

    I may have reported Dougie by accident as I was flicking through! All I saw was thanks for the feedback. 😬😬

  17. Profile photo of stevie
    stevie 5 months ago

    Mr F I would suggest putting a gap between ‘reply’ and ‘report comment’.

  18. Profile photo of on the bob
    on the bob 5 months ago

    I don’t normally get annoyed at a loosing bet but yesterday I was fuming. Twice in as many days a saeed din suroor 2yo wins a maiden I’ve backed another in. His 2yos this year have been unbelievable. I use a few ways of picking horses and my naps both met one of them but boy was I fuming when yesterday’s saeed horse went in.

    Today I’m reverting back to a combo I can rely on to get me back in the red:

    Nap: Hamilton 6.15 baie d’amour 2/1

    I took the 7/2 from last night but with the withdrawal and a bit of a gamble it’s come in a fair bit. This is the horse that Haynes got injured riding so my gutt tells me they’ll have it ready to rock today as normal.

    GL

  19. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 5 months ago

    Stevie I was only reporting weather and going at Chester,not to worry been reported for less
    Gl today

    • Profile photo of elvis parsley
      elvis parsley 5 months ago

      Thanks for the reasoning John b.
      I can confirm it has chucked it down here in Chester, it has stopped since an hour or so but forecast is more rain mid afternoon.
      Gotta love British summertime eh !!!

    • Profile photo of stevie
      stevie 5 months ago

      Lol Dougie My sausage fingers don’t agree with a smartphone. I click on everything!!

  20. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 5 months ago

    NAP WAR DECREE 7/4 4-00 NEWMARKET
    NB JUNGLE CAT 16/1 EW 4-35 NEWMARKET

    • Profile photo of alex
      alex 5 months ago

      Plug you can widely get 25/1 on Jungle Cat. Hoping that this ice age movie finishes on time and I can watch the big one.

  21. Profile photo of on the bob
    on the bob 5 months ago

    Going to stick a few more up today.

    In addition to the one abide these 3 I fancy:

    Ascot 2.10 ravensoak 7/1
    Tipp 2.05 eziyra 7/1

    Can’t get away from full intention in the first at Chester but too short.

    GL

  22. Profile photo of coop192
    coop192 5 months ago

    Word from Chester, 4 horse’s being backed .

    Tarboosh 2.30
    Yartwee 3.05
    Share Equity 3.35
    Berrahri 4.45.

    Come racing you know it makes sense.

    Happy Days.

  23. Profile photo of
    5 months ago

    2:45 Ascot – Royal Birth (NB) @ 9/1
    4:15 Yourk – Arthenus (NAP) @ 6/1

    Each Way Double

    • Profile photo of
      5 months ago

      Nice one postman!!

    • Profile photo of kord
      kord 5 months ago

      Great tipping Postman. Normally back up the double with a single on each but haven’t today.

      Going to be a tense second run.

    • Profile photo of kord
      kord 5 months ago

      Ah well, it wasn’t to be. Thanks for the tip, and keep it up Postman.

  24. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 5 months ago

    14-10 Ascot
    Masterofdiscovery 7/1 hills

    15-15 Ascot
    Mutakayyef 11/2 bet 365

    16-35 Newmarket
    Waady 33/1 hills/coral nap/nb e/way

  25. Profile photo of bertie
    bertie 5 months ago

    4.00 WAR DECREE I got 7/2 last night now 13/8 ! Looks like the lads are having a go sent to NEWMARKET instead of Churchill and he has already beaten cunco must be a tip in itself good luck with your bets

  26. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 5 months ago

    FANCY NAKEETA 4/1 IN THE 2-25 YORK

  27. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 5 months ago

    anyone no what pricess for portugal or france to win on penalties tomorrow

  28. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 5 months ago

    NB a n/r

    Gershwin 11/8 4.25 ascot
    NB

    Bet victor

  29. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 5 months ago

    Great play di Nero

    Good to see you back

  30. Profile photo of alex
    alex 5 months ago

    wow you make a simple comment and it gets deleted.

  31. Profile photo of john mclaughlin
    john mclaughlin 5 months ago

    Unlucky Peterdaryll

    I really don’t know how Gershwin didn’t win that…

    Looked so easy a furlong out !

    You’ve made me plenty te last month or so , keep at it

  32. Profile photo of scotty h
    scotty h 5 months ago

    Shockin ride from dettori there. Straight to front then drops him into middle to he cant get back through. Muppet…

  33. Profile photo of shauncpfc
    shauncpfc 5 months ago

    What a day of close misses! War Decree gets done seconds after taking the lead, and then Eastern Impact comes through in 6th place one outside the 5 places being paid on Skybet! Pity as that would of paid out nicely in and made profit on the E/W double too; never mind onto tomorrow we go. 👍🏻

  34. Profile photo of rale
    rale 5 months ago

    Shocking day for me. Isharah H 7:45 & Sharja Queen S 9:00 to GMOOJ.

  35. Profile photo of alex
    alex 5 months ago

    rale- I will go with Shadad in 7:30 and then throw in yours for the 7:45.

  36. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 5 months ago

    Sunday :

    Stamp your feet 11/10
    5.05 Stratford Nap

    Tyrrells success 2/1
    5.20 Perth nb

    Double 6.30/1

    Bet victor

  37. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 5 months ago

    July 22.75 points down

    Sunday’s Tips

    Chantilly
    3:15
    Nemoralia 2/1 NB racebets

    Stratford
    4:30
    Roman Flight 11/4 NAP racebets

    Double
    Nemoralia & Roman Flight 10.25/1 racebets

  38. Profile photo of rale
    rale 5 months ago

    Sharja Queen saves the day. Went heavy on it. Thanks Amazingfrankel for pointing it out. Even that Atzeni didn’t ride it at the end it was Varian’s only entry in the meeting.

  39. Profile photo of theamazingfrankel
    theamazingfrankel 5 months ago

    Boom another Nb winner, third on the bounce and 3/3 since returning on site. I was there this evening, had £150 on earlier nd panicked when they announced jockey change. But omg fantastic, best win of the night. ABBA tribute was damn good after too haha. Hope lots of winners. Shame how poor air force blue was, given up on that horse it’s lost its potential.

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